Górnik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Arena Zabrze Wed, 29 Jul - 6:00 PM
Champions League
Górnik ZabrzeGZA
1 – 1
FenerbahçeFEN
Full Time Wed, 29 Jul 6:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 2
Michal Sacek - 45+10'
Goal
|
Goal
Talisca  - 12' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Górnik Zabrze 1–1 Fenerbahçe. The match ended in a draw. Fenerbahçe showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Górnik Zabrze 0.7 – 2.8 Fenerbahçe. Possession was 48%–52%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fenerbahce recorded a moderate 10.7 percent deviation in this second leg of the tie.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with established performance benchmarks throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: The 1-1 draw outcome was inconsistent with the 0.65 to 2.8 expected goals split.
  • Market alignment: The final result stayed aligned with pre-match market projections for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: Fenerbahce created 2.8 xG while Gornik Zabrze managed only 0.65 xG in the contest.
  • Event impact: The 1-1 draw produced a 2-1 aggregate advantage for Fenerbahce after two legs.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown leaving match dynamics free of numerical imbalances.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. D'hondt
L. D'hondt
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Devillers
R. Devillers
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Claes
N. Claes
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Verbeke
B. Verbeke
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
VS
Fenerbahçe İ. Kartal
İ. Kartal
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fenerbahçe Rank: 86 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 69 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Górnik Zabrze
5.36%
Draw
89.29%
Away Fenerbahçe
5.36%

Movement

Changes since opening
Górnik Zabrze
-0.64%
Draw
+2.78%
Fenerbahçe
-2.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.45
86.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Górnik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
Power Score
70.45
86.74
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
250
35

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Fenerbahçe — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Górnik Zabrze Fenerbahçe

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Górnik Zabrze

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fenerbahçe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Górnik Zabrze ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fenerbahçe
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.38
31.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.73
39.38
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Górnik Zabrze +0.65 Efficiency Index
vs
Fenerbahçe -0.65 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Górnik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Górnik Zabrze
vs
Fenerbahçe
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Górnik Zabrze Fenerbahçe
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
28%
45%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.18 vs -0.25
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Górnik Zabrze Fenerbahçe
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
45%
28%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.25 vs -0.18
Górnik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Górnik Zabrze
vs
Fenerbahçe
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Górnik Zabrze Fenerbahçe
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Górnik Zabrze 0.19
Fenerbahçe 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Górnik Zabrze Fenerbahçe
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Górnik Zabrze 0.02
Fenerbahçe 0.01
Górnik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GZA had peak pressure around 57'.
  • FEN started the game with stronger pressure.
GZA Pressure FEN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GZA reached the top pressure at 57' (96.54).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Górnik Zabrze GZA Home
1 matches
Fenerbahçe FEN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0.09
xG
1.60
1.60
xGA
0.09

Data last updated: 2026-07-30T00:03:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 29, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 2
Stadium
Arena Zabrze
Capacity
24413
Attendance
28499
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Lothar D'hondt
Romain Devillers
Nico Claes
Bert Verbeke

Statistics

Possession
GZA
49%
FEN
51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 4
4 Shots 7
78 Dangerous attacks 50
48 Possession 52
9 Corners 7
15 Free kicks 7
4 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
9 Goal Kicks 7
4 Substitutions 5
20 Throwins 16
1 Assists 0
22 Dribble Attempts 13
7 Successful Dribbles 5
32 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38

Attacking

84 Attacks 72
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

60 Long Passes 40
383 Passes 433
301 Successful Passes 372
79 Successful Passes Percentage 86
11 Key Passes 13
31 Successful Long Passes 17
52 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

1 Saves 5
19 Tackles 25
9 Interceptions 20
54 Duels Won 58

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 13
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
8 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Lothar D'hondt

Starting XI ▼

1
Philipp Schulze
Philipp Schulze Goalkeeper
6.66
20
Josema
Josema Defender
6.8
26
Rafał Janicki
Rafał Janicki Defender
6.61
61
Michal Sacek
Michal Sacek Defender
8.48
64
Erik Janza
Erik Janza (C) Defender
7.52
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi Midfielder
6.75
19
Peter Federico
Peter Federico
Midfielder72'
6.77
18
Lukas Sadilek
Lukas Sadilek Midfielder
6.19
34
Bruno Durdov
Bruno Durdov
Midfielder81'
6.48
66
Maximilian Dietz
Maximilian Dietz Midfielder
6.65
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan
Midfielder63'
6.55
82
Kacper Urbański
Kacper Urbański Midfielder
6.57
88
Taofeek Ismaheel
Taofeek Ismaheel Midfielder
6.54
11
Erik Prekop
Erik Prekop Attacker
7.1
23
Sondre Liseth
Sondre Liseth
Attacker63'
6.67
Referee : Lothar D'hondt

