Hammarby vs AIK preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sun, 24 May - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Hammarby HAM
1 2
AIK AIK
Full Time Sun, 24 May 12:00 PM
Round 9 Regular Season
Ibrahima Fofana - 48'
Goal
|
Goal
Johan Hove - 58'
Bersant Celina - 85'

CONTEXT

The encounter at the stadium saw Hammarby hosting AIK in a competitive fixture that concluded with a 1-2 victory for the away side. Both teams started cautiously, resulting in a goalless first half where neither could find the net despite several attempts. Possession was fairly even, with Hammarby controlling 52 percent of the ball while AIK managed 48 percent. As the stronger rated team, Hammarby faced disappointment as AIK capitalized on opportunities in the second half to secure the points. The match featured no red cards, allowing for uninterrupted play. This outcome represented a notable surprise given the pre-match assessments. The efficiency remained consistent with observed patterns during the game. Overall, the contest showcased tactical battles and key moments that defined the final result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Hammarby 1-2 AIK. AIK showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable, preventing direct alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The result did not align with market expectations given the pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG values were recorded for either team in this encounter.
  • Event impact: The match proceeded without major disruptive events affecting the outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards ensured no distortion from disciplinary actions.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Yng
D. Yng
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Robertsson
S. Robertsson
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Mattsson
E. Mattsson
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Ladebäck
A. Ladebäck
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
VS
AIK J. Riveiro
J. Riveiro
1.89
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
GAIS Rank: 59 L
Malmö FF Rank: 63 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 W
Västerås SK Rank: 48 W
Djurgården Rank: 64 D
Halmstad Rank: 47 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Västerås SK Rank: 47 D
Djurgården Rank: 65 L
Elfsborg Rank: 57 D
Malmö FF Rank: 61 L
Degerfors Rank: 48 L
Kalmar Rank: 51 W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 7 - 14
14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hammarby
64.02%
Draw
21.18%
Away AIK
14.8%

Movement

Changes since opening
Hammarby
+63.83%
Draw
+16.09%
AIK
-79.92%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.59
57.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hammarby
AIK
Power Score
67.59
57.71
League Position
2
9
Global Rank
266
552

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
AIK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby AIK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

AIK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AIK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.87
26.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.88
40.87
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hammarby +1.39 Efficiency Index
vs
AIK -1.39 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
AIK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AIK
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hammarby AIK
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hammarby AIK
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
AIK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hammarby
vs
AIK
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hammarby AIK
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hammarby 0.42
AIK 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hammarby AIK
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hammarby 0.05
AIK 0.02
Hammarby
AIK
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAM had peak pressure around 79'.
  • HAM started the game with stronger pressure.
HAM Pressure AIK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 79' (83.96).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hammarby HAM Home
30 matches
AIK AIK Away
Match Record
9
Wins
14
7
Draws
7
14
Losses
9
Goals
29
Goals Scored
40
40
Goals Conceded
29
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-25T00:01:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
W. Hahn
Suriname
1 W. Hahn
I. Breze Fofana
Guinea
6 I. Breze Fofana
V. Eriksson
Substitution
Sweden
4 V. Eriksson
F. Winther
Denmark
3 F. Winther
N. Persson
Sweden
16 N. Persson
M. Madjed
Substitution
Sweden
26 M. Madjed
T. Tekie
Substitution
Sweden
5 T. Tekie
M. Karlsson
Sweden
8 M. Karlsson
O. Johansson
Substitution
Sweden
11 O. Johansson
N. Besara
Sweden
20 (C) N. Besara
P. Abraham
Sweden
7 P. Abraham
K. Nordfeldt
Sweden
15 (C) K. Nordfeldt
S. Wilson
Kenya
21 S. Wilson
A. Csongvai
Hungary
33 A. Csongvai
S. Papagiannopoulos
Substitution
Sweden
4 S. Papagiannopoulos
M. Thychosen
Denmark
17 M. Thychosen
D. Beširović
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
19 D. Beširović
Yannick Emilio Geiger
Substitution
46 Yannick Emilio Geiger
B. Celina
Kosovo
10 B. Celina
J. Hove
Norway
8 J. Hove
K. Filling
29 K. Filling
E. Hovden Flataker
Norway
9 E. Hovden Flataker

General Information

Date & Time
May 24, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 9 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tele2 Arena
Capacity
32000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniel Yng
Sebastian Robertsson
Erik Mattsson
Adam Ladebäck

Statistics

Possession
HAM
50%
AIK
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 5
45 Dangerous attacks 38
52 Possession 48
5 Corners 4
18 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

18 Throwins 16
16 Dribble Attempts 11
4 Successful Dribbles 7
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64
2 Goal Kicks 16
72 Ball Safe 82
12 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 4
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Injuries 1
0 Assists 1

Attacking

77 Attacks 84
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

43 Long Passes 79
393 Successful Passes 352
87 Successful Passes Percentage 81
450 Passes 434
11 Key Passes 9
18 Successful Long Passes 34
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

