Frosinone vs Juventus preview

Italy flag 2026/2027 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Serie A
FrosinoneFRO
0 1
JuventusJUV
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season
|
Goal
Bremer - 22'

CONTEXT

In the Serie A match at Frosinone's home ground Juventus claimed a 0-1 victory with the sole goal arriving before the interval. The halftime score stood at 0-1 and the visitors preserved their advantage through the second period. Juventus held 63 percent possession while Frosinone managed 37 percent. Expected goals stood at 0.55 for the hosts and 1.77 for Juventus producing a differential of 1.22. The stronger side Juventus delivered the win and the outcome remained consistent with the underlying metrics. No red cards were issued to either team during the contest. The performance reflected a clear edge in chance creation and territorial control for the away side throughout the ninety minutes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Juventus recorded a significant structural deviation of 100 percent from baseline expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with projected performance levels.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned with the expected goals differential of 1.22.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with pre-match projections.
  • xG expectations: Juventus fulfilled xG expectations by generating 1.77 expected goals.
  • Event impact: The first-half goal created the decisive event impact on the 0-1 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown resulting in no distortion from disciplinary events.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Ayroldi
G. Ayroldi
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Rossi
L. Rossi
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Moro
D. Moro
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Mariani
M. Mariani
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Frosinone M. Alvini
M. Alvini
VS
Juventus L. Spalletti
L. Spalletti
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.92
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Torino Rank: 75 D
Fiorentina Rank: 80 L
Lecce Rank: 72 W
Hellas Verona Rank: 64 D
AC Milan Rank: 85 D
Bologna Rank: 80 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
31.65
85.61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Frosinone
Juventus
Power Score
31.65
85.61
League Position
16
7
Global Rank
190
33

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Frosinone — Opponent-weighted form score
Juventus — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Frosinone Juventus

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Frosinone

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Juventus

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Frosinone ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Juventus
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.32
36.51
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.51
34.32
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Frosinone -0.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Juventus +0.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Frosinone
Juventus
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Frosinone
vs
Juventus
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Frosinone Juventus
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
27%
42%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.15 vs -0.74
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Frosinone Juventus
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
42%
27%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.74 vs -0.15
Frosinone
Juventus
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Frosinone
vs
Juventus
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Frosinone Juventus
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Frosinone 0.32
Juventus 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Frosinone Juventus
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Frosinone 0.02
Juventus 0.00
Frosinone
Juventus
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • JUV had peak pressure around 36'.
  • FRO started the game with stronger pressure.
FRO Pressure JUV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: JUV reached the top pressure at 36' (79.76).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Serie A, Italy · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Capacity
16227
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Giovanni Ayroldi
Luigi Rossi
Davide Moro
Maurizio Mariani

Statistics

Possession
FRO
39%
JUV
61%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 4
7 Shots 9
34 Dangerous attacks 60
37 Possession 63
3 Corners 12
18 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

66 Ball Safe 86
13 Goal Kicks 11
9 Goal Attempts 13
5 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 20
1 Hit Woodwork 1
18 Successful Headers 8
0 Assists 1
1 Injuries 0
7 Dribble Attempts 22
3 Successful Dribbles 10
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

Attacking

79 Attacks 89
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

47 Long Passes 49
273 Passes 480
187 Successful Passes 405
68 Successful Passes Percentage 84
10 Key Passes 16
11 Successful Long Passes 21
23 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

4 Saves 2
20 Tackles 8
6 Interceptions 13
57 Duels Won 41

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 15
4 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Giovanni Ayroldi

Starting XI ▼

22
Lorenzo Palmisani
Lorenzo Palmisani Goalkeeper
7.32
2
Giorgio Cittadini
Giorgio Cittadini Defender
7.32
3
Gabriele Calvani
Gabriele Calvani Defender
6.74
30
Ilario Monterisi
Ilario Monterisi (C) Defender
6.62
20
Anthony Oyono
Anthony Oyono
Defender67'
6.83
79
Gabriele Bracaglia
Gabriele Bracaglia Defender
6.97
71
Aleksa Terzic
Aleksa Terzic
Defender76'
6.56
10
Romano Schmid
Romano Schmid Midfielder
6.17
73
Patrizio Masini
Patrizio Masini
Midfielder59'
6.92
14
Giacomo Calò
Giacomo Calò Midfielder
7.06
16
Matteo Cichella
Matteo Cichella Midfielder
6.39
70
Luis Hasa
Luis Hasa
Midfielder67'
6.83
17
Giorgi Kvernadze
Giorgi Kvernadze Midfielder
6.58
40
Seydou Fini
Seydou Fini Midfielder
6.9
24
Alessio Zerbin
Alessio Zerbin
Attacker59'
6.48
9
Antonio Raimondo
Antonio Raimondo Attacker
6.3
Referee : Giovanni Ayroldi

