Győri ETO vs Víkingur Reykjavík preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
ETO Park Tue, 14 Jul - 5:00 PM
Champions League
Győri ETOETO
2 – 2
Víkingur ReykjavíkVIR
Full Time Tue, 14 Jul 5:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 3
Milán Vitális - 38' (P)
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Győri ETO 2–2 Víkingur Reykjavík. The match ended in a draw. Győri ETO showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Győri ETO 2.7 – 0.9 Víkingur Reykjavík. Possession was 67%–33%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Győri ETO showed a significant 77.4 percent deviation from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's expected output.
  • xG alignment: Home xG of 2.68 exceeded away xG of 0.92 by 1.76.
  • Market alignment: The 2-2 result was not aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals did not match the actual 2-2 draw outcome.
  • Event impact: The match reached 2-1 at halftime before ending level at 2-2.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to distort match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Erceg
M. Erceg
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Pajić
L. Pajić
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Brajković
S. Brajković
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Vukančić
I. Vukančić
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Győri ETO E. Juárez Váldez
E. Juárez Váldez
VS
Víkingur Reykjavík S. Ottesen Jónsson
S. Ottesen Jónsson
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Víkingur Reykjavík Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Győri ETO Rank: 67 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Győri ETO
58.53%
Draw
22.62%
Away Víkingur Reykjavík
18.85%

Movement

Changes since opening
Győri ETO
+51.52%
Draw
-65.01%
Víkingur Reykjavík
+13.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Győri ETO
Víkingur Reykjavík
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Győri ETO — Opponent-weighted form score
Víkingur Reykjavík — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Győri ETO Víkingur Reykjavík

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Győri ETO

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Víkingur Reykjavík

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Győri ETO ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Víkingur Reykjavík
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.13
31.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.36
23.13
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Győri ETO -0.70 Efficiency Index
vs
Víkingur Reykjavík +0.70 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Győri ETO
Víkingur Reykjavík
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Győri ETO
vs
Víkingur Reykjavík
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Győri ETO Víkingur Reykjavík
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
44%
61%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.17 vs -0.56
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Győri ETO Víkingur Reykjavík
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
61%
44%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.56 vs -0.17
Győri ETO
Víkingur Reykjavík
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Győri ETO
vs
Víkingur Reykjavík
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Győri ETO Víkingur Reykjavík
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Győri ETO 0.17
Víkingur Reykjavík 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Győri ETO Víkingur Reykjavík
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Győri ETO 0.07
Víkingur Reykjavík 0.03
Győri ETO
Víkingur Reykjavík
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ETO had peak pressure around 47'.
  • ETO started the game with stronger pressure.
ETO Pressure VIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ETO reached the top pressure at 47' (85.60).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Győri ETO ETO Home
1 matches
Víkingur Reykjavík VIR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-15T00:01:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 14, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 3
Stadium
ETO Park
Capacity
15600
Attendance
6138
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mateo Erceg
Luka Pajić
Stipe Brajković
Ivan Vukančić

Statistics

Possession
ETO
62%
VIR
38%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 3
6 Shots 5
70 Dangerous attacks 27
67 Possession 33
5 Corners 4
8 Free kicks 9
6 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
8 Goal Kicks 9
4 Substitutions 4
23 Throwins 15
0 Assists 2
15 Dribble Attempts 10
15 Successful Dribbles 10
75 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43

Attacking

137 Attacks 64

Possession

26 Long Passes 20
510 Passes 319
240 Successful Passes 102
85 Successful Passes Percentage 77
10 Key Passes 6

Defensive

0 Saves 1
21 Tackles 18
10 Interceptions 12
53 Duels Won 50

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Mateo Erceg

Starting XI ▼

99
Samuel Petras
Samuel Petras Goalkeeper
5.98
2
Ștefan Vlădoiu
Ștefan Vlădoiu Defender
6.74
90
Kevin Bánáti
Kevin Bánáti
Midfielder67'
6.7
21
Márk Csinger
Márk Csinger Defender
6.1
23
Daniel Stefulj
Daniel Stefulj Defender
7.03
24
Miljan Krpic
Miljan Krpic Defender
6.2
6
Tóth Rajmund
Tóth Rajmund Midfielder
7.18
14
Márton Szép
Márton Szép
Attacker67'
6.43
10
Claudiu Bumba
Claudiu Bumba Midfielder
6.57
76
Jovan Zivkovic
Jovan Zivkovic
Attacker84'
6.45
17
Szabolcs Schön
Szabolcs Schön Midfielder
6.84
27
Milán Vitális
Milán Vitális (C) Midfielder
7.44
80
Zeljko Gavric
Zeljko Gavric Midfielder
6.7
11
Nfansu Njie
Nfansu Njie Attacker
6.42
96
Marcell Huszár
Marcell Huszár
Attacker84'
6.47
Referee : Mateo Erceg

