Gorica vs Osijek preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
ŠRC Velika Gorica
1. HNL
GoricaGorica
OsijekOsijek
KICKOFF :
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Gorica host Osijek in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at ŠRC Velika Gorica. Domestically, Gorica sit 8th in the table while Osijek are 9th. Power ranking favours Osijek by 0.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Osijek holds a narrow power advantage of 0.6 points over Gorica with scores of 62.54 to 61.89.
  • Form: Gorica and Osijek both enter with form scores of zero and no last outing details.
  • Squad: No squad composition details available for Gorica or Osijek.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this 1. HNL fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data absent for both competing teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxies used and no xG available for Gorica or Osijek.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable across attack and defense for both Gorica and Osijek.
  • Market: Baseline split: Gorica 35.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.7% (Δ+0%) | Osijek 34.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
VS
Osijek T. Radotic
T. Radotic
1.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 61 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 62 W
Vukovar Rank: 56 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 61 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 L
Vukovar Rank: 55 L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 W
Varaždin Rank: 64 L
Rijeka Rank: 72 W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 9 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gorica
35.45%
Draw
29.71%
Away Osijek
34.84%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.89
62.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gorica
Osijek
Power Score
61.89
62.54
League Position
8
9
Global Rank
437
419

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Osijek — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gorica Osijek

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Matijaš
71 D. Matijaš
S. Peric
45 S. Peric
J. Filipović
4 J. Filipović
M. Čabraja
19 M. Čabraja
Ž. Trontelj
22 Ž. Trontelj
I. Pozo La Rosa
8 I. Pozo La Rosa
A. Kavelj
36 A. Kavelj
B. Bogojević
25 B. Bogojević
J. Pršir
10 J. Pršir
T. Epailly
64 T. Epailly
A. Erceg
50 A. Erceg
N. Curcija
1 N. Curcija
B. Barišić
3 B. Barišić
R. Jurišić
22 R. Jurišić
L. Jelenić
26 L. Jelenić
I. Kolarik
49 I. Kolarik
O. Petrusenko
16 O. Petrusenko
V. Bubanja
21 V. Bubanja
N. Omerović
11 N. Omerović
N. Farkaš
41 N. Farkaš
M. Jovičić
98 M. Jovičić
I. Barić
46 I. Barić

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
ŠRC Velika Gorica
Capacity
8000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
6.75
10
Jurica Prsir
Jurica Prsir Midfielder
6.96
22
Zan Trontelj
Zan Trontelj Midfielder
6.93
25
Bruno Bogojevic
Bruno Bogojevic Midfielder
6.68
64
Théo Epailly
Théo Epailly Midfielder
6.55
50
Ante Erceg
Ante Erceg Centre Forward
6.83
4
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic Centre Back
6.8
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Central Midfield
6.86
8
Iker Pozo
Iker Pozo Central Midfield
7.14
19
Marijan Cabraja
Marijan Cabraja Left Back
7.06
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Right Back
6.71

Starting XI ▼

1
Nikola Curcija
Nikola Curcija Goalkeeper
6.64
46
Ivan Barić
Ivan Barić Centre Forward
6.52
11
Nail Omerovic
Nail Omerovic Left Wing
6.87
98
Miloš Jovičić
Miloš Jovičić Right Wing
6.46
26
Luka Jelenic
Luka Jelenic Right Back
6.82
49
Ivano Kolarik
Ivano Kolarik Right Back
6.63
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
Oleksandr Petrusenko Defensive Midfield
6.7
22
Roko Jurisic
Roko Jurisic Left Back
6.76
41
Niko Farkas
Niko Farkas Attacking Midfield
6.34
3
Borna Barisic
Borna Barisic Left Back
6.78
21
Vladan Bubanja
Vladan Bubanja Defensive Midfield
6.79

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Osijek holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Osijek a 0.6-point edge. External projection is Gorica 35.5%, draw 29.7%, and Osijek 34.8%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.