12 Interceptions 5
40 Duels Won 42
8 Tackles 18
3 Saves 4

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 8
1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

12 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
6.53
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
7.22
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
7.09
19
Nikola Vasic
Nikola Vasic
Attacker88'
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana Defender
7.19
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
6.11
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie Midfielder
6.92
31
Oscar Steinke Brånby
Oscar Steinke Brånby
Defender87'
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
6.65
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas Midfielder
6.69
22
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström
Midfielder83'
6.35
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
6.66
15
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Attacker83'
6.43
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
6.92
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara (C) Attacker
7.49
Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

15
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Kristoffer Nordfeldt (C) Goalkeeper
6.99
4
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos Defender
6.89
37
Ahmad Faqa
Ahmad Faqa
Defender70'
6.32
17
Mads Thychosen
Mads Thychosen Defender
6.47
21
Stanley Wilson
Stanley Wilson Defender
7.13
33
Áron Csongvai
Áron Csongvai Defender
6.72
8
Johan Hove
Johan Hove Midfielder
7.12
10
Bersant Celina
Bersant Celina Midfielder
7.65
19
Dino Besirovic
Dino Besirovic Midfielder
6.94
45
Taha Ayari
Taha Ayari
Midfielder90+5'
6.65
29
Kevin Filling
Kevin Filling Midfielder
6.51
46
Y. Geiger
Y. Geiger Midfielder
6.98
7
Amel Mujanic
Amel Mujanic
Midfielder80'
6.5
9
Erik Flataker
Erik Flataker Attacker
7.1

Events

2ND-HALF
90+10'
Event
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
4th Yellowcard
90+10'
Event
Mads Thychosen
5th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Taha Ayari → Dino Besirovic
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Bersant Celina
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Nikola Vasic → Victor Eriksson
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Oscar Steinke Brånby → Tesfaldet Tekie
7th Substitution
87'
85'
Event
Bersant Celina
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Oliver Jordan Hagen → Montader Madjed
5th Substitution
83'
Event
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström → Oscar Johansson Schellhas
6th Substitution
83'
80'
Event
Amel Mujanic → Y. Geiger
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Victor Gonçalves Andersson
2nd Yellowcard
70'
Event
Ahmad Faqa → Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
3rd Substitution
Event
2nd Substitution
69'
69'
Event
1st Substitution
Event
Warner Hahn
1st Yellowcard
65'
58'
Event
Johan Hove
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Ibrahima Fofana
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
48'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Bersant Celina has a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Johan Hove's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Update Update
Taha Ayari comes on for Dino Besirevic.
90
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Bersant Celina takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
82
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham takes a left-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Franck Winther takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Franck Winther takes a right-footed shot but misses.
87
Update Update
Nikola Vasic comes on for Victor Eriksson.
70
Update Update
Victor Andersson replaces Kevin Filling.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Johan Hove scores with a right-footed shot.
80
Update Update
Amel Mujanic comes on for Yannick Geiger.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Johan Hove takes a right-footed shot and scores.
70
Update Update
Ahmad Faqa comes on for Sotiris Papagiannopoulos.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ibrahima Fofana scores with a right-footed shot.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Johan Hove scores, making it 1-1.
82
Attempt Attempt
Victor Eriksson takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
83
Update Update
Wilson Uhrstrom is on, and Oscar Johansson is off.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Bersant Celina takes a right-footed shot and scores.
88
Update Update
Nikola Vasic comes on for Victor Eriksson.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bersant Celina receives a yellow card.
61
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Filling takes a right-footed shot but misses.
83
Substitution Substitution
Oliver Hagen is substituted for Montader Madjed.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Warner Hahn.
60
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Filling takes a right-footed shot but misses.
73
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Johansson takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
69
Substitution Substitution
Victor Lind is substituted for Noah Persson.
48
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Ibrahima Fofana with his right foot finds the back of the net.
40
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara's right-footed shot is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Dino Besirevic's right-footed shot is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara's right-footed shot is saved.
14
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Erik Hovden Flataker takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Victor Eriksson attempts a header but misses the shot.
26
Attempt Attempt
Victor Eriksson attempts a header but misses the shot.
14
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
3
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahima Fofana attempts a header but misses the shot.
10
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham's left-footed shot is saved.
14
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

AIK's triumph over Hammarby in this match underscores the unpredictable nature of football encounters. Despite Hammarby being favored, the visitors demonstrated resilience and clinical finishing to overturn expectations. The even halftime score of 0-0 set the stage for a dramatic second half where AIK took control. With possession nearly split, the difference came down to efficiency in front of goal. No disciplinary issues arose, keeping the focus purely on the play. This result highlights how teams can exceed projections when conditions align favorably. Fans witnessed a hard-fought battle that rewarded the away team's persistence. Moving forward, both sides will analyze this performance to prepare for upcoming challenges in the league.