Starting XI ▼

47
Ögmundur Kristinsson
Ögmundur Kristinsson Goalkeeper
6.3
2
Sveinn Gísli Thorkelsson
Sveinn Gísli Thorkelsson Defender
6.7
4
Oliver Ekroth
Oliver Ekroth (C) Defender
6.54
9
Helgi Gudjónsson
Helgi Gudjónsson Defender
6.47
22
Karl Fridleifur Gunnarsson
Karl Fridleifur Gunnarsson Defender
5.95
24
Davíd Örn Atlason
Davíd Örn Atlason
Defender77'
6.35
10
Gylfi Sigurdsson
Gylfi Sigurdsson Midfielder
7.4
11
Daníel Hafsteinsson
Daníel Hafsteinsson Midfielder
2
7.92
8
Viktor Örlygur Andrason
Viktor Örlygur Andrason
Midfielder77'
6.55
20
Tarik Ibrahimagić
Tarik Ibrahimagić Midfielder
6.67
19
Óskar Borgthórsson
Óskar Borgthórsson Attacker
6.31
23
Nikolaj Hansen
Nikolaj Hansen Attacker
6.47
21
Aron Elís Thrándarson
Aron Elís Thrándarson
Midfielder59'
6.61
25
Valdimar Thór Ingimundarson
Valdimar Thór Ingimundarson Attacker
6.68
7
Erlingur Agnarsson
Erlingur Agnarsson
Midfielder90+2'
6.74

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Erlingur Agnarsson → Valdimar Thór Ingimundarson
8th Substitution
Event
Márk Csinger
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 7th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Milán Vitális
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 8th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Marcell Huszár → Nfansu Njie
6th Substitution
84'
Event
Jovan Zivkovic → Claudiu Bumba
7th Substitution
84'
77'
Event
Viktor Örlygur Andrason → Daníel Hafsteinsson
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Davíd Örn Atlason → Karl Fridleifur Gunnarsson
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Óskar Borgthórsson
Holding / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Zeljko Gavric
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 5th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Kevin Bánáti → Ștefan Vlădoiu
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Márton Szép → Tóth Rajmund
3rd Substitution
67'
59'
Event
Aron Elís Thrándarson → Nikolaj Hansen
1st Substitution
55'
Event
Daníel Hafsteinsson
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Sveinn Gísli Thorkelsson
Own Goal / 2nd Goal
45+1'
Event
Milán Vitális
Penalty / 1st Penalty
38'
Event
Ștefan Vlădoiu
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 4th Yellowcard
34'
34'
Event
Daníel Hafsteinsson
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Szabolcs Schön
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
Event
Tóth Rajmund
Tripping / 3rd Yellowcard
31'
21'
Event
Tarik Ibrahimagić
Tripping / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Orlygur Andrason takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Orlygur Andrason takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Substitution Substitution
Erlingur Agnarsson is substituted off for Vaaldimar Thor Ingimundarson.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Milan Vitalis.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mark Csinger receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Miljan Krpic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
84
Update Update
On Jovan Zivkovic, off Claudiu Vasile Bumba.
84
Update Update
On Marcell Huszar, off Nfansu Njie.
84
Attempt Attempt
Szabolcs Schon takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Substitution Substitution
David Orn Atlason is substituted for Karl Fridleifur Gunnarsson.
77
Update Update
On Viktor Orlygur Andrason, off Daniel Hafsteinsson.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Oskar Borgthorsson.
72
Update Update
Offside.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-3.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Zeljko Gavric.
70
Update Update
Offside.
67
Update Update
Marton Szep is on, and Rajmund Toth is off.
67
Update Update
On Kevin Banati, off Stefan Vladoiu.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Attempt Attempt
Aron Elis Thrandarson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Hafsteinsson attempts a header but misses the shot.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Update Update
On Aron Elis Thrandarson, off Nikolaj Hansen.
55
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Daniel Hafsteinsson with his right foot finds the back of the net.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-2.
52
Attempt Attempt
Nfansu Njie takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Gylfi Sigurdsson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Sveinn Gisli Thorkelsson results in an own goal.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Sveinn Gisli Thorkelsson gives the team a 2-1 lead.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Sveinn Gisli Thorkelsson results in an own goal.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nfansu Njie takes a header shot but misses.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nfansu Njie scores, making it 2-1.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Stefulj attempted a header, but it missed the target.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Milan Vitalis takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Milan Vitalis scores, making it 1-1.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Stefan Vladoiu.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Daniel Hafsteinsson with his left foot results in a goal.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Szabolcs Schon receives a yellow card.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Rajmund Toth.
28
Attempt Attempt
Claudiu Vasile Bumba takes a right-footed shot but misses.
25
Attempt Attempt
Sveinn Gisli Thorkelsson attempted a header but missed the shot.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Tarik Ibrahimagic.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tarik Ibrahimagic receives a yellow card.
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Vaaldimar Thor Ingimundarson with his right foot is blocked.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Attempt Attempt
Zeljko Gavric takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Attempt Attempt
Nfansu Njie attempts a header but misses the shot.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mateo Erceg.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw reflected a contest where Győri ETO held clear advantages in possession and chance creation yet could not translate them into three points. Víkingur Reykjavík defended resiliently after the interval to claim the result on the night. Aggregate progression favors the visitors following their first-leg advantage. Performance data highlighted the gap between expected and actual outcomes without any disciplinary interventions. The tie concludes with the Icelandic side advancing on aggregate. Further analysis of second-half adjustments shows limited shifts from the opening period patterns.