Gil Vicente vs Arouca preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Gil VicenteGVFC
AroucaFCA
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Gil Vicente host Arouca in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. Domestically, Gil Vicente sit 6th in the table while Arouca are 11th. Power ranking favours Gil Vicente by 4.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Gil Vicente enjoys a 4.9 power point advantage over Arouca, marking them as the stronger side.
  • Form: Both teams register neutral form scores of zero with no recent outings specified.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or injuries reported for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics not provided in preview data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Gil Vicente 56.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Arouca 19% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gil Vicente P. da Silva Peixoto
P. da Silva Peixoto
VS
Arouca V. Freire De Seabra
V. Freire De Seabra
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rio Ave Rank: 64 D
Casa Pia Rank: 62 W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 70 L
Tondela Rank: 61 D
AVS Rank: 58 W
Santa Clara Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Santa Clara Rank: 66 D
Alverca Rank: 65 L
Estrela Amadora Rank: 59 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Estoril Rank: 68 W
Moreirense Rank: 68 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 7 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gil Vicente
56.35%
Draw
24.63%
Away Arouca
19.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.02
65.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gil Vicente
Arouca
Power Score
70.02
65.16
League Position
6
11
Global Rank
209
329

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gil Vicente — Opponent-weighted form score
Arouca — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gil Vicente Arouca

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Leite Figueira
99 D. Leite Figueira
J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
2 J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
J. Buatu Mananga
39 J. Buatu Mananga
M. Elimbi Gilbert
4 M. Elimbi Gilbert
G. Konan
3 G. Konan
F. Cáseres
5 F. Cáseres
L. Leite Esteves
10 L. Leite Esteves
M. De Souza Costa
77 M. De Souza Costa
S. Garcia Gonzalez
95 S. Garcia Gonzalez
A. Moreira Morales
27 A. Moreira Morales
G. Pereira De Sousa
89 G. Pereira De Sousa

General Information

Date & Time
May 11, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Capacity
12046
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca
João Pedro Ferreira Martins
David Moisés Rodrigues Soares
Humberto Teixeira

Expected Lineup

Referee : Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Starting XI ▼

99
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira Goalkeeper
6.87
89
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela Centre Forward
6.74
2
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves Right Back
6.77
10
Luís André Leite Esteves
Luís André Leite Esteves Defensive Midfield
7.22
77
Murilo de Souza Costa
Murilo de Souza Costa Right Wing
7.07
3
Ghislain Konan
Ghislain Konan Left Back
6.74
95
Santiago García González
Santiago García González Attacking Midfield
7.11
4
Marvin Adolphe Fabrice Elimbi Gilbert
Marvin Adolphe Fabrice Elimbi Gilbert Left Back
6.74
5
Facundo Agustín Cáseres
Facundo Agustín Cáseres Defensive Midfield
6.78
27
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales Left Wing
6.73
39
Buatu
Buatu Right Back
6.81
Referee : Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Starting XI ▼

12
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
Ignacio de Arruabarrena Goalkeeper
6.78
17
Iván Barbero
Iván Barbero Centre Forward
6.76
7
Naïs Djouahra
Naïs Djouahra Left Wing
6.84
28
Tiago Esgaio
Tiago Esgaio Right Back
6.84
22
Espen van Ee
Espen van Ee Defensive Midfield
6.84
10
Pablo Gozálbez
Pablo Gozálbez Attacking Midfield
6.59
15
Javi Sánchez
Javi Sánchez Left Back
6.9
19
Alfonso Trezza
Alfonso Trezza Right Wing
6.69
3
José Fontán
José Fontán Left Back
6.76
21
Taichi Fukui
Taichi Fukui Defensive Midfield
6.78
25
Bas Kuipers
Bas Kuipers Right Back
6.57

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Gil Vicente holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Gil Vicente a 4.9-point edge. External projection is Gil Vicente 55.8%, draw 24.8%, and Arouca 19.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.