Genoa VS AC Milan

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM

Serie A

Genoa GEN

AC Milan MIL

KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM

Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Genoa welcomes AC Milan to the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris for a Serie A regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. The visitors arrive as the stronger side, holding a power score of 83.73 to Genoa's 75.04, translating to an 8.7-point advantage and fourth place in the standings compared to the hosts' 14th position. Despite this, Genoa boasts a healthier form score of 15.28 against Milan's 6.61, hinting at potential resilience from the Grifone. Both teams lack detailed recent outing data, setting the stage for a contest where Milan's overall quality could prevail over Genoa's home advantage and momentum. Set piece and efficiency metrics remain unavailable due to absent xG data, leaving focus on structural edges and transitional battles. Milan's projection split underscores their favoritism in this matchup.

TL;DR

Structural: AC Milan possesses a clear structural edge with an 83.73 power score and 8.7-point advantage over Genoa's 75.04.
Form: Genoa holds a superior form score of 15.28 compared to AC Milan's 6.61.
Squad: AC Milan ranks 4th in Serie A while Genoa sits in 14th place.
Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible for either team.
Market: Projection split: Genoa 20.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.2% (Δ+0%) | AC Milan 54.6% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

D. De Rossi

M. Allegri

1.36

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.8

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

7 - 8 - 21

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Genoa

20.19%

Draw

25.22%

AC Milan

54.58%

Team Power Ranking

75.04

83.73

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Genoa

AC Milan

Power Score

75.04

83.73

League Position

Global Rank

115

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Genoa — Opponent-weighted form score

AC Milan — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Genoa AC Milan

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Genoa GEN Home

36 matches

AC Milan MIL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-22

Goal Difference

+22

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:03:37+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

May 17, 2026, 12:00 AM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Capacity

33205

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

D. De Rossi Coach

Squad ▼

Benjamin Siegrist Goalkeeper

Justin Bijlow Goalkeeper

Nicola Leali Goalkeeper

Daniele Sommariva Goalkeeper

Ernestas Lysionok Goalkeeper

Stefano Sabelli Defender

Aarón Martín Caricol Defender

Leo Skiri Oestigaard Defender

Johan Felipe Vásquez Ibarra Defender

Brooke Norton-Cuffy Defender

Alessandro Marcandalli Defender

Nils Zätterström Defender

Sebastian Otoa Defender

Ruslan Malinovskiy Midfielder

Morten Frendrup Midfielder

Mikael Egill Ellertsson Midfielder

Jean Emile Junior Onana Onana Midfielder

Tommaso Baldanzi Midfielder

Patrizio Masini Midfielder

Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho Midfielder

Gnaly Maxwell Cornet Attacker

Caleb Ekuban Attacker

Junior Messias Attacker

Lorenzo Colombo Attacker

Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira Attacker

Jeff Ekhator Attacker

Manager ▼

M. Allegri Coach

Squad ▼

Mike Maignan Goalkeeper

Pietro Terracciano Goalkeeper

Lorenzo Torriani Goalkeeper

Fikayo Tomori Defender

Pervis Josué Estupiñán Tenorio Defender

Matteo Gabbia Defender

Strahinja Pavlović Defender

Koni De Winter Defender

Davide Bartesaghi Defender

David Uyoyo Odogu Defender

Zachary Athekame Defender

Luka Modrić Midfielder

Ruben Loftus-Cheek Midfielder

Adrien Rabiot Midfielder

Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder

Youssouf Fofana Midfielder

Samuele Ricci Midfielder

Ardon Jasari Midfielder

Niclas Füllkrug Attacker

Christian Pulisic Attacker

Christopher Nkunku Attacker

Rafael Alexandre Conceição Leão Attacker

Santiago Tomás Giménez Attacker

CONCLUSION

AC Milan's superior power rating and higher league standing position them as favorites against a Genoa side buoyed by better recent form at home. The 8.7-point edge suggests Milan's quality should shine through in possession and chance creation, though Genoa's momentum could spark an upset in the Luigi Ferraris. Without xG or set piece insights, the battle hinges on structural strengths and transitional efficiency. Expect Milan to control proceedings and secure a vital win to maintain top-four aspirations, while Genoa fights to bridge the gap in mid-table skirmishes.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT