Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau preview

Austria flag 2026/2027 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Merkur Arena Sat, 8 Aug - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Grazer AKGAK
2 1
Austria LustenauAUT
Full Time Sat, 8 Aug 3:00 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Dion Kacuri - 51'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Grazer AK 2–1 Austria Lustenau. The result saw Grazer AK take the points. Grazer AK showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Grazer AK 1.2 – 0.6 Austria Lustenau. Possession was 56%–44%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Grazer AK 2-1 Austria Lustenau. Grazer AK showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Barmaksiz
S. Barmaksiz
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. El Sadany
M. El Sadany
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Bogner
J. Bogner
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Greinecker
M. Greinecker
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Grazer AK F. Feldhofer
F. Feldhofer
VS
Austria Lustenau M. Mader
M. Mader
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
LASK Linz Rank: 74 L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 54 W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 58 D
WSG Tirol Rank: 55 W
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 65 L
Ried Rank: 57 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ried Rank: 58 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.05
43.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Grazer AK
Austria Lustenau
Power Score
58.05
43.4
League Position
7
9
Global Rank
636
823

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Grazer AK — Opponent-weighted form score
Austria Lustenau — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Grazer AK Austria Lustenau

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Grazer AK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Austria Lustenau

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Grazer AK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Austria Lustenau
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.61
42.16
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
42.16
26.61
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Grazer AK -1.25 Efficiency Index
vs
Austria Lustenau +1.25 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Grazer AK
Austria Lustenau
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Grazer AK
vs
Austria Lustenau
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Grazer AK Austria Lustenau
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
26%
36%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.31 vs -0.23
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Grazer AK Austria Lustenau
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
36%
26%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.23 vs -0.31
Grazer AK
Austria Lustenau
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Grazer AK
vs
Austria Lustenau
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Grazer AK Austria Lustenau
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Grazer AK 0.34
Austria Lustenau 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Grazer AK Austria Lustenau
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Grazer AK 0.02
Austria Lustenau 0.05
Grazer AK
Austria Lustenau
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AUT had peak pressure around 46'.
  • GAK started the game with stronger pressure.
GAK Pressure AUT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AUT reached the top pressure at 46' (81.32).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 08, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Merkur Arena
Capacity
16764
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Safak Barmaksiz
Mohamed El Sadany
Jakob Bogner
Markus Greinecker

Statistics

Possession
GAK
55%
AUT
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 4
38 Dangerous attacks 51
56 Possession 44
5 Corners 6
5 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

79 Ball Safe 61
8 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 27
2 Assists 1
3 Dribble Attempts 2
3 Successful Dribbles 2
30 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

104 Attacks 99

Possession

31 Long Passes 28
454 Passes 346
336 Successful Passes 202
79 Successful Passes Percentage 74
11 Key Passes 12

Defensive

2 Saves 4
6 Tackles 6
6 Interceptions 4
50 Duels Won 44

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 5

Lineup

Referee : Safak Barmaksiz

Starting XI ▼

23
C. Stanković
C. Stanković Goalkeeper
6.76
2
Donovan Pines
Donovan Pines Defender
7.71
3
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen Defender
6.52
82
Beres Owusu
Beres Owusu Defender
7.02
6
Liam Hermesh
Liam Hermesh Midfielder
6.8
17
Souleyman Mandey
Souleyman Mandey
Midfielder85'
6.61
28
Anderson
Anderson Midfielder
6.8
48
Matthias Gragger
Matthias Gragger
Defender60'
6.78
32
Leon Klassen
Leon Klassen Midfielder
7.13
34
Peter Michorl
Peter Michorl Midfielder
7.29
10
Christian Lichtenberger
Christian Lichtenberger (C) Attacker
6.96
8
Tobias Koch
Tobias Koch
Midfielder70'
7
11
Mark Grosse
Mark Grosse Attacker
6.79
7
Anthony Smits
Anthony Smits
Attacker60'
6.11
25
Alexander Hofleitner
Alexander Hofleitner Attacker
7.62
9
Daniel Maderner
Daniel Maderner
Attacker85'
6.62
Referee : Safak Barmaksiz

Starting XI ▼

27
Domenik Schierl
Domenik Schierl Goalkeeper
6.98
3
Danilo Soares
Danilo Soares Defender
6.8
7
Fabian Gmeiner
Fabian Gmeiner Defender
6.13
29
Niklas Pertlwieser
Niklas Pertlwieser Defender
6.07
31
Adrian Zuranski
Adrian Zuranski (C) Defender
6.3
8
Dion Kacuri
Dion Kacuri Midfielder
7.33
11
Dominik Weixelbraun
Dominik Weixelbraun Midfielder
6.28
9
Lenn Jastremski
Lenn Jastremski
Attacker71'
6.64
19
Sacha Delaye
Sacha Delaye Midfielder
7
15
Emmanuel Chukwu
Emmanuel Chukwu
Defender79'
6.47
20
Lord Afrifa
Lord Afrifa Midfielder
7.09
17
Albin Gashi
Albin Gashi
Attacker71'
6.42
24
Seydou Diarra
Seydou Diarra Midfielder
6.3
23
Pius Grabher
Pius Grabher
Midfielder79'
6.71
14
Precious Benjamin
Precious Benjamin Attacker
6.54
39
Antonio Verinac
Antonio Verinac
Attacker46'
6.6

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Emmanuel Chukwu
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
88'
Event
Antonio Verinac
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Daniel Maderner → Alexander Hofleitner
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Souleyman Mandey → Liam Hermesh
10th Substitution
85'
79'
Event
Emmanuel Chukwu → Sacha Delaye
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Pius Grabher → Seydou Diarra
8th Substitution
71'
Event
Albin Gashi → Lord Afrifa
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Lenn Jastremski → Dominik Weixelbraun
6th Substitution
Event
Tobias Koch → Christian Lichtenberger
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Alexander Hofleitner
Header / 3rd Goal
66'
Event
Matthias Gragger → Anderson
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Anthony Smits → Mark Grosse
3rd Substitution
60'
51'
Event
Dion Kacuri
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
Event
Antonio Verinac → Precious Benjamin
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Peter Michorl
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
21'
Event
Donovan Pines
Header / 1st Goal
18'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Souleyman Mandey takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Emmanuel Chukwu receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Leon Klassen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Verinac takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Chukwu attempts a header but misses the shot.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Antonio Verinac.
85
Update Update
Souleyman Mandey is on, and Liam Hermesh is off.
85
Substitution Substitution
Daniel Maderner is substituted for Alexander Hofleitner.
81
Attempt Attempt
Anthony Smits takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Update Update
Emmanuel Chukwu is on, and Sacha Delaye is off.
79
Update Update
Emmanuel Chukwu comes on for Sacha Delaye.
77
Update Update
Pius Grabher replaces Seydou Diarra.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Update Update
Albin Gashi comes on for Lord Afrifa.
71
Update Update
Lenn Jastremski is on, and Dominik Weixelbraun is off.
70
Update Update
Tobias Koch is on, and Christian Lichtenberger is off.
66
Update Update
On comes Albin Gashi, and off goes Lord Afrifa.
66
Update Update
Lenn Jastremski is on, and Dominik Weixelbraun is off.
66
Update Update
Tobias Koch is on, and Christian Lichtenberger is off.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Alexander Hofleitner, and he scores with a header.
60
Attempt Attempt
Christian Lichtenberger's left-footed shot is blocked.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alexander Hofleitner scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Peter Michorl.
60
Update Update
Matthias Gragger comes on for Anderson dos Santos Gomes.
58
Substitution Substitution
Anthony Smits is substituted for Mark Grosse.
57
Attempt Attempt
Sacha Delaye takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Dion Kacuri takes a left-footed shot and scores.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dion Kacuri scores, making it 1-1.
47
Attempt Attempt
Christian Lichtenberger takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Mark Grosse takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Substitution Substitution
Antonio Verinac is substituted for Precious Benjamin.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Dion Kacuri takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Dion Kacuri's left-footed shot is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sacha Delaye takes a left-footed shot but misses.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Attempt Attempt
Dion Kacuri takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alexander Hofleitner with his left foot is saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Precious Benjamin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Seydou Diarra takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
23
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Weixelbraun takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Sacha Delaye takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Peter Michorl.
20
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Lord Afrifa with his right foot, but it's blocked.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Donovan Pines results in a goal.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yellow card shown to Peter Michorl.
17
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Donovan Pines scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Christian Lichtenberger.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Weixelbraun takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Attempt Attempt
Niklas Pertlwieser takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Weixelbraun takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
2
Attempt Attempt
Christian Lichtenberger takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
2
Attempt Attempt
Alexander Hofleitner takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Safak Barmaksiz.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Grazer AK 2-1 Austria Lustenau. Structural assessment: Grazer AK exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.