Granada vs Sporting Gijón preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes Sat, 30 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Granada GRA
Sporting Gijón SPO
KICKOFF : Sat, 30 May - 7:00 PM
Round 42 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Granada welcome Sporting Gijon to Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes for a La Liga 2 regular season fixture in the 2025/2026 campaign. The visitors arrive as the stronger side on power metrics, holding a narrow overall advantage in team strength. Granada currently occupy 14th place in the domestic standings while Sporting Gijon sit two positions higher in 12th. Form readings show a clear disparity, with the away side posting a markedly superior recent record. Both clubs operate in the middle of the table and will view this encounter as an opportunity to climb toward the upper half of the division. The home venue offers Granada familiar surroundings yet the numerical power edge rests with the traveling team.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Granada sit 14th while Sporting Gijon occupy 12th in the domestic table.
  • Form: Sporting Gijon hold a superior form score of 20.33 against Granada's 4.89.
  • Squad: Sporting Gijon possess the higher power rating at 65.48 compared with Granada's 62.63.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams ahead of the match.
  • Transition: Transition phase data is not provided in the current fixture profile.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data for both sides.
  • xVariable: The power advantage stands at 2.9 points in favor of the visitors.
  • Market: Granada 39.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.7% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Gijón 32.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Granada J. Rojo Martín
J. Rojo Martín
VS
Sporting Gijón B. Jiménez Sáez
B. Jiménez Sáez
1.16
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mirandés Rank: 59 L
Burgos Rank: 67 L
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 57 W
Almería Rank: 69 L
Albacete Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Almería Rank: 70 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 57 W
Málaga Rank: 69 L
Ceuta Rank: 62 L
Córdoba Rank: 64 L
Cádiz Rank: 58 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 2 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Granada
39.66%
Draw
27.72%
Away Sporting Gijón
32.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.63
65.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Granada
Sporting Gijón
Power Score
62.63
65.48
League Position
14
12
Global Rank
401
316

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Granada — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Granada Sporting Gijón

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Granada GRA Home
15 matches
Sporting Gijón SPO Away
Match Record
6
Wins
7
2
Draws
2
7
Losses
6
Goals
22
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
22
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-29T00:02:42+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Astralaga Aranguren
13 A. Astralaga Aranguren
J. Flores
36 J. Flores
D. Hormigo Iturralde
3 D. Hormigo Iturralde
B. Diallo
22 B. Diallo
P. Casadesús Castro
2 P. Casadesús Castro
S. Ruiz Alonso
20 S. Ruiz Alonso
M. Trigueros Muñoz
14 M. Trigueros Muñoz
S. Rodelas Pintor
26 S. Rodelas Pintor
I. González Muñoz
41 I. González Muñoz
J. Arnáiz Díaz
11 J. Arnáiz Díaz
P. Saenz Ezquerra
21 P. Saenz Ezquerra
O. Yáñez Alabart
1 O. Yáñez Alabart
A. Cuenca Cejudo
44 A. Cuenca Cejudo
L. Perrin
4 L. Perrin
P. Vázquez Pérez
15 P. Vázquez Pérez
K. Vázquez Comesaña
20 K. Vázquez Comesaña
M. Rodríguez Paz
36 M. Rodríguez Paz
A. Corredera Alardi
14 A. Corredera Alardi
J. Smith
24 J. Smith
G. Campos Ansó Fernández
7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández
J. Otero Tovar
19 J. Otero Tovar
C. Gelabert Pina
10 C. Gelabert Pina

General Information

Date & Time
May 30, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 42 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Capacity
19189
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Astralaga
Ander Astralaga Goalkeeper
6.76
26
Sergio Rodelas
Sergio Rodelas Midfielder
6.64
2
Pau Casadesús
Pau Casadesús Midfielder
6.58
11
José Manuel Arnáiz
José Manuel Arnáiz Attacker
6.95
21
Pablo Sáenz
Pablo Sáenz Attacker
6.86
14
Manu Trigueros
Manu Trigueros Central Midfield
6.75
36
Juanjo Flores
Juanjo Flores Right Back
6.63
41
Izan González
Izan González Attacking Midfield
6.84
20
Sergio Ruiz
Sergio Ruiz Central Midfield
6.82
22
Baïla Diallo
Baïla Diallo Left Back
6.63
3
Diego Hormigo
Diego Hormigo Centre Back
6.32

Starting XI ▼

1
Rubén Yáñez
Rubén Yáñez Goalkeeper
6.83
19
Juan Otero
Juan Otero Centre Forward
7.35
7
Gaspar Campos
Gaspar Campos Attacker
6.81
10
César Gelabert
César Gelabert Attacker
7.06
4
Lucas Perrin
Lucas Perrin Left Back
6.83
14
Àlex Corredera
Àlex Corredera Central Midfield
7.14
15
Pablo Vázquez
Pablo Vázquez Right Back
7
24
Justin Smith
Justin Smith Central Midfield
6.6
36
Manu Rodríguez
Manu Rodríguez Central Midfield
6.66
20
Kevin Vázquez
Kevin Vázquez Right Back
6.35
44
Andrés Cuenca
Andrés Cuenca Left Back
6.67

CONCLUSION

Sporting Gijon carry a modest power edge and far stronger recent form into this mid-table La Liga 2 clash. Granada will rely on home advantage at Nuevo Los Carmenes to offset those deficits and protect their standing. With both sides positioned between 12th and 14th, the contest offers each team a chance to gain ground on the teams above them. Limited efficiency and set piece detail leaves the emphasis on overall squad strength and current momentum. The visitors appear better equipped on paper yet the home side can draw confidence from familiar surroundings. A tightly contested encounter is expected as the two clubs seek to improve their domestic positions before the season advances further.