Győri ETO vs Riga preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
ETO Park
Europa Conference League
Győri ETOETO
1 – 1
RigaRFC
Full Time
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 2
Zeljko Gavric - 28' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Caio - 88'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Győri ETO 1–1 Riga. The match ended in a draw. Riga showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Győri ETO 2.2 – 1.9 Riga. Possession was 37%–63%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Riga recorded significant structural deviation from pre-match positioning as the designated stronger side.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with overall team processes throughout the fixture.
  • xG alignment: Outcome aligned with xG as Győri ETO posted 2.23 against Riga's 1.87.
  • Market alignment: Final result showed no market alignment given the deviation level recorded.
  • xG expectations: Győri ETO met xG expectations while Riga underperformed relative to their share.
  • Event impact: Halftime score of 1-0 shaped second-half dynamics without further adjustments.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion occurred to either team's structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Reitala
O. Reitala
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Honkanen
J. Honkanen
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Jantunen
O. Jantunen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Munukka
A. Munukka
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Győri ETO E. Juárez Váldez
E. Juárez Váldez
VS
Riga A. Guľa
A. Guľa
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Riga Rank: L
Atert Bissen Rank: D
Atert Bissen Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Győri ETO Rank: 69 W
Vardar Rank: W
Vardar Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Győri ETO
38.26%
Draw
25.66%
Away Riga
36.08%

Movement

Changes since opening
Győri ETO
+33.43%
Draw
-63.4%
Riga
+29.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Győri ETO
Riga
Power Score
23.33
42
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Győri ETO — Opponent-weighted form score
Riga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Győri ETO Riga

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Győri ETO

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Riga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Győri ETO ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Riga
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.43
40.32
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.32
32.43
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Győri ETO -0.61 Efficiency Index
vs
Riga +0.61 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Győri ETO
Riga
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Győri ETO
vs
Riga
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Győri ETO Riga
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
58%
18%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.30 vs -0.33
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Győri ETO Riga
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
18%
58%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.33 vs -0.30
Győri ETO
Riga
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Győri ETO
vs
Riga
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Győri ETO Riga
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Győri ETO 0.25
Riga 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Győri ETO Riga
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Győri ETO 0.01
Riga 0.03
Győri ETO
Riga
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RFC had peak pressure around 60'.
  • ETO started the game with stronger pressure.
ETO Pressure RFC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RFC reached the top pressure at 60' (97.41).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Győri ETO ETO Home
1 matches
Riga RFC Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0.23
xG
1.81
1.81
xGA
0.23

Data last updated: 2026-08-14T00:04:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 2
Stadium
ETO Park
Capacity
16000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oliver Reitala
Jukka Honkanen
Olli Jantunen
Antti Munukka

Statistics

Possession
ETO
39%
RFC
61%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 9
40 Dangerous attacks 68
37 Possession 63
2 Corners 11
11 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

73 Ball Safe 86
1 Penalties 0
13 Goal Kicks 6
7 Goal Attempts 12
3 Substitutions 3
21 Throwins 25
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Assists 1
2 Injuries 0
13 Dribble Attempts 18
8 Successful Dribbles 10
62 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56

Attacking

73 Attacks 138
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

38 Long Passes 44
304 Passes 534
236 Successful Passes 462
78 Successful Passes Percentage 87
7 Key Passes 15
16 Successful Long Passes 24
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55

Defensive

5 Saves 2
15 Tackles 18
10 Interceptions 15

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 38
7 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Oliver Reitala

Starting XI ▼

99
Samuel Petras
Samuel Petras Goalkeeper
7.38
23
Daniel Stefulj
Daniel Stefulj Defender
7.09
24
Miljan Krpic
Miljan Krpic (C) Defender
7.24
37
Norbert Urblík
Norbert Urblík Defender
6.33
53
Bálint Selyem
Bálint Selyem Defender
7.57
10
Claudiu Bumba
Claudiu Bumba Midfielder
7.06
11
Nfansu Njie
Nfansu Njie Midfielder
6.99
14
Márton Szép
Márton Szép Midfielder
6.97
47
Ádám Décsy
Ádám Décsy Midfielder
6.89
26
Ádám Umathum
Ádám Umathum
Defender84'
6.31
80
Zeljko Gavric
Zeljko Gavric Midfielder
6.88
17
Szabolcs Schön
Szabolcs Schön
Attacker64'
6.46
34
Viktor Djukanovic
Viktor Djukanovic Attacker
6.75
Referee : Oliver Reitala

