Gent vs Genk preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Planet Group Arena Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
Pro League
Gent GNT
Genk GNK
KICKOFF : Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
Final

CONTEXT

Gent welcomes Genk to the Planet Group Arena for the Conference League Play-offs final in the 2025/2026 Pro League season. The visitors carry a modest power advantage of 5.7 points, reflected in their higher rating of 77.28 against the hosts' 71.59. Genk also posts the stronger recent form mark at 20.56 while Gent sits at 13.83. Both sides enter this decisive fixture without recent outing details available. The match represents a key international cup encounter where domestic league positions hold no direct relevance. Limited underlying metrics leave several performance areas open to interpretation ahead of kickoff. Genk enters as the side with greater overall strength according to compiled ratings.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Genk enters with a 5.7 point power advantage over Gent.
  • Form: Genk records a superior form score of 20.56 against Gent's 13.83.
  • Squad: Genk features the stronger overall squad rating in this fixture.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency figures remain unavailable for either side.
  • Transition: Transition data offers no clear distinction between the teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics carry low confidence and rely on proxies.
  • xVariable: Genk demonstrates the higher power rating at 77.28.
  • Market: Projection split: Gent 32.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | Genk 42.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
VS
Genk N. Hayen
N. Hayen
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: 87 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 85 D
Sint-Truiden Rank: 78 D
Anderlecht Rank: 73 D
Mechelen Rank: 69 L
Club Brugge Rank: 87 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Antwerp Rank: 68 D
Standard Liège Rank: 71 D
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 L
Standard Liège Rank: 71 D
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 14 - 27
27
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gent
32.35%
Draw
25.01%
Away Genk
42.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.59
77.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gent
Genk
Power Score
71.59
77.28
League Position
5
7
Global Rank
170
87

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Genk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Genk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 59 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home
59 matches
Genk GNK Away
Match Record
18
Wins
27
14
Draws
14
27
Losses
18
Goals
75
Goals Scored
95
95
Goals Conceded
75
-20
Goal Difference
+20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-28T00:07:16+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Roef
33 D. Roef
D. Hashioka
4 D. Hashioka
M. Volckaert
57 M. Volckaert
S. Van der Heyden
44 S. Van der Heyden
J. Duverne
29 J. Duverne
L. da Silva Lopes
22 L. da Silva Lopes
M. Delorge-Knieper
17 M. Delorge-Knieper
T. De Vlieger
27 T. De Vlieger
T. Alves Araújo
20 T. Alves Araújo
H. Hong
24 H. Hong
A. Kanga
7 A. Kanga
L. Kiaba Mounganga
28 L. Kiaba Mounganga
Y. Medina Ortiz
19 Y. Medina Ortiz
J. Ndenge Kongolo
44 J. Ndenge Kongolo
M. Sadick Aliu
3 M. Sadick Aliu
Z. El Ouahdi
77 Z. El Ouahdi
B. Heynen
8 B. Heynen
I. Bangoura
21 I. Bangoura
A. Yokoyama
30 A. Yokoyama
D. Heymans
38 D. Heymans
J. Ito
10 J. Ito
A. Bibout
23 A. Bibout

General Information

Date & Time
May 31, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Final
Stadium
Planet Group Arena
Capacity
20185
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
7.04
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Midfielder
6.88
29
Jean-Kévin Duverne
Jean-Kévin Duverne Midfielder
6.59
24
Hyun-seok Hong
Hyun-seok Hong Attacker
6.71
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga Attacker
6.98
17
Mathias Delorge
Mathias Delorge Central Midfield
6.98
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Central Midfield
6.75
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Central Midfield
6.99
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Right Back
6.64
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Left Back
6.88
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Centre Back
6.79

Starting XI ▼

28
Lucca Brughmans
Lucca Brughmans Goalkeeper
6.97
23
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout Centre Forward
6.85
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Zakaria El Ouahdi Right Back
7.19
30
Ayumu Yokoyama
Ayumu Yokoyama Left Wing
6.99
38
Daan Heymans
Daan Heymans Attacking Midfield
7.17
44
Josué Kongolo
Josué Kongolo Left Back
6.87
3
Mujaid Sadick
Mujaid Sadick Right Back
6.78
8
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen Defensive Midfield
7.25
10
Junya Ito
Junya Ito Right Wing
7.12
19
Yaimar Medina
Yaimar Medina Left Back
6.82
21
Ibrahima Bangoura
Ibrahima Bangoura Defensive Midfield
6.74

CONCLUSION

Gent must leverage home support at the Planet Group Arena to offset Genk's edge in power and form. The visitors arrive with greater overall strength and will look to control proceedings in this play-off decider. Limited data across efficiency and set pieces leaves room for in-game adjustments from both coaches. Genk's higher rating suggests they hold the platform to dictate tempo, yet the hosts remain capable of producing a response on their own turf. Expect a competitive encounter shaped by tactical discipline rather than statistical dominance alone. The outcome will determine progression in the Conference League Play-offs.