Gent vs Anderlecht preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Planet Group Arena Sun, 10 May - 11:30 AM
Pro League
GentGNT
AnderlechtADL
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 11:30 AM
Round 7 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Gent host Anderlecht in Pro League (Championship Round) at Planet Group Arena. Domestically, Gent sit 6th in the table while Anderlecht are 6th. Power ranking favours Anderlecht by 1.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Anderlecht possesses a 1.4-point power advantage over Gent with scores of 72.79 to 71.4.
  • Form: Anderlecht's form score stands at 25, surpassing Gent's 11.83.
  • Squad: Gent and Anderlecht both hold sixth place in the Pro League standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: No specific transition data is provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis relies on low-confidence proxy data with xG unavailable for both Gent and Anderlecht.
  • xVariable: xG data remains unavailable, limiting advanced variable assessments.
  • Market: Gent 42.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.9% (Δ+0%) | Anderlecht 30.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
VS
Anderlecht J. Taravel
J. Taravel
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: 69 L
Club Brugge Rank: 84 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 86 D
Sint-Truiden Rank: 75 D
Anderlecht Rank: 73 L
Mechelen Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: 85 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 85 L
Sint-Truiden Rank: 75 L
Mechelen Rank: 70 W
Gent Rank: 71 W
Club Brugge Rank: 86 L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 19 - 29
29
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gent
42.57%
Draw
26.92%
Away Anderlecht
30.51%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.4
72.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gent
Anderlecht
Power Score
71.4
72.79
League Position
6
6
Global Rank
179
146

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Anderlecht

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 61 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home
61 matches
Anderlecht ADL Away
Match Record
13
Wins
29
19
Draws
19
29
Losses
13
Goals
59
Goals Scored
100
100
Goals Conceded
59
-41
Goal Difference
+41
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:06:16+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
C. Coosemans
26 C. Coosemans
L. Augustinsson
6 L. Augustinsson
M. Diarra
93 M. Diarra
M. Angely
4 M. Angely
I. Camara
7 I. Camara
E. Llansana
24 E. Llansana
M. Kana
55 M. Kana
T. Degreef
83 T. Degreef
Y. Verschaeren
10 Y. Verschaeren
M. Cvetković
9 M. Cvetković
T. Hazard
11 T. Hazard

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 7 · Championship Round
Stadium
Planet Group Arena
Capacity
20185
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mathias Hillaert
Maarten Toeback
Nathan Verboomen
Wesli De Cremer

Expected Lineup

Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Starting XI ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
7
8
Michal Skoras
Michal Skoras Midfielder
7.47
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Midfielder
6.88
21
Max Dean
Max Dean Midfielder
6.89
37
Abdelkahar Kadri
Abdelkahar Kadri Midfielder
6.87
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga Centre Forward
7.03
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Central Midfield
6.96
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Right Back
6.57
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Central Midfield
6.75
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Left Back
6.88
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Centre Back
6.83
Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Starting XI ▼

26
Colin Coosemans
Colin Coosemans Goalkeeper
6.84
11
Thorgan Hazard
Thorgan Hazard Centre Forward
7.32
9
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Mihajlo Cvetkovic Right Wing
6.8
4
Mathys Angély
Mathys Angély Right Back
6.09
7
Ilay Camara
Ilay Camara Right Back
6.63
24
Enric Llansana
Enric Llansana Defensive Midfield
6.83
55
Marco Kana
Marco Kana Defensive Midfield
6.76
83
Tristan Degreef
Tristan Degreef Left Wing
6.61
93
Moussa Diarra
Moussa Diarra Left Back
6.56
10
Yari Verschaeren
Yari Verschaeren Attacking Midfield
6.76
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
Ludwig Augustinsson Left Back
6.91

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Anderlecht holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Anderlecht a 1.4-point edge. External projection is Gent 41.4%, draw 26.8%, and Anderlecht 31.8%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.