Starting XI ▼

25
Guglielmo Vicario
Guglielmo Vicario Goalkeeper
6.94
1
Mattia Perin
Mattia Perin
Goalkeeper90+1'
6.6
2
Zeki Çelik
Zeki Çelik Defender
6.64
20
Andrea Cambiaso
Andrea Cambiaso
Defender69'
6.4
3
Bremer
Bremer Defender
8.58
6
Lloyd Kelly
Lloyd Kelly Defender
6.64
15
Pierre Kalulu
Pierre Kalulu Defender
7.59
5
Manuel Locatelli
Manuel Locatelli (C) Midfielder
7.39
7
Francisco Conceição
Francisco Conceição Midfielder
7.08
11
Edon Zhegrova
Edon Zhegrova
Attacker69'
6.79
10
Kenan Yıldız
Kenan Yıldız Midfielder
7.44
13
Jérémie Boga
Jérémie Boga
Attacker69'
6.37
12
Douglas Luiz
Douglas Luiz Midfielder
7.38
8
Teun Koopmeiners
Teun Koopmeiners
Midfielder79'
6.4
22
Weston McKennie
Weston McKennie Midfielder
6.73
9
Randal Kolo Muani
Randal Kolo Muani Attacker
6.34

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Gabriele Calvani
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+3'
90+1'
Event
Mattia Perin → Guglielmo Vicario
10th Substitution
81'
Event
Andrea Cambiaso
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
Event
Teun Koopmeiners → Douglas Luiz
9th Substitution
Event
Aleksa Terzic → Gabriele Bracaglia
8th Substitution
76'
69'
Event
Jérémie Boga → Kenan Yıldız
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Andrea Cambiaso → Zeki Çelik
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Edon Zhegrova → Francisco Conceição
7th Substitution
Event
Luis Hasa → Matteo Cichella
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Anthony Oyono → Ilario Monterisi 
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Patrizio Masini → Romano Schmid
1st Substitution
59'
Event
Alessio Zerbin → Seydou Fini
2nd Substitution
59'
50'
Event
Zeki Çelik
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Romano Schmid
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
43'
22'
Event
Bremer
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 0-1.
90
Attempt Attempt
Aleksa Terzic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gabriele Calvani receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gabriele Calvani takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
90
Update Update
Mattia Perin comes on for Guglielmo Vicario.
88
Attempt Attempt
Teun Koopmeiners takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Luis Hasa takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
83
Update Update
Offside.
83
Attempt Attempt
Edon Zhegrova takes a left-footed shot but misses.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Andrea Cambiaso.
79
Update Update
Teun Koopmeiners comes on for Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo.
76
Update Update
Aleksa Terzic comes on for Gabriele Bracaglia.
74
Attempt Attempt
Giorgi Kvernadze takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
71
Attempt Attempt
Weston McKennie takes a header shot but misses.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gabriele Calvani Head Shot Missed
70
Attempt Attempt
Weston McKennie takes a shot with his head but misses.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Update Update
Jeremie Boga is on, and Kenan Yildiz is off.
67
Update Update
Edon Zhegrova comes on for Francisco Conceicao.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Andrea Cambiaso replaces Zeki Celik.
66
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Conceicao takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Weston McKennie takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
59
Update Update
Alessio Zerbin comes on for Seydou Fini.
59
Substitution Substitution
Patrizio Masini is substituted on for Romano Schmid.
58
Attempt Attempt
Giorgi Kvernadze takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Attempt Attempt
Seydou Fini takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Zeki Celik.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Conceicao takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Randal Kolo Muani's right-footed shot is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Romano Schmid receives a yellow card.
42
Attempt Attempt
Kenan Yildiz's right-footed shot is saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Kenan Yildiz with his right foot is saved.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Romano Schmid receives a yellow card.
40
Attempt Attempt
Kenan Yildiz takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
35
Attempt Attempt
Lloyd Kelly takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Lloyd Kelly takes a left-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Lloyd Kelly takes a left-footed shot but misses.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Attempt Attempt
Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
24
Update Update
Offside.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Gleison Bremer Silva Nascimento Head Shot Goal
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gleison Bremer Silva Nascimento scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Francisco Conceicao.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Randal Kolo Muani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Update Update
Offside.
17
Update Update
Offside.
17
Attempt Attempt
Gleison Bremer Silva Nascimento attempts a header but misses the shot.
16
Attempt Attempt
Gleison Bremer Silva Nascimento attempts a header but misses the shot.
13
Update Update
Offside.
13
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Raimondo takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Conceicao takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ilario Monterisi Head Shot Missed
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Giovanni Ayroldi.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Frosinone 0-1 Juventus. Structural assessment: Juventus exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.