Gorica vs Osijek preview

Croatia flag 2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia
ŠRC Velika Gorica Sat, 1 Aug - 7:00 PM
1. HNL
GoricaGorica
0 2
OsijekOSI
Full Time Sat, 1 Aug 7:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
|
Goal
Nail Omerovic - 14' (P)

CONTEXT

Gorica faced Osijek in a match that ended 0-2. Osijek scored both goals in the first half to lead 0-2 at halftime. Gorica recorded 46 percent possession compared to Osijek's 54 percent. No red cards were shown to players from either team. Osijek entered as the stronger side and claimed the win. A significant deviation of 100 percent was recorded with Osijek as the deviation team. Efficiency remained in line with overall patterns. Market alignment held true based on the result. Limited statistical inputs restricted further breakdowns but the scoreline stood as the definitive measure of the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Gorica 0-2 Osijek. Osijek showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the match patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was true according to the recorded outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated from the provided null values.
  • Event impact: Osijek's two first-half goals created the decisive event impact.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards for both teams produced no red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Vukančić
I. Vukančić
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Kolarević
D. Kolarević
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Marić
A. Marić
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Erceg
M. Erceg
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
VS
Osijek F. Bessone Luna
F. Bessone Luna
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rijeka Rank: 75 L
Osijek Rank: 68 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 65 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 85 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 66 W
Vukovar Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 65 W
Gorica Rank: 65 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 66 L
Vukovar Rank: 59 L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 69 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 77 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.24
67.55
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gorica
Osijek
Power Score
65.24
67.55
League Position
10
2
Global Rank
452
377

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Osijek — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gorica Osijek

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Gorica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Osijek

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gorica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Osijek
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.67
55.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
55.56
24.67
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Gorica -2.27 Efficiency Index
vs
Osijek +2.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Gorica
Osijek
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gorica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Osijek
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Gorica Osijek
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Gorica Osijek
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Gorica
Osijek
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Gorica
vs
Osijek
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Gorica Osijek
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Gorica 0.19
Osijek 0.45
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Gorica Osijek
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Gorica 0.03
Osijek 0.00
Gorica
Osijek
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • OSI had peak pressure around 53'.
  • OSI started the game with stronger pressure.
Gorica Pressure OSI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: OSI reached the top pressure at 53' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gorica Gorica Home
8 matches
Osijek OSI Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
3
Goals
7
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
7
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-02T00:04:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 01, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
ŠRC Velika Gorica
Capacity
8000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ivan Vukančić
Dario Kolarević
Anto Marić
Mateo Erceg

Statistics

Possession
Gorica
45%
OSI
55%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 3
2 Shots 9
47 Dangerous attacks 60
46 Possession 54
3 Corners 8
18 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
14 Goal Kicks 6
5 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 23
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Assists 1
13 Dribble Attempts 17
6 Successful Dribbles 9
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

Attacking

83 Attacks 81
4 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

59 Long Passes 57
363 Passes 430
267 Successful Passes 356
74 Successful Passes Percentage 83
8 Key Passes 22
22 Successful Long Passes 31
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54

Defensive

5 Saves 4
15 Tackles 16
10 Interceptions 9
57 Duels Won 43

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 19
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Ivan Vukančić

Starting XI ▼

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
7.27
32
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic (C) Defender
6.64
34
Ivan Cvijanovic
Ivan Cvijanovic Defender
7.1
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Defender
6.49
21
Hadji Issa Moustapha
Hadji Issa Moustapha
Defender87'
2
Filip Braut
Filip Braut Midfielder
6.97
66
Juraj Frigan
Juraj Frigan
Midfielder81'
6.35
24
Domagoj Pavicic
Domagoj Pavicic Midfielder
6.7
25
Bruno Bogojevic
Bruno Bogojevic Midfielder
6.88
4
Kevin Custovic
Kevin Custovic
Midfielder62'
6.84
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Midfielder
6.97
7
Ognjen Bakic
Ognjen Bakic Attacker
6.69
20
Luka Vrzic
Luka Vrzic
Attacker62'
6.58
9
Patrik Mijic
Patrik Mijic Attacker
6.42
99
Medin Gashi
Medin Gashi Attacker
6.4
26
Keenan Carole
Keenan Carole
Attacker46'
6.42
Referee : Ivan Vukančić