Starting XI ▼

34
Mert Günok
Mert Günok Goalkeeper
7.59
15
Nathan Aké
Nathan Aké Defender
7.25
24
Jayden Oosterwolde
Jayden Oosterwolde Defender
6.64
27
Nélson Semedo
Nélson Semedo Defender
6.62
18
Mert Müldür
Mert Müldür
Defender88'
37
Milan Škriniar
Milan Škriniar (C) Defender
7.43
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
Mattéo Guendouzi Midfielder
7.04
7
Fred
Fred Midfielder
6.71
9
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Kerem Aktürkoğlu Midfielder
6.77
20
Anthony Musaba
Anthony Musaba
Attacker70'
6.69
10
Marco Asensio
Marco Asensio Midfielder
6.58
5
İsmail Yüksek
İsmail Yüksek
Midfielder46'
7.32
17
İrfan Can Kahveci
İrfan Can Kahveci Midfielder
6.83
11
Mason Greenwood
Mason Greenwood
Attacker46'
6.66
94
Talisca
Talisca Attacker
7.73
70
Oğuz Aydın
Oğuz Aydın
Attacker80'
6.45

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Mattéo Guendouzi
Time wasting / 9th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Fred
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Mason Greenwood
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Mert Müldür → Nélson Semedo
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Nélson Semedo
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Bruno Durdov → Lukas Sadilek
8th Substitution
81'
80'
Event
Oğuz Aydın → Talisca 
7th Substitution
Event
Peter Federico → Yvan Ikia Dimi
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Josema
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
70'
70'
Event
Anthony Musaba → Kerem Aktürkoğlu
5th Substitution
Event
Rafał Janicki
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Maksym Khlan → Maximilian Dietz
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Sondre Liseth → Erik Prekop
4th Substitution
63'
46'
Event
Mason Greenwood → İrfan Can Kahveci
1st Substitution
46'
Event
İsmail Yüksek → Marco Asensio
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Michal Sacek
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
45+10'
41'
Event
Jayden Oosterwolde
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Erik Janza 
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
28'
12'
Event
Talisca 
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Lukas Sadilek
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
11'
10'
Event
Milan Škriniar 
Penalty awarded

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Anthony Musaba takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-1.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matteo Guendouzi receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Frederico Rodrigues Santos.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mason Greenwood receives a yellow card.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Mert Muldur replaces Nelson Cabral Semedo.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Nelson Cabral Semedo.
81
Update Update
Bruno Durdov comes on for Lukas Sadilek.
80
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Oguz Aydin comes on for Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca.
76
Attempt Attempt
Frederico Rodrigues Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
73
Attempt Attempt
Peter Federico takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Ismail Yuksek takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
72
Attempt Attempt
Ismail Yuksek takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca attempts a header but misses the shot.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
70
Update Update
Anthony Musaba comes on, replacing Kerem Aktürkoğlu.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Josema.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Attempt Attempt
Taofeek Ismaheel takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Attempt Attempt
Michal Sacek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Rafal Janicki.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Update Update
Sondre Liseth is on, and Erik Prekop is off.
62
Update Update
Maksym Khlan is on, and Maximilian Dietz is off.
59
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca attempts a header but misses the shot.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Update Update
Offside.
52
Update Update
Offside.
46
Update Update
Mason Greenwood comes on for Irfan Can Kahveci.
46
Update Update
Ismail Yuksek comes on for Marco Asensio Willemsen.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Michal Sacek with his right foot results in a goal.
45
Attempt Attempt
Yvan Junior Ikia Dimi takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Michal Sacek scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Erik Prekop.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Sadilek takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Erik Prekop takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Update Update
Offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Taofeek Ismaheel takes a left-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Milan Skriniar attempts a header but misses the shot.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jayden Oosterwolde.
38
Attempt Attempt
Josema takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a left-footed shot but misses.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Erik Janza takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Erik Janza receives a yellow card.
23
Attempt Attempt
Frederico Rodrigues Santos attempted a header but missed the shot.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Update Update
Offside.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a left-footed shot and scores.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca scores, making it 0-1.
11
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lukas Sadilek receives a yellow card.
10
Update Update
VAR decision results in a penalty awarded to Milan Skriniar.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Attempt Attempt
Irfan Can Kahveci takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Lothar Dhondt.

CONCLUSION

The second leg delivered a balanced 1-1 result that preserved Fenerbahce's aggregate lead despite their lower conversion of high expected goal opportunities. Gornik Zabrze matched the visitors goal for goal while operating from a lower possession base and limited chance creation. The absence of disciplinary interventions allowed both teams to maintain full squads across the full ninety minutes. This outcome highlighted the gap between underlying metrics and actual scoreline while confirming market consistency in the process. Fenerbahce advances with a narrow overall margin that reflects their first leg edge more than second leg dominance.