Hajduk Split vs Žilina preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Stadion Poljud Thu, 9 Jul - 6:00 PM
Europa League
Hajduk SplitHAJ
2 0
ŽilinaZILI
Full Time Thu, 9 Jul 6:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Hajduk Split hosted Žilina in the first leg of their two-legged tie and secured a 2-0 victory. The home side took the lead before halftime with the score at 1-0 and added a second goal after the break to seal the result. Hajduk Split controlled 57 percent of possession compared to Žilina's 43 percent. No red cards were shown to either team during the match. The stronger side prevailed as expected with only minimal structural deviation recorded at 2.7 percent. The outcome remained consistent with pre-match indicators and produced a clean win without major disruptions.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation of 2.7 percent occurred for Hajduk Split.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable metrics.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved market aligned.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not available for evaluation.
  • Event impact: Hajduk Split won leg one 2-0 to gain an aggregate advantage.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion affected play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Athanasiou
K. Athanasiou
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Egglezou
N. Egglezou
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Sokratous
K. Sokratous
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Theouli
C. Theouli
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
VS
Žilina P. Stano
P. Stano
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hajduk Split
97.32%
Draw
1.91%
Away Žilina
0.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.41
71.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hajduk Split
Žilina
Power Score
74.41
71.31
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
145
208

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Žilina — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hajduk Split Žilina

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hajduk Split

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Žilina

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hajduk Split ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Žilina
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.47
8.72
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
8.72
24.47
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hajduk Split +0.82 Efficiency Index
vs
Žilina -0.82 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hajduk Split
Žilina
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hajduk Split ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Žilina
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hajduk Split Žilina
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hajduk Split Žilina
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hajduk Split
Žilina
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hajduk Split
vs
Žilina
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hajduk Split Žilina
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hajduk Split 0.19
Žilina 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hajduk Split Žilina
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hajduk Split 0.00
Žilina 0.03
Hajduk Split
Žilina
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAJ had peak pressure around 9'.
  • HAJ started the game with stronger pressure.
HAJ Pressure ZILI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAJ reached the top pressure at 9' (53.92).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hajduk Split HAJ Home
2 matches
Žilina ZILI Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:55:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 09, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Poljud
Capacity
34198
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kyriakos Athanasiou
Nikos Egglezou
Kyriakos Sokratous
Chrysovalantis Theouli

Statistics

Possession
HAJ
63%
ZILI
37%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
7 Shots 3
59 Dangerous attacks 15
57 Possession 43
6 Corners 3
9 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 5
28 Throwins 20
2 Assists 0

Attacking

89 Attacks 58

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Kyriakos Athanasiou

Starting XI ▼

33
Toni Silic
Toni Silic Goalkeeper
6.5
5
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Defender
6.5
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Defender
6.5
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak (C) Defender
6.5
26
Adam Guram
Adam Guram
Attacker73'
6.5
22
Mathieu Acapandié
Mathieu Acapandié Defender
6.61
32
Simun Hrgovic
Simun Hrgovic Defender
6.49
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Midfielder
6.5
9
Dalisson de Almeida
Dalisson de Almeida Midfielder
6.69
20
Alberto del Moral
Alberto del Moral
Midfielder79'
6.5
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Midfielder
6.5
28
Roko Brajkovic
Roko Brajkovic Midfielder
7.06
38
Luka Hodak
Luka Hodak
Defender79'
6.5
11
Michele Sego
Michele Sego Attacker
6.46
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja
Attacker86'
Referee : Kyriakos Athanasiou

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakub Badzgon
Jakub Badzgon Goalkeeper
5.88
21
Timotej Hranica
Timotej Hranica Defender
6.05
24
Samuel Datko
Samuel Datko
Midfielder82'
6.45
25
Filip Kasa
Filip Kasa Defender
6.05
17
Jan Minarik
Jan Minarik
Defender63'
6.5
28
Aleksandre Narimanidze
Aleksandre Narimanidze Defender
6.05
33
Tobias Paliscak
Tobias Paliscak Defender
6.05
7
Frantisek Kosa
Frantisek Kosa Midfielder
6.27
10
Andrei Florea
Andrei Florea
Midfielder63'
6.5
11
Fabian Bzdyl
Fabian Bzdyl Midfielder
6.27
20
Krisztian Bari
Krisztian Bari Midfielder
6.27
66
Miroslav Kacer
Miroslav Kacer (C) Midfielder
6.27
6
Xavier Adang
Xavier Adang
Midfielder71'
6.5
23
Michal Fasko
Michal Fasko Attacker
6.43
16
Patrik Ilko
Patrik Ilko
Attacker63'
6.5
95
Marko Roginic
Marko Roginic Attacker
6.43

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Samuel Datko
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Marko Livaja → Michele Sego
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Simun Hrgovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
84'
82'
Event
Samuel Datko → Timotej Hranica
8th Substitution
Event
Luka Hodak → Roko Brajkovic
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Alberto del Moral → Dalisson de Almeida
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Michele Sego
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
78'
Event
Adam Guram → Dario Melnjak
5th Substitution
73'
71'
Event
Xavier Adang → Miroslav Kacer 
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Andrei Florea → Frantisek Kosa
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Patrik Ilko → Michal Fasko
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Jan Minarik → Filip Kasa
3rd Substitution
Event
Dalisson de Almeida
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
49'
1ST-HALF
Event
Roko Brajkovic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
22'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Samuel Datko receives a yellow card.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Marko Livaja comes on for Michele Sego.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Simun Hrgovic.
83
Update Update
Samuel Datko is on, and Timotej Hranica is off.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Luka Hodak comes on for Roko Brajkovic.
79
Update Update
Alberto del Moral is on, and Dalisson de Almeida is off.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Michele Sego receives a yellow card.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Adam Guram comes on for Dario Melnjak.
71
Update Update
Xavier Adang comes on for Miroslav Kacer.
64
Update Update
Jan Minarik comes on for Filip Kasa.
63
Update Update
Andrei Florea is on, and Frantisek Kosa is off.
63
Update Update
Patrik Ilko comes on for Michal Fasko.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dalisson de Almeida scores, making it 2-0.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Kyriakos Athanasiou.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Hajduk Split 2-0 Žilina. Structural assessment: Hajduk Split exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.