Gent vs Genk preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Planet Group Arena Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
Pro League
Gent GNT
Genk GNK
KICKOFF : Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
Final

CONTEXT

Gent and Genk prepare to clash in the decisive Conference League Play-offs Final within the Pro League during the 2025/2026 season. The fixture is set at the Planet Group Arena, providing Gent with home advantage in this international cup encounter. Genk enters as the stronger side according to power metrics, boasting 77.3 points to Gent's 71.61, which grants them a notable 5.7 point edge. Recent form also favors Genk, who lead with a score of 20.56 over Gent's 13.83. Both teams lack detailed last outing information, and league positions are not specified as the focus remains on this playoff stage. The absence of knockout tie details suggests this is a standalone final. Set piece and efficiency insights remain limited due to unavailable xG data, relying instead on proxy assessments with low confidence. This matchup promises an intriguing battle between two Belgian sides vying for supremacy in the playoff decider.

TL;DR

  • Structural: The encounter takes place in the Conference League Play-offs Final at Planet Group Arena.
  • Form: Genk holds a superior form score of 20.56 compared to Gent's 13.83.
  • Squad: Genk is identified as the stronger team with a power score of 77.3 against Gent's 71.61.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis indicates low confidence levels with proxy data used for Gent and Genk.
  • xVariable: Genk enjoys a power advantage of 5.7 points over Gent.
  • Market: Gent 32.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | Genk 42.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
VS
Genk N. Hayen
N. Hayen
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: 87 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 85 D
Sint-Truiden Rank: 78 D
Anderlecht Rank: 73 D
Mechelen Rank: 69 L
Club Brugge Rank: 87 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Antwerp Rank: 68 D
Standard Liège Rank: 71 D
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 L
Standard Liège Rank: 71 D
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 14 - 27
27
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gent
32.35%
Draw
25.01%
Away Genk
42.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.61
77.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gent
Genk
Power Score
71.61
77.3
League Position
5
7
Global Rank
170
87

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Genk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Genk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 59 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home
59 matches
Genk GNK Away
Match Record
18
Wins
27
14
Draws
14
27
Losses
18
Goals
75
Goals Scored
95
95
Goals Conceded
75
-20
Goal Difference
+20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-27T00:07:01+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Roef
33 D. Roef
D. Hashioka
4 D. Hashioka
M. Volckaert
57 M. Volckaert
S. Van der Heyden
44 S. Van der Heyden
J. Duverne
29 J. Duverne
L. da Silva Lopes
22 L. da Silva Lopes
M. Delorge-Knieper
17 M. Delorge-Knieper
T. De Vlieger
27 T. De Vlieger
T. Alves Araújo
20 T. Alves Araújo
H. Hong
24 H. Hong
A. Kanga
7 A. Kanga
L. Kiaba Mounganga
28 L. Kiaba Mounganga
Y. Medina Ortiz
19 Y. Medina Ortiz
J. Ndenge Kongolo
44 J. Ndenge Kongolo
M. Sadick Aliu
3 M. Sadick Aliu
Z. El Ouahdi
77 Z. El Ouahdi
B. Heynen
8 B. Heynen
I. Bangoura
21 I. Bangoura
A. Yokoyama
30 A. Yokoyama
D. Heymans
38 D. Heymans
J. Ito
10 J. Ito
A. Bibout
23 A. Bibout

General Information

Date & Time
May 31, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Final
Stadium
Planet Group Arena
Capacity
20185
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
7.04
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Midfielder
6.88
29
Jean-Kévin Duverne
Jean-Kévin Duverne Midfielder
6.59
24
Hyun-seok Hong
Hyun-seok Hong Attacker
6.71
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga Attacker
6.98
17
Mathias Delorge
Mathias Delorge Central Midfield
6.98
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Central Midfield
6.75
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Central Midfield
6.99
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Right Back
6.64
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Left Back
6.88
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Centre Back
6.79

Starting XI ▼

28
Lucca Brughmans
Lucca Brughmans Goalkeeper
6.97
23
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout Centre Forward
6.85
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Zakaria El Ouahdi Right Back
7.19
30
Ayumu Yokoyama
Ayumu Yokoyama Left Wing
6.99
38
Daan Heymans
Daan Heymans Attacking Midfield
7.17
44
Josué Kongolo
Josué Kongolo Left Back
6.87
3
Mujaid Sadick
Mujaid Sadick Right Back
6.78
8
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen Defensive Midfield
7.25
10
Junya Ito
Junya Ito Right Wing
7.12
19
Yaimar Medina
Yaimar Medina Left Back
6.82
21
Ibrahima Bangoura
Ibrahima Bangoura Defensive Midfield
6.74

CONCLUSION

Anticipation builds for this playoff final where Genk's overall superiority in power and form positions them favorably against Gent on home soil. The structural setup of the Conference League Play-offs Final adds intensity to the occasion at Planet Group Arena. With squad strengths tilting towards Genk, the visitors may look to exploit their advantages in key areas. Limited efficiency and transition data leave room for on-field surprises, while set piece contributions carry uncertainty given the proxy nature of available information. The xVariable of power differential highlights Genk's edge, yet home support could inspire Gent to perform beyond expectations. Ultimately, the contest represents a high-stakes conclusion to the playoff phase, with both teams eager to secure the desired outcome in this season's international cup competition.