Frosinone vs Mantova preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Benito Stirpe Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Serie B
FrosinoneFRO
MantovaMAN
KICKOFF : Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Frosinone host Mantova in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Domestically, Frosinone sit 2th in the table while Mantova are 8th. Power ranking favours Frosinone by 12.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Frosinone sits second in Serie B, eight places above Mantova in eighth, with a 12.6-point power advantage.
  • Form: Frosinone's form score of 38.44 outpaces Mantova's 28.22.
  • Squad: Frosinone's squad power rates at 67.98, superior to Mantova's 55.42.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data shows low confidence with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of data.
  • Market: Frosinone 59.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.7% (Δ+0%) | Mantova 19% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Frosinone M. Alvini
M. Alvini
VS
Mantova F. Modesto
F. Modesto
2.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.46
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 W
Carrarese Rank: 54 W
Modena Rank: 57 W
Palermo Rank: 65 D
Calcio Padova Rank: 50 W
Südtirol Rank: 51 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza Rank: 67 W
Südtirol Rank: 53 W
Avellino Rank: 50 L
Spezia Rank: 52 W
Virtus Entella Rank: 48 W
Modena Rank: 58 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Frosinone
59.28%
Draw
21.7%
Away Mantova
19.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.98
55.42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Frosinone
Mantova
Power Score
67.98
55.42
League Position
2
8
Global Rank
256
638

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Frosinone — Opponent-weighted form score
Mantova — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Frosinone Mantova

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Frosinone FRO Home
11 matches
Mantova MAN Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
4
Goals
17
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
17
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:04:30+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
L. Palmisani
22 L. Palmisani
J. Oyono Omva Torque
20 J. Oyono Omva Torque
G. Cittadini
2 G. Cittadini
I. Monterisi
30 I. Monterisi
G. Bracaglia
79 G. Bracaglia
G. Calò
14 G. Calò
M. Cichella
16 M. Cichella
F. Gelli
10 F. Gelli
F. Ghedjemis
7 F. Ghedjemis
A. Raimondo
9 A. Raimondo
G. Kvernadze
17 G. Kvernadze
F. Bardi
24 F. Bardi
A. Castellini
27 A. Castellini
S. Cella
29 S. Cella
A. Dembélé
3 A. Dembélé
F. Benaissa-Yahia
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia
R. Kouda
80 R. Kouda
S. Trimboli
21 S. Trimboli
T. Maggioni
96 T. Maggioni
F. Ruocco
19 F. Ruocco
T. Marras
23 T. Marras
L. Mancuso
9 L. Mancuso

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Capacity
16227
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gianluca Manganiello
Alessandro Costanzo
Giuseppe Perrotti
Valerio Crezzini

Expected Lineup

Referee : Gianluca Manganiello

Starting XI ▼

22
Lorenzo Palmisani
Lorenzo Palmisani Goalkeeper
7.15
7
Farès Ghedjemis
Farès Ghedjemis Attacker
7.19
9
Antonio Raimondo
Antonio Raimondo Centre Forward
6.86
17
Giorgi Kvernadze
Giorgi Kvernadze Attacker
6.78
2
Giorgio Cittadini
Giorgio Cittadini Right Back
6.9
10
Francesco Gelli
Francesco Gelli Central Midfield
6.9
14
Giacomo Calò
Giacomo Calò Central Midfield
7.63
16
Matteo Cichella
Matteo Cichella Central Midfield
6.73
20
Jérémy Oyono
Jérémy Oyono Right Back
6.69
30
Ilario Monterisi
Ilario Monterisi Left Back
7.09
79
Gabriele Bracaglia
Gabriele Bracaglia Left Back
6.92
Referee : Gianluca Manganiello

Starting XI ▼

24
Francesco Bardi
Francesco Bardi Goalkeeper
6.61
19
Francesco Ruocco
Francesco Ruocco Midfielder
6.88
23
Tommaso Marras
Tommaso Marras Midfielder
6.99
50
Fahem Benaïssa
Fahem Benaïssa Midfielder
6.86
96
Tommaso Maggioni
Tommaso Maggioni Midfielder
6.65
9
Leonardo Mancuso
Leonardo Mancuso Centre Forward
6.72
3
Ali Dembélé
Ali Dembélé Right Back
6.77
21
Simone Trimboli
Simone Trimboli Central Midfield
7.09
27
Alessio Castellini
Alessio Castellini Left Back
7.03
29
Stefano Cella
Stefano Cella Centre Back
6.81
80
Rachid Kouda
Rachid Kouda Central Midfield
6.63

CONCLUSION

Frosinone's advantages in power rating, league position, and form position them strongly for a home win against Mantova. The 12.6-point edge and superior metrics highlight their dominance, while Mantova's mid-table status and lower scores suggest vulnerability. Absent detailed set piece and efficiency insights limit full tactical depth, but overall structural superiority points to Frosinone control. Expect the hosts to leverage home advantage at Stadio Benito Stirpe for a convincing performance in this Serie B encounter.