Fredrikstad vs Start preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion Fri, 29 May - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Full Time Fri, 29 May 5:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season
|
Second yellow card A. Ujkani 90+3'

CONTEXT

Fredrikstad secured a 2-1 victory over Start after trailing 0-1 at halftime. The home side dominated possession with 62 percent of the ball while the visitors managed 38 percent. A red card to Start in the second half altered the flow of play and contributed to Fredrikstad's successful comeback. The stronger team according to pre-match assessