Fulham vs Chelsea preview
2026/2027 Premier League, England
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The encounter between Fulham and Chelsea concluded with a 2-3 scoreline in favor of the visitors. Chelsea, identified as the stronger side, overcame an early deficit in possession to claim the win. At halftime, the score stood at 1-2. Fulham dominated the ball with 62 percent possession but generated an expected goals total of 1.55, while Chelsea recorded 1.86 despite holding only 38 percent. The xG differential of negative 0.31 reflected Chelsea's efficiency in converting opportunities. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the ninety minutes. The outcome proved consistent with the pre-match projections and the underlying metrics. This result highlighted Chelsea's ability to perform effectively even when not controlling the majority of possession.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Fulham 2-3 Chelsea. Chelsea showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both teams.
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xG alignment: The match outcome aligned with the xG values of 1.55 for Fulham and 1.86 for Chelsea.
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Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with pre-match assessments of team capabilities.
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xG expectations: Chelsea fulfilled xG expectations by outperforming Fulham on lower possession.
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Event impact: Limited major events allowed the xG differential to shape the final result.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards issued meant no distortion occurred from disciplinary incidents.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
86.4
88.53
Fulham
Chelsea
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Fulham
Chelsea
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Fulham
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Fulham
Fulham
Chelsea
Fulham
Chelsea
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Fulham
Fulham
Chelsea
Fulham
Chelsea
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- FUL had peak pressure around 29'.
- CHE started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-08-25T00:07:18+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
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vs
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League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sun, 30 Aug - 1:00 PM
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Match Commentary