Häcken vs Sirius preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Nordic Wellness Arena Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Häcken HAC
2 – 2
Sirius SIR
Full Time Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season
Mikkel Rygaard - 25'
G. Lindgren - 37'
Goal
|
Goal
Robbie Ure - 40'
Mohamed Soumah - 86'

CONTEXT

Häcken and Sirius delivered a captivating 2-2 draw in the Allsvenskan at Bravida Arena. Häcken struck twice early to lead 2-1 at halftime, capitalizing on limited 45% possession against Sirius's 55% control. Deemed the stronger team, Sirius mounted a determined comeback in the second half, equalizing to claim a share of the spoils. No red cards marred the contest, and no significant tactical shifts occurred post-interval. The result showcased Häcken's clinical finishing upfront contrasted with Sirius's sustained pressure and resilience. Possession favored the visitors, yet defenses stood resolute late on, preventing further goals. This outcome reflects competitive parity, with Sirius overcoming the halftime deficit through persistence. Both squads displayed quality, ending level in an entertaining affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate structural deviation of 8.5% favored Sirius.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed with the draw result.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for evaluation.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Culum
M. Culum
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
F. Klyver
F. Klyver
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
N. Karlsson
N. Karlsson
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
M. Al Hakim
M. Al Hakim
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Häcken J. Gustafsson
J. Gustafsson
VS
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Västerås SK Rank: D
GAIS Rank: W
IFK Göteborg Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
Mjällby Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: W
Västerås SK Rank: W
Hammarby Rank: W
Degerfors Rank: W
Värnamo Rank: W
Norrköping Rank: W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 6 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Häcken
4.06%
Draw
91.5%
Away Sirius
4.44%

Movement

Changes since opening
Häcken
-0.89%
Draw
+2.73%
Sirius
-1.83%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.88
47.92
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Häcken
Sirius
Power Score
19.88
47.92
League Position
4
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Häcken Sirius

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Häcken

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sirius

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Häcken ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sirius
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.56
42.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
42.36
29.56
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Häcken -1.27 Efficiency Index
vs
Sirius +1.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Häcken
Sirius
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Häcken ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sirius
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Häcken Sirius
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Häcken Sirius
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Häcken
Sirius
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Häcken
vs
Sirius
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Häcken Sirius
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Häcken 0.46
Sirius 0.46
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Häcken Sirius
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Häcken 0.04
Sirius 0.08
Häcken
Sirius
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIR had peak pressure around 62'.
  • HAC started the game with stronger pressure.
HAC Pressure SIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIR reached the top pressure at 62' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Häcken HAC Home
18 matches
Sirius SIR Away
Match Record
9
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
9
Goals
36
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
36
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:02:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Andersson
Sweden
35 D. Andersson
B. Wembangomo
Norway
5 B. Wembangomo
H. Hilvenius
Sweden
13 H. Hilvenius
F. Helander
Sweden
22 F. Helander
A. Lundqvist
Sweden
21 A. Lundqvist
A. Doumbia
Ivory Coast
6 A. Doumbia
M. Rygaard Jensen
Denmark
10 M. Rygaard Jensen
A. Layouni
Tunisia
24 A. Layouni
A. Svanbäck
Substitution
Sweden
20 A. Svanbäck
J. Lindberg
Sweden
11 J. Lindberg
G. Lindgren
Substitution
Sweden
9 G. Lindgren
D. Celic
Sweden
34 D. Celic
O. Krusnell
Sweden
22 O. Krusnell
T. Anker
Denmark
4 T. Anker
M. Soumah
Guinea
2 M. Soumah
H. Castegren
Sweden
5 H. Castegren
M. Lindberg
Denmark
6 M. Lindberg
M. Heier
Sweden
10 M. Heier
I. Bjerkebo
Sweden
11 I. Bjerkebo
M. Nartey
Substitution
8 M. Nartey
J. Persson
Substitution
Sweden
7 J. Persson
R. Ure
Scotland
9 R. Ure

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nordic Wellness Arena
Capacity
7000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mehmet Culum
Fredrik Klyver
Niclas Karlsson
Mohammed Al Hakim

Statistics

Possession
HAC
44%
SIR
56%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 3
12 Shots 21
26 Dangerous attacks 46
45 Possession 55
3 Corners 11
18 Free kicks 11
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Injuries 1
2 Substitutions 2
57 Ball Safe 58
5 Goal Attempts 12
17 Dribble Attempts 13
13 Throwins 16
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 77
13 Goal Kicks 5
6 Successful Dribbles 10
2 Assists 1

Attacking

55 Attacks 80
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 88
32 Long Passes 48
356 Successful Passes 444
410 Passes 504
13 Successful Long Passes 28
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58
8 Key Passes 12

Defensive

43 Duels Won 50
14 Interceptions 9
3 Saves 3
8 Tackles 21

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 30
2 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

11 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

35
David Andersson
David Andersson Goalkeeper
6.63
5
Brice Wembangomo
Brice Wembangomo Defender
6.85
13
Harry Hilvenius
Harry Hilvenius Defender
7.38
21
Adam Lundkvist
Adam Lundkvist Defender
6.7
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander Defender
6.88
6
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Abdoulaye Doumbia Midfielder
7.14
10
Mikkel Rygaard
Mikkel Rygaard Midfielder
7.15
11
Julius Lindberg
Julius Lindberg Midfielder
6.99
20
Adrian Svanbäck
Adrian Svanbäck Midfielder
6.98
16
Pontus Dahbo
Pontus Dahbo
Midfielder62'
24
Amor Layouni
Amor Layouni Midfielder
7.3
9
G. Lindgren
G. Lindgren Attacker
6.93
7
Sanders Ngabo
Sanders Ngabo
Midfielder74'
6.65
Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
6.85
2
Mohamed Soumah
Mohamed Soumah Defender
7.47
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Defender
7.45
5
Henrik Castegren
Henrik Castegren Defender
7.04
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Defender
6.98
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Midfielder
7.02
7
Joakim Persson
Joakim Persson Midfielder
6.44
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson
Midfielder77'
6.61
8
Matthias Nartey
Matthias Nartey Midfielder
6.82
17
Neo Jönsson
Neo Jönsson
Attacker59'
6.67
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Midfielder
6.77
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Midfielder
7.43
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Attacker
7.3

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Oscar Krusnell
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
86'
Event
Mohamed Soumah
Header / 4th Goal
77'
Event
Victor Svensson → Joakim Persson
4th Substitution
Event
Sanders Ngabo → G. Lindgren
3rd Substitution
74'
Event
Pontus Dahbo → Adrian Svanbäck
2nd Substitution
62'
59'
Event
Neo Jönsson → Matthias Nartey
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Robbie Ure
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
G. Lindgren
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
37'
Event
Mikkel Rygaard
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
25'

CONCLUSION

Häcken's blistering first-half display secured a 2-1 halftime lead, but Sirius's superior possession and grit forged a 2-2 deadlock. As the stronger side per analysis, Sirius's second-half response underscored their quality, aligning with moderate deviation metrics. Efficiency held steady, and market expectations matched the draw without disruption from reds or adjustments. Lacking xG insights limits shot quality review, yet the scoreline captures balanced contestation. Häcken gains from early ruthlessness, Sirius from recovery poise—each harvests a point boosting morale ahead. This stalemate embodies Allsvenskan intensity, rewarding endeavor over dominance.