Gorica vs Hajduk Split preview

Croatia flag 2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia
ŠRC Velika Gorica Today - 7:00 PM
1. HNL
GoricaGorica
1 2
Hajduk SplitHAJ
Full Time Today 7:00 PM
Round 3 Regular Season
Bruno Bogojevic - 78' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Marko Livaja - 87'

CONTEXT

Gorica and Hajduk Split met on the pitch with the away team taking the spoils in a 1-2 result. The first half concluded at 0-1 for Hajduk Split. Throughout the game Gorica maintained 38 percent possession against the visitors 62 percent. The absence of red cards meant the match flowed without major interruptions. Hajduk Split proved to be the better side by winning the encounter. Their performance showed a significant deviation from the norm in a positive manner. Overall the result reflected the expected outcome based on team strengths and available metrics. The second half saw Gorica push forward but they could only manage one goal in response to Hajduk Split's lead. This outcome highlighted the away team's resilience and tactical discipline.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Gorica 1-2 Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the away team's dominance.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not met with sufficient data for evaluation.
  • Event impact: Event impact was minimal with no major disruptions during the match.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role as no cards were issued.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Pavlešić
P. Pavlešić
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
K. Novosel
K. Novosel
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Luka Kurtović
Luka Kurtović
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Bel
D. Bel
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
VS
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.63
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 67 L
Osijek Rank: 67 L
Rijeka Rank: 74 L
Osijek Rank: 67 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 61 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 84 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: 65 D
Varaždin Rank: 70 L
Vukovar Rank: 57 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 67 D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 84 L
Varaždin Rank: 70 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 5
5

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.5
74.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gorica
Hajduk Split
Power Score
62.5
74.67
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
482
155

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gorica Hajduk Split

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Gorica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hajduk Split

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gorica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hajduk Split
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Gorica Hajduk Split
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Gorica Hajduk Split
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Gorica
Hajduk Split
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Gorica
vs
Hajduk Split
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Gorica Hajduk Split
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Gorica 0.00
Hajduk Split 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Gorica Hajduk Split
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Gorica 0.00
Hajduk Split 0.00
Gorica
Hajduk Split
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAJ had peak pressure around 90'.
  • HAJ started the game with stronger pressure.
Gorica Pressure HAJ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAJ reached the top pressure at 90' (92.93).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gorica Gorica Home
8 matches
Hajduk Split HAJ Away
Match Record
2
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
6
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-16T18:30:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
ŠRC Velika Gorica
Capacity
8000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Patrik Pavlešić
Kristijan Novosel
Luka Kurtović
Dario Bel

Statistics

Possession
Gorica
40%
HAJ
60%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 4
6 Shots 7
50 Dangerous attacks 67
38 Possession 62
3 Corners 4
17 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
10 Goal Kicks 12
5 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 20
16 Dribble Attempts 27
8 Successful Dribbles 11
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 41

Attacking

74 Attacks 91
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

55 Long Passes 52
294 Passes 491
214 Successful Passes 430
73 Successful Passes Percentage 88
6 Key Passes 15
16 Successful Long Passes 31
29 Successful Long Passes Percentage 60

Defensive

3 Saves 1
23 Tackles 13
7 Interceptions 4
56 Duels Won 46

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 14
8 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Patrik Pavlešić

Starting XI ▼

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
6.73
2
Filip Braut
Filip Braut Defender
7.09
7
Ognjen Bakic
Ognjen Bakic
Midfielder88'
6.68
4
Kevin Custovic
Kevin Custovic Defender
7.04
8
Jakov Pranjic
Jakov Pranjic
Midfielder46'
6.57
32
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic (C) Defender
6.51
34
Ivan Cvijanovic
Ivan Cvijanovic Defender
7.02
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Defender
6.57
24
Domagoj Pavicic
Domagoj Pavicic Midfielder
6.8
18
Bartol Kardum
Bartol Kardum
Attacker90+3'
6.45
25
Bruno Bogojevic
Bruno Bogojevic Midfielder
7.19
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Midfielder
7.04
66
Juraj Frigan
Juraj Frigan Midfielder
6.39
14
Stjepan Kucis
Stjepan Kucis
Midfielder74'
6.56
9
Patrik Mijic
Patrik Mijic Attacker
6.72
20
Luka Vrzic
Luka Vrzic
Attacker74'
6.85
Referee : Patrik Pavlešić