Starting XI ▼

31
Marko Malenica
Marko Malenica Goalkeeper
7.39
22
Roko Jurisic
Roko Jurisic Defender
7.39
26
Luka Jelenic
Luka Jelenic Defender
6.93
33
Emin Hasic
Emin Hasic
Defender78'
6.46
49
Ivano Kolarik
Ivano Kolarik Defender
7.21
77
Senad Mustafic
Senad Mustafic Defender
7.09
7
Ivan Dolcek
Ivan Dolcek Midfielder
7.15
17
Arnel Jakupovic
Arnel Jakupovic
Attacker63'
7.09
11
Nail Omerovic
Nail Omerovic Midfielder
7.91
30
Admir Ljatifi
Admir Ljatifi
Attacker87'
23
Luka Vrbancic
Luka Vrbancic Midfielder
7.25
39
Domagoj Bukvic
Domagoj Bukvic Midfielder
8.53
48
Jona Jezic
Jona Jezic Midfielder
6.98
8
Simun Mikolcic
Simun Mikolcic
Midfielder63'
6.81
99
Balelo
Balelo Attacker
6.82
79
Armando León
Armando León
Attacker46'
6.57

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Hadji Issa Moustapha → Stefan Peric
10th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Admir Ljatifi → Nail Omerovic
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Senad Mustafic
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Juraj Frigan → Filip Braut
8th Substitution
81'
78'
Event
Emin Hasic → Luka Jelenic
7th Substitution
65'
Event
Simun Mikolcic
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
63'
Event
Arnel Jakupovic → Ivan Dolcek
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Simun Mikolcic → Jona Jezic
6th Substitution
Event
Kevin Custovic → Bruno Bogojevic
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Luka Vrzic → Ognjen Bakic
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Keenan Carole → Medin Gashi
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Armando León → Balelo
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
14'
Event
Nail Omerovic
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Stefan Peric
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
13'
7'
Event
Ivan Dolcek
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Bukvic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Armando Leon Resendez takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Luka Vrzic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
88
Attempt Attempt
Simun Mikolcic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
87
Update Update
Hadji Moustapha is on, and Stefan Peric is off.
87
Substitution Substitution
Hadji Moustapha is substituted for Stefan Peric.
86
Substitution Substitution
Admir Ljatifi is substituted for Nail Omerovic.
86
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Senad Mustafic receives a yellow card.
81
Update Update
Juraj Frigan comes on for Filip Braut.
78
Attempt Attempt
Arnel Jakupovic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
78
Update Update
Emin Hasic is on, and Luka Jelenic is off.
76
Attempt Attempt
Arnel Jakupovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic's header is saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Luka Vrzic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Simun Mikolcic.
64
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Arnel Jakupovic comes on for Ivan Dolcek.
63
Substitution Substitution
Simun Mikolcic is substituted for Jona Jezic.
62
Update Update
On comes Kevin Custovic, off goes Bruno Bogojevic.
62
Update Update
Luka Vrzic is on, and Bakic Ognjen is off.
61
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Bukvic takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
61
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
59
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Armando Leon Resendez attempts a header but misses the shot.
53
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Bukvic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
51
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Dolcek's left-footed shot is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Luka Jelenic takes a shot with his head but misses.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Attempt Attempt
Luka Jelenic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Attempt Attempt
Luka Jelenic takes a header shot but misses.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Armando Leon Resendez is on, and Balelo is off.
46
Update Update
Keenan Carole is on, and Medin Gashi is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Bukvic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
44
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Peric takes a shot with another body part, but it misses the target.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Attempt Attempt
Jona Jezic takes a header shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Roko Jurisic takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
34
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a shot with his right foot, but it hits the post.
34
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Bogojevic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Balelo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Balelo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Attempt Attempt
Ognjen Bakic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nail Omerovic scores with a right-footed shot.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Nail Omerovic scores, making it 0-2.
13
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Stefan Peric receives a yellow card.
11
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Ivan Dolcek with his left foot results in a goal.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ivan Dolcek scores, making it 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Ivan Vukancic.

CONCLUSION

The 0-2 result confirmed Osijek's control after an early two-goal lead at halftime. Gorica's 46 percent possession did not translate into goals against a side that managed the game effectively without numerical changes. Absence of red cards kept both teams at full strength for the full duration. Osijek's stronger team designation matched the final outcome and the significant deviation level. Efficiency alignment and market alignment both held without contradiction from the data. Lack of xG figures prevented additional layers of analysis yet the scoreline remained consistent with observed events. The contest concluded without further adjustments or disruptions.