Starting XI ▼

91
Frenks Orols
Frenks Orols Goalkeeper
6.8
13
Raivis Jurkovskis
Raivis Jurkovskis Defender
6.59
17
Andrés Salazar
Andrés Salazar Defender
8.09
21
Baba Musah
Baba Musah Defender
6.94
33
Paulo Eduardo
Paulo Eduardo Defender
7.09
5
Karl Gameni Wassom
Karl Gameni Wassom Midfielder
7.48
7
Raki Aouani
Raki Aouani Midfielder
7.05
99
Caio
Caio
Midfielder84'
7.34
8
Iago Siqueira
Iago Siqueira Midfielder
7.52
22
Meïssa Diop
Meïssa Diop Midfielder
7.01
18
Salah Oulad
Salah Oulad
Midfielder64'
6.67
40
Ahmed Ankrah
Ahmed Ankrah Midfielder
6.8
10
Reginaldo Ramires
Reginaldo Ramires (C) Attacker
7.04
19
Mohamed Badamosi
Mohamed Badamosi
Attacker72'
6.7

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Iago Siqueira
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Márton Szép
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+4'
89'
Event
Caio
3rd Yellowcard
88'
Event
Caio
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Ádám Umathum → Ádám Décsy
6th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Caio → Raki Aouani
5th Substitution
Event
Marcell Huszár → Szabolcs Schön
4th Substitution
74'
72'
Event
Mohamed Badamosi → Reginaldo Ramires
3rd Substitution
Event
Claudiu Bumba
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
66'
Event
Szabolcs Schön → Zeljko Gavric
2nd Substitution
64'
64'
Event
Salah Oulad → Meïssa Diop
1st Substitution
47'
Event
Raki Aouani
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Zeljko Gavric
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
28'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-1.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marton Szep receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Badamosi with his right foot is blocked.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Caio Ferreira scores with a right-footed shot.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
86
Attempt Attempt
Caio Ferreira takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
84
Update Update
Caio Ferreira replaces Raki Aouani.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Adam Umathum comes on for Adam Decsy.
81
Attempt Attempt
Claudiu Vasile Bumba takes a right-footed shot but misses.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Substitution Substitution
Marcell Huszar is substituted for Szabolcs Schon.
72
Update Update
Mohamed Badamosi replaces Reginaldo Ramires.
71
Attempt Attempt
Paulo Eduardo Ferreira Godinho takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Attempt Attempt
Ahmed Ankrah takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Claudiu Vasile Bumba.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Substitution Substitution
Salah MHand is substituted for Meissa Diop.
64
Update Update
Szabolcs Schon comes on for Zeljko Gavric.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Attempt Attempt
Andres Salazar takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Attempt Attempt
Iago Siqueira Augusto takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Attempt Attempt
Raki Aouani's right-footed shot is blocked.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Attempt Attempt
Iago Siqueira Augusto takes a right-footed shot but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Karl Gameni Wassom, but it's saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Raki Aouani takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Raki Aouani.
45
Attempt Attempt
Zeljko Gavric takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Zeljko Gavric takes a right-footed shot but misses.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Karl Gameni Wassom with his right foot, but it is saved.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Attempt Attempt
Nfansu Njie takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Zeljko Gavric takes a right-footed shot.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Zeljko Gavric scores, making it 1-0.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Zeljko Gavric scores, making it 1-0.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Attempt Attempt
Nfansu Njie's right-footed shot is blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Karl Gameni Wassom with his right foot, but it's saved.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Attempt Attempt
Meissa Diop takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Reginaldo Ramires takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Iago Siqueira Augusto with his right foot, but it misses the target.
9
Attempt Attempt
Nfansu Njie takes a right-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Djukanovic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Zeljko Gavric's header is saved.
2
Attempt Attempt
Nfansu Njie's right-footed shot is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Oliver Reitala.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Győri ETO 1-1 Riga. Structural assessment: Riga exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.