Starting XI ▼

33
Toni Silic
Toni Silic Goalkeeper
6.15
5
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Defender
6.88
8
Niko Sigur
Niko Sigur Defender
6.98
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Defender
6.66
22
Mathieu Acapandié
Mathieu Acapandié Defender
6.11
38
Luka Hodak
Luka Hodak
Defender46'
6.74
32
Simun Hrgovic
Simun Hrgovic Defender
6.99
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Midfielder
6.88
20
Alberto del Moral
Alberto del Moral
Midfielder68'
6.65
16
Andjelo Sutalo
Andjelo Sutalo Midfielder
6.97
7
Abdoulie Sanyang
Abdoulie Sanyang
Midfielder79'
7.18
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Midfielder
7.48
23
Marin Soticek
Marin Soticek Midfielder
6.49
26
Adam Guram
Adam Guram
Midfielder67'
6.57
11
Michele Sego
Michele Sego (C) Attacker
6.29
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja
Attacker79'
6.89

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Bartol Kardum → Domagoj Pavicic
10th Substitution
90+3'
90'
Event
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Ognjen Bakic → Filip Braut
9th Substitution
88'
87'
Event
Marko Livaja
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
79'
Event
Marko Livaja → Michele Sego
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Abdoulie Sanyang → Andjelo Sutalo
8th Substitution
Event
Bruno Bogojevic
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
78'
Event
Stjepan Kucis → Juraj Frigan
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Luka Vrzic → Patrik Mijic
6th Substitution
74'
71'
Event
Andjelo Sutalo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
68'
Event
Alberto del Moral → Adrion Pajaziti
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Adam Guram → Marin Soticek
3rd Substitution
Event
Ivan Cvijanovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
52'
51'
Event
Michele Sego
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Jakov Pranjic → Kevin Custovic
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Luka Hodak → Mathieu Acapandié
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
3'
Event
Michele Sego
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-2
79
Update Update
On Abdoulie Sanyang，Off Andjelo Sutalo
78
Update Update
On Marko Livaja，Off Michele Sego
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-2
74
Update Update
On Luka Vrzic，Off Patrik Mijic
73
Update Update
On Stjepan Kucis，Off Juraj Frigan
73
Corner Corner
Corner
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Niko Sigur Left Footed Shot Blocked
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Andjelo Sutalo
67
Update Update
On Alberto del Moral，Off Adrion Pajaziti
64
Update Update
On Alberto del Moral，Off Adrion Pajaziti
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Michele Sego Head Shot Blocked
53
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Patrik Mijic Head Shot Saved
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marin Soticek Right Footed Shot Missed
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Michele Sego
47
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Patrik Mijic Head Shot Saved
47
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marin Soticek Right Footed Shot Missed
46
Update Update
On Luka Hodak，Off Mathieu Acapandie
46
Update Update
On Jakov Pranjic，Off Kevin Custovic
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marin Soticek Right Footed Shot Missed
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bruno Bogojevic Right Footed Shot Missed
40
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Rokas Pukstas Left Footed Shot Missed
30
Corner Corner
Corner
25
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Stefan Peric Head Shot Missed
24
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Rokas Pukstas Left Footed Shot Saved
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simun Hrgovic Left Footed Shot Blocked
19
Corner Corner
Corner
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bruno Bogojevic Right Footed Shot Missed
13
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Right Footed Shot Missed
13
Corner Corner
Corner
13
Corner Corner
Corner
11
Corner Corner
Corner
3
Corner Corner
Corner
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Marin Soticek Right Footed Shot Blocked
1
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Michele Sego 0-1，Assist：Rokas Pukstas

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Gorica 1-2 Hajduk Split. Structural assessment: Hajduk Split exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.