Germany vs Paraguay preview

2026 World Cup, World
Boston Stadium Today - 8:30 PM
World Cup
Germany GER
Paraguay PAR
KICKOFF : Today - 8:30 PM
Round of 32

CONTEXT

Germany hosts Paraguay in a World Cup Round of 32 clash at Boston Stadium in the 2026 season. The home side enters as the clear structural frontrunner boasting a power score of 33.33 to the visitors 22.47 for a 10.9 point edge. Domestic league standings reinforce this hierarchy with Germany perched at the summit and Paraguay occupying third place. Form metrics further tilt toward the hosts who register 25.89 against Paraguay's 16. Both sides operate under a domestic cup structure that places emphasis on immediate performance rather than extended campaigns. Data gaps persist around efficiency and set piece execution where low confidence levels and proxy modeling limit precise evaluation. Overall the fixture presents a test of Germany's superior underlying metrics against Paraguay's more modest profile.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Germany holds a significant power score advantage of 10.9 points over Paraguay.
  • Form: Germany enters with a superior form score of 25.89 compared to Paraguay's 16.
  • Squad: Germany occupies the top league position while Paraguay sits third.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams ahead of this encounter.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the current dataset for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance indicators show low confidence with proxy data utilized.
  • xVariable: The power advantage stands at 10.9 points favoring the home side.
  • Market: Germany 71.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 18.2% (Δ+0%) | Paraguay 10.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Germany J. Nagelsmann
J. Nagelsmann
VS
Paraguay G. Alfaro
G. Alfaro
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ecuador Rank: L
Côte d'Ivoire Rank: W
Curacao Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Australia Rank: D
Türkiye Rank: W
United States Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Germany
71.65%
Draw
18.2%
Away Paraguay
10.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.33
22.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Germany
Paraguay
Power Score
33.33
22.47
League Position
1
3
Global Rank
10
40

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Germany — Opponent-weighted form score
Paraguay — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Germany Paraguay

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Germany GER Home
0 matches
Paraguay PAR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-29T00:01:08+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
M. Neuer
1 M. Neuer
J. Kimmich
6 J. Kimmich
A. Rüdiger
2 A. Rüdiger
J. Tah
4 J. Tah
D. Raum
22 D. Raum
F. Nmecha
23 F. Nmecha
A. Pavlović
5 A. Pavlović
L. Sané
19 L. Sané
J. Musiala
10 J. Musiala
F. Wirtz
17 F. Wirtz
K. Havertz
7 K. Havertz
O. Gill
12 O. Gill
A. Maidana Mendieta
26 A. Maidana Mendieta
J. Canale Domínguez
13 J. Canale Domínguez
G. Gómez Portillo
15 G. Gómez Portillo
V. Velázquez Ramos
2 V. Velázquez Ramos
J. Cáceres
4 J. Cáceres
J. Enciso
19 J. Enciso
M. Galarza Fonda
23 M. Galarza Fonda
A. Cubas
14 A. Cubas
M. Almirón Rejala
10 M. Almirón Rejala
G. Ávalos Stumpfs
21 G. Ávalos Stumpfs

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 29, 2026, 08:30 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 32
Stadium
Boston Stadium
Capacity
66829
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jalal Jayed
Zakaria Brinsi
Mostafa Akarkad
Ning Ma

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jalal Jayed

Starting XI ▼

1
Manuel Neuer
Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper
6.46
7
Kai Havertz
Kai Havertz Centre Forward
7.11
23
Felix Nmecha
Felix Nmecha Defensive Midfield
7.23
4
Jonathan Tah
Jonathan Tah Left Back
6.88
5
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Aleksandar Pavlovic Defensive Midfield
6.82
6
Joshua Kimmich
Joshua Kimmich Right Back
7.52
19
Leroy Sané
Leroy Sané Right Wing
6.69
22
David Raum
David Raum Left Back
6.65
2
Antonio Rüdiger
Antonio Rüdiger Right Back
6.61
10
Jamal Musiala
Jamal Musiala Attacking Midfield
7.11
17
Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz Left Wing
7.28
Referee : Jalal Jayed

Starting XI ▼

12
Orlando Gill
Orlando Gill Goalkeeper
7.12
10
Miguel Almirón
Miguel Almirón Midfielder
6.19
19
Julio Enciso
Julio Enciso Midfielder
7
21
Gabriel Ávalos
Gabriel Ávalos Centre Forward
6.65
2
Gustavo Velázquez
Gustavo Velázquez Right Back
6.68
4
Juan José Cáceres
Juan José Cáceres Right Back
6.89
15
Gustavo Gómez
Gustavo Gómez Centre Back
6.77
23
Matías Galarza Fonda
Matías Galarza Fonda Central Midfield
7.18
13
José Canale
José Canale Left Back
6.41
14
Andrés Cubas
Andrés Cubas Central Midfield
6.83
26
Alexandro Maidana
Alexandro Maidana Left Back
6.55

CONCLUSION

Germany's combination of elevated power metrics, stronger recent form and leading domestic position creates a platform for control against Paraguay. The visitors will need to exploit any transitional openings or defensive lapses to remain competitive on the road. Absence of detailed efficiency and set piece figures adds an element of uncertainty that both coaching staffs must navigate through in-game adjustments. Structural superiority should allow Germany to dictate tempo and territory while Paraguay focuses on compact organization and quick counters. The encounter ultimately hinges on whether the hosts can convert their underlying edges into sustained pressure throughout the ninety minutes.