Gent vs Genk preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Planet Group Arena Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
Pro League
Gent GNT
Genk GNK
KICKOFF : Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
Final

CONTEXT

The Conference League Play-offs Final brings Gent and Genk together at Planet Group Arena for a decisive Pro League clash in the 2025/2026 season. Genk arrives as the stronger side with a power score of 77.23 against Gent's 71.53, creating a 5.7-point advantage that underscores their overall edge. Form metrics further tilt toward the visitors who post 20.56 compared to the hosts' 13.83. Both teams operate without recent outing data, leaving preparation details sparse ahead of this high-stakes encounter. The fixture carries significant implications for progression in the international competition structure. Tactical discipline and squad depth will likely determine outcomes on the pitch. Supporters anticipate a tense atmosphere as the sides contest the final stage.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Genk holds a 5.7-point power score advantage over Gent.
  • Form: Genk posts a higher form score of 20.56 than Gent's 13.83.
  • Squad: Squad composition details remain unavailable for both teams.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is not supplied in the current metrics.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are absent from the provided information.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy usage for both sides.
  • xVariable: xVariable insights are not detailed within the dataset.
  • Market: Gent 32.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | Genk 42.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
VS
Genk N. Hayen
N. Hayen
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: 87 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 85 D
Sint-Truiden Rank: 78 D
Anderlecht Rank: 73 D
Mechelen Rank: 69 L
Club Brugge Rank: 87 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Antwerp Rank: 68 D
Standard Liège Rank: 71 D
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 L
Standard Liège Rank: 71 D
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 14 - 27
27
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gent
32.35%
Draw
25.01%
Away Genk
42.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.53
77.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gent
Genk
Power Score
71.53
77.23
League Position
5
7
Global Rank
171
87

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Genk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Genk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 59 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home
59 matches
Genk GNK Away
Match Record
18
Wins
27
14
Draws
14
27
Losses
18
Goals
75
Goals Scored
95
95
Goals Conceded
75
-20
Goal Difference
+20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-29T00:03:35+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Roef
33 D. Roef
D. Hashioka
4 D. Hashioka
M. Volckaert
57 M. Volckaert
S. Van der Heyden
44 S. Van der Heyden
J. Duverne
29 J. Duverne
L. da Silva Lopes
22 L. da Silva Lopes
M. Delorge-Knieper
17 M. Delorge-Knieper
T. De Vlieger
27 T. De Vlieger
T. Alves Araújo
20 T. Alves Araújo
H. Hong
24 H. Hong
A. Kanga
7 A. Kanga
L. Kiaba Mounganga
28 L. Kiaba Mounganga
Y. Medina Ortiz
19 Y. Medina Ortiz
J. Ndenge Kongolo
44 J. Ndenge Kongolo
M. Sadick Aliu
3 M. Sadick Aliu
Z. El Ouahdi
77 Z. El Ouahdi
B. Heynen
8 B. Heynen
I. Bangoura
21 I. Bangoura
A. Yokoyama
30 A. Yokoyama
D. Heymans
38 D. Heymans
J. Ito
10 J. Ito
A. Bibout
23 A. Bibout

General Information

Date & Time
May 31, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Final
Stadium
Planet Group Arena
Capacity
20185
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
7.04
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Midfielder
6.88
29
Jean-Kévin Duverne
Jean-Kévin Duverne Midfielder
6.59
24
Hyun-seok Hong
Hyun-seok Hong Attacker
6.71
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga Attacker
6.98
17
Mathias Delorge
Mathias Delorge Central Midfield
6.98
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Central Midfield
6.75
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Central Midfield
6.99
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Right Back
6.64
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Left Back
6.88
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Centre Back
6.79

Starting XI ▼

28
Lucca Brughmans
Lucca Brughmans Goalkeeper
6.97
23
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout Centre Forward
6.85
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Zakaria El Ouahdi Right Back
7.19
30
Ayumu Yokoyama
Ayumu Yokoyama Left Wing
6.99
38
Daan Heymans
Daan Heymans Attacking Midfield
7.17
44
Josué Kongolo
Josué Kongolo Left Back
6.87
3
Mujaid Sadick
Mujaid Sadick Right Back
6.78
8
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen Defensive Midfield
7.25
10
Junya Ito
Junya Ito Right Wing
7.12
19
Yaimar Medina
Yaimar Medina Left Back
6.82
21
Ibrahima Bangoura
Ibrahima Bangoura Defensive Midfield
6.74

CONCLUSION

Genk enters this Conference League Play-offs Final with measurable edges in power and form that position them favorably against Gent at Planet Group Arena. The visitors' superior ratings suggest they may control key phases of play through structured organization and sustained pressure. Gent will rely on home support and defensive resilience to counter the challenge and create opportunities. Limited data on efficiency and transitions leaves room for in-game adjustments by both coaches. Set piece execution could emerge as a decisive factor given the proxy-based assessments available. Overall the contest shapes as a test of tactical execution where Genk's structural strengths may prove influential in securing the desired result.