Hammarby vs Anderlecht preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Tele2 Arena Thu, 23 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa League
HammarbyHAM
1 – 1
AnderlechtADL
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal
|
Second yellow card Nathan-Dylan Saliba 78'

CONTEXT

Hammarby and Anderlecht played the first leg of their tie ending 1-1. Anderlecht led 0-1 at halftime after scoring in the opening period. Hammarby equalized in the second half for the final score of 1-1. Hammarby recorded 56 percent possession while Anderlecht held 44 percent. Anderlecht received one red card during the match. The stronger side Anderlecht experienced a moderate deviation of 9.8 percent. Efficiency stayed in line with prior patterns and the result aligned with market indicators. Second half adjustments centered on the red card effect. Expected goals figures were not available.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match featured a moderate 9.8 percent deviation centered on Anderlecht.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency levels stayed in line with established patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data remained unavailable for direct alignment checks.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 draw proved consistent with pre-match market alignment.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were provided for this fixture.
  • Event impact: The draw marked the outcome of leg one in the two-legged tie.
  • Red card distortion: Anderlecht's red card altered second half structural dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Robertson
D. Robertson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. MacLeod
R. MacLeod
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Spence
C. Spence
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Irvine
G. Irvine
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Hammarby H. Rydström
H. Rydström
VS
Anderlecht V. Ramos Gonçalves
V. Ramos Gonçalves
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hammarby
6.2%
Draw
90.23%
Away Anderlecht
3.57%

Movement

Changes since opening
Hammarby
-5.22%
Draw
+5.62%
Anderlecht
-0.4%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.7
74.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hammarby
Anderlecht
Power Score
69.7
74.68
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
251
146

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby Anderlecht

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Anderlecht

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Anderlecht
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.68
17.39
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.39
27.68
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hammarby +0.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Anderlecht -0.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
Anderlecht
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Anderlecht
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hammarby Anderlecht
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hammarby Anderlecht
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
Anderlecht
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hammarby
vs
Anderlecht
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hammarby Anderlecht
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hammarby 0.17
Anderlecht 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hammarby Anderlecht
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hammarby 0.03
Anderlecht 0.01
Hammarby
Anderlecht
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAM had peak pressure around 30'.
  • HAM started the game with stronger pressure.
HAM Pressure ADL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 30' (55.75).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Tele2 Arena
Capacity
32000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Don Robertson
Ross MacLeod
Calum Spence
Grant Irvine

Statistics

Possession
HAM
59%
ADL
41%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
6 Shots 2
70 Dangerous attacks 33
56 Possession 44
5 Corners 2
18 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Substitutions 5
22 Throwins 16

Attacking

129 Attacks 93

Discipline

2 Offsides 4
15 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Don Robertson

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
6.26
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
6.25
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6.25
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
6.26
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie Midfielder
6.37
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
6.37
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
6.37
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei
Midfielder86'
6.69
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara (C) Midfielder
6.37
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Midfielder75'
6.5
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
6.37
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
6.55
Referee : Don Robertson

Starting XI ▼

26
Colin Coosemans
Colin Coosemans (C) Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Giulian Biancone
Giulian Biancone Defender
6.26
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
Ludwig Augustinsson Defender
6.49
5
Moussa N'Diaye
Moussa N'Diaye
Defender55'
6.26
27
Léo Pétrot
Léo Pétrot Defender
6.26
55
Marco Kana
Marco Kana Defender
6.5
18
Lukas Ambros
Lukas Ambros
Midfielder64'
6.37
79
Ali Maamar
Ali Maamar Defender
6.26
13
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Nathan-Dylan Saliba Midfielder
6.01
24
Enric Llansana
Enric Llansana Midfielder
6.37
49
Jayden Onia Seke
Jayden Onia Seke Midfielder
6.5
2
Zoumana Keita
Zoumana Keita
Defender82'
6.26
61
Joshua Nga Kana
Joshua Nga Kana Midfielder
6.5
9
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Attacker64'
6.46
14
Danylo Sikan
Danylo Sikan Attacker
6.86
68
Noah Kalonji
Noah Kalonji
Midfielder82'
6.37

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Frank Junior Adjei
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
90'
Event
Frank Junior Adjei → Victor Lind
7th Substitution
86'
82'
Event
Noah Kalonji → Danylo Sikan
5th Substitution
82'
Event
Zoumana Keita → Jayden Onia Seke
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Roughing / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Oscar Johansson Schellhas → Nahir Besara 
4th Substitution
75'
64'
Event
Lukas Ambros → Marco Kana
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Mihajlo Cvetkovic → Joshua Nga Kana
3rd Substitution
55'
Event
Moussa N'Diaye → Ludwig Augustinsson
1st Substitution
Event
Victor Eriksson
Roughing / 4th Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Frederik Winther
Tripping / 3rd Yellowcard
35'
27'
Event
Ludwig Augustinsson
Roughing / 2nd Yellowcard
24'
Event
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Roughing / 1st Yellowcard
6'
Event
Danylo Sikan
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Frank Junior Adjei scores, making it 1-1.
87
Update Update
On Frank Junior Adjei, Off Victor Lind.
82
Substitution Substitution
Zoumana Keita is substituted off for Jayden Onia Seke.
82
Update Update
Noah Kalonji Kafumpata replaces Danylo Sikan.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card shown to Nathan-Dylan Saliba.
76
Update Update
On comes Oscar Johansson, off goes Nahir Besara.
65
Update Update
Mihajlo Cvetkovic is on, and Kana Nga is off.
64
Update Update
Lukas Ambros is on, and Marco Kana is off.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Update Update
Moussa Ndiaye is on, and Ludwig Augustinsson is off.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Victor Eriksson receives a yellow card.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Frederik Franck Winther receives a yellow card.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ludwig Augustinsson receives a yellow card.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nathan-Dylan Saliba receives a yellow card.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Danylo Sikan scores, making it 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Donald Robertson.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 result leaves both sides positioned for the return leg after a balanced encounter marked by Anderlecht's early lead and subsequent red card. Hammarby maintained higher possession yet required the second half to level the score. With efficiency tracking established benchmarks and market signals holding true the draw reflects measured performance from each team. Absence of expected goals data limits deeper metric comparison but the red card clearly shaped later adjustments. This outcome sets a neutral aggregate entering the second leg without decisive advantage for either side.