Genk vs Westerlo preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Luminus Arena Sun, 10 May - 5:15 PM
Pro League
GenkGNK
WesterloKVC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 5:15 PM
Round 7 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Genk welcomes Westerlo to Luminus Arena for a crucial Conference League Play-off Group clash in the 2025/2026 Pro League season. As the home side, Genk boasts a superior power score of 76.33 compared to Westerlo's 70.93, translating to a 5.4-point advantage that underscores their structural edge in this international cup encounter. Despite Westerlo holding a marginal form lead at 22.06 against Genk's 20.39, the hosts' overall strength positions them as favorites. Both teams enter without recent outing details, and league positions remain undefined in this stage. Set piece metrics rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data available, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in dead-ball situations. Genk's home dominance could prove decisive in navigating this competitive fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Genk possesses a 5.4-point power advantage over Westerlo with scores of 76.33 to 70.93.
  • Form: Westerlo leads slightly in form scores at 22.06 compared to Genk's 20.39.
  • Squad: Squad composition details unavailable for both Genk and Westerlo.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics not provided for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data absent for Genk and Westerlo.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis uses low-confidence proxies without xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xVariable metrics unavailable due to lack of xG data.
  • Market: Genk 57% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.8% (Δ+0%) | Westerlo 20.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Genk N. Hayen
N. Hayen
VS
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
1.41
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 70 L
Standard Liège Rank: 69 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 69 D
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
OH Leuven Rank: 64 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: 64 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 L
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Genk Rank: 76 L
Standard Liège Rank: 72 W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 W
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 8 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Genk
56.96%
Draw
22.78%
Away Westerlo
20.25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.33
70.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Genk
Westerlo
Power Score
76.33
70.93
League Position
7
9
Global Rank
96
191

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Genk — Opponent-weighted form score
Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Genk Westerlo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Genk GNK Home
31 matches
Westerlo KVC Away
Match Record
18
Wins
5
8
Draws
8
5
Losses
18
Goals
55
Goals Scored
31
31
Goals Conceded
55
+24
Goal Difference
-24
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:37:59+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
A. Jungdal
99 A. Jungdal
A. Lapage
4 A. Lapage
R. Neustädter
33 R. Neustädter
S. Kimura
5 S. Kimura
A. Sayyadmanesh
7 A. Sayyadmanesh
A. Piedfort
46 A. Piedfort
D. Haspolat
34 D. Haspolat
B. Reynolds
22 B. Reynolds
I. Sakamoto
13 I. Sakamoto
I. Ferri Julià
90 I. Ferri Julià
S. Saito
38 S. Saito

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 05:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 7 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
Luminus Arena
Capacity
24956
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jonas Van Dyck
Ben Gonnissen
Matonga Simonini
Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Expected Lineup

Referee : Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Starting XI ▼

28
Lucca Brughmans
Lucca Brughmans Goalkeeper
6.61
23
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout Centre Forward
6.84
6
Matte Smets
Matte Smets Left Back
7.12
8
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen Defensive Midfield
7.26
10
Junya Ito
Junya Ito Right Wing
6.98
18
Joris Kayembe
Joris Kayembe Left Back
6.89
21
Ibrahima Bangoura
Ibrahima Bangoura Defensive Midfield
6.75
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Left Wing
6.76
38
Daan Heymans
Daan Heymans Attacking Midfield
7.19
44
Josué Kongolo
Josué Kongolo Right Back
6.71
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Zakaria El Ouahdi Right Back
7.18
Referee : Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Starting XI ▼

99
Andreas Jungdal
Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper
6.86
7
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Midfielder
6.98
22
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds Midfielder
6.75
90
Nacho Ferri
Nacho Ferri Centre Forward
7.1
38
Shunsuke Saito
Shunsuke Saito Attacker
6.74
13
Isa Sakamoto
Isa Sakamoto Attacker
6.81
4
Amando Lapage
Amando Lapage Left Back
7.04
5
Seiji Kimura
Seiji Kimura Right Back
6.75
33
Roman Neustädter
Roman Neustädter Centre Back
6.75
34
Doğucan Haspolat
Doğucan Haspolat Central Midfield
7.25
46
Arthur Piedfort
Arthur Piedfort Central Midfield
7

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Genk holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Genk a 5.4-point edge. External projection is Genk 57%, draw 22.8%, and Westerlo 20.3%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.