Gaziantep F.K. vs İstanbul Başakşehir preview

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Gaziantep Stadyumu Sat, 16 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Gaziantep F.K.Gaziantep F.K.
İstanbul BaşakşehirIBA
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 5:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Gaziantep F.K. welcome İstanbul Başakşehir to Gaziantep Stadyumu in a Super Lig regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 12th in the table, the hosts face a stern test against 6th-placed visitors who boast a substantial power rating edge of 11.4 points—76.63 to Gaziantep's 65.27—marking Başakşehir as the stronger side overall. Form metrics further tilt the balance, with Başakşehir's impressive 24.61 score dwarfing Gaziantep's modest 6.61, suggesting recent momentum lies firmly with the away team. No specific last outings are noted, but league positions underscore Başakşehir's superior consistency. Home advantage could play a role for Gaziantep, yet the visitors' structural superiority points to control in possession and chance creation. Data on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces remains unavailable, shifting emphasis to core tactical battles and squad execution in this mid-table tussle with playoff implications lurking.

TL;DR

  • Structural: İstanbul Başakşehir possess a 11.4-point power advantage over Gaziantep F.K., ranking 6th against 12th in the Super Lig.
  • Form: Başakşehir's form score of 24.61 greatly exceeds Gaziantep F.K.'s 6.61.
  • Squad: League standings highlight Başakşehir's stronger squad depth at 6th place compared to Gaziantep F.K.'s 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as data add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Gaziantep F.K. 24.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.3% (Δ+0%) | İstanbul Başakşehir 52% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gaziantep F.K. M. Radoi
M. Radoi
VS
İstanbul Başakşehir N. Şahin
N. Şahin
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.95
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Göztepe Rank: 74 L
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 62 L
Kayserispor Rank: 62 W
Rizespor Rank: 68 L
Alanyaspor Rank: 69 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: 74 W
Fenerbahçe Rank: 84 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 66 W
Trabzonspor Rank: 80 D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 66 W
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 1 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gaziantep F.K.
24.69%
Draw
23.32%
Away İstanbul Başakşehir
51.99%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.27
76.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gaziantep F.K.
İstanbul Başakşehir
Power Score
65.27
76.63
League Position
12
6
Global Rank
331
95

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gaziantep F.K. — Opponent-weighted form score
İstanbul Başakşehir — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gaziantep F.K. İstanbul Başakşehir

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gaziantep F.K. Gaziantep F.K. Home
13 matches
İstanbul Başakşehir IBA Away
Match Record
4
Wins
8
1
Draws
1
8
Losses
4
Goals
13
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
13
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:03:09+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Bozan
71 M. Bozan
D. Sorescu
18 D. Sorescu
N. Sangare
30 N. Sangare
M. Abena
14 M. Abena
A. Kızıldağ
4 A. Kızıldağ
K. Rodrigues
77 K. Rodrigues
D. Camara
3 D. Camara
V. Gidado
8 V. Gidado
A. Maxim
44 A. Maxim
K. Kozłowski
10 K. Kozłowski
M. Bayo
9 M. Bayo
M. Şengezer
16 M. Şengezer
K. Karataş
88 K. Karataş
J. Opoku
3 J. Opoku
L. Duarte da Silva
5 L. Duarte da Silva
Ö. Şahiner
42 Ö. Şahiner
M. Crespo da Silva
13 M. Crespo da Silva
O. Kemen
8 O. Kemen
A. Harit
25 A. Harit
E. Shomurodov
14 E. Shomurodov
Y. Sari
7 Y. Sari
B. Yıldırım
91 B. Yıldırım

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gaziantep Stadyumu
Capacity
33502
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

71
Burak Bozan
Burak Bozan Goalkeeper
6.64
9
Mohamed Bayo
Mohamed Bayo Attacker
7.01
10
Kacper Kozlowski
Kacper Kozlowski Attacker
7.01
8
Victor Ntino-Emo Gidado
Victor Ntino-Emo Gidado Central Midfield
6.5
14
Myenty Abena
Myenty Abena Centre Back
6.74
44
Alexandru Maxim
Alexandru Maxim Central Midfield
7.4
77
Kévin Rodrigues
Kévin Rodrigues Left Back
6.84
18
Deian Sorescu
Deian Sorescu Right Back
6.84
3
Drissa Camara
Drissa Camara Central Midfield
7.06
4
Arda Kızıldağ
Arda Kızıldağ Left Back
6.7
30
N. Sangaré
N. Sangaré Right Back
6.76

Starting XI ▼

16
Muhammed Şengezer
Muhammed Şengezer Goalkeeper
7.05
91
Bertuğ Yıldırım
Bertuğ Yıldırım Centre Forward
6.86
5
Léo Duarte
Léo Duarte Right Back
6.99
7
Yusuf Sarı
Yusuf Sarı Right Wing
7.21
14
Eldor Shomurodov
Eldor Shomurodov Attacking Midfield
7.28
3
Jerome Opoku
Jerome Opoku Left Back
6.82
8
Olivier Kemen
Olivier Kemen Defensive Midfield
6.93
13
Miguel Crespo
Miguel Crespo Defensive Midfield
6.84
25
Amine Harit
Amine Harit Left Wing
7.05
42
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Ömer Ali Şahiner Right Back
6.72
88
Kazımcan Karataş
Kazımcan Karataş Left Back
6.55

CONCLUSION

This Super Lig matchup pits Gaziantep F.K.'s home resilience against İstanbul Başakşehir's evident superiority in power, form, and positioning. With a 11.4-point edge and superior 24.61 form score, the visitors appear primed to dominate proceedings at Gaziantep Stadyumu. Lacking detailed efficiency or set piece insights, the game hinges on Başakşehir's ability to convert their structural advantages into tangible results. Gaziantep must summon a defensive masterclass and capitalize on counter opportunities to challenge the 6th-placed side. Expect a controlled affair favoring the away team, potentially extending their strong league standing.