Granada vs Almería preview
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Round 37 ·
Regular Season
Pedro Alemañ Serna - 11'
Pablo Sáenz - 90+7'
|
Sergio Arribas - 14', 18', 38' (P)
Miguel de la Fuente - 68'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 30
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Granada 2–4 Almería. The result saw Almería take the points. Almería showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 50%–50%.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 2.4% favoring Almería.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
-
xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
-
Market alignment: Market alignment held true for the outcome.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
-
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events altered the match flow.
-
Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
1.36
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.85
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Albacete
Rank:
L
Cultural Leonesa
Rank:
W
Castellón
Rank:
L
Las Palmas
Rank:
L
Huesca
Rank:
W
Real Sociedad II
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga
Rank:
W
Racing Santander
Rank:
L
Leganés
Rank:
W
Castellón
Rank:
L
Real Sociedad II
Rank:
W
Huesca
Rank:
W
3
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 6
6
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Granada
0.49%
Draw
1.91%
Almería
97.6%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.23
31.25
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Granada
Almería
Power Score
23.23
31.25
League Position
14
4
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Granada
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Almería
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Granada Almería
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Granada
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Almería
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Granada
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Almería
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Granada
Almería
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Granada
Almería
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Granada
Almería
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Granada
vs
Almería
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Granada
Almería
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Granada
0.00
Almería
0.00
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Granada
Almería
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Granada
0.00
Almería
0.00
Granada
Almería
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ALM had peak pressure around 50'.
- GRA started the game with stronger pressure.
GRA Pressure
ALM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
ALM reached the top pressure at 50' (76.36).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Granada
GRA
Home
13
matches
Almería
ALM
Away
Match Record
3
Wins
6
4
Draws
4
6
Losses
3
Goals
14
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
14
-8
Goal Difference
+8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T14:01:27+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
5-3-2
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Capacity
19189
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Saúl Ais Reig
Ricard Esteve Valenzuela
Ricardo Landrove Lago
Guillermo Conejero Sánchez
Next Match
Granada
vs
Real Zaragoza
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Fri, 1 May - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estadio de la Romareda
Almería
vs
Mirandés
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Mon, 4 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Statistics
Possession
GRA
49%
ALM
51%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
4
1
Big Chances Created
5
11
Shots
19
31
Dangerous attacks
40
50
Possession
50
4
Corners
3
14
Free kicks
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
6
Substitutions
6
1
Hit Woodwork
0
5
Successful Dribbles
7
0
Penalties
1
50
Successful Dribbles Percentage
44
8
Goal Kicks
7
10
Dribble Attempts
16
5
Goal Attempts
9
40
Ball Safe
37
2
Assists
2
31
Throwins
14
Attacking
93
Attacks
86
1
Big Chances Missed
2
Possession
269
Successful Passes
267
15
Successful Long Passes
26
31
Successful Long Passes Percentage
42
48
Long Passes
62
341
Passes
345
79
Successful Passes Percentage
77
7
Key Passes
12
Defensive
43
Duels Won
45
6
Interceptions
11
16
Tackles
13
6
Saves
4
Build-up
1
Accurate Crosses
5
19
Total Crosses
10
Discipline
4
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
14
Lineup
Referee :
Saúl Ais Reig
Manager ▼
J. Rojo Martín
Coach
Starting XI ▼
13
Ander Astralaga
6.72Goalkeeper90'
18
Álvaro Lemos
Defender
6.38 2
Pau Casadesús
6.59Defender69'
9
Gonzalo Petit
Attacker
6.74 Substitutes ▼
17
Bambo Diaby
Defender
6.5 14
Manu Trigueros
Midfielder
6.72 23
Luka Gagnidze
Midfielder
6.56 10
Mohamed Bouldini
Attacker
6.63
Referee :
Saúl Ais Reig
Manager ▼
J. Ferrer Sicilia
Coach
Starting XI ▼
6
André Horta
6.68Midfielder80'
Substitutes ▼
Events
2ND-HALF
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
90+7'
90+1'
12th Substitution
Ander Astralaga → Luca Zidane
11th Substitution
90'
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
84'
4th Yellowcard
84'
10th Substitution
83'
80'
8th Substitution
80'
André Horta → Dion Lopy
7th Substitution
80'
9th Substitution
73'
6th Substitution
Pau Casadesús → Álvaro Lemos
4th Substitution
69'
5th Substitution
69'
68'
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
66'
3rd Substitution
62'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1st Substitution
46'
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
38'
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
37'
35'
Penalty awarded
18'
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
14'
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
11'
CONCLUSION
Almería's commanding 4-2 triumph over Granada cements their stronger standing. A blistering 3-1 halftime lead set the tone, with even possession highlighting their clinical edge over Granada's resilience. The hosts' second-half response fell short against Almería's organized defense and timely fourth goal. Free of red cards or disruptive events, the result stemmed from pure execution and efficiency in line with projections. Minimal deviation reinforces Almería's consistency, boosting their campaign while exposing Granada's need for defensive solidity. This performance signals upward momentum for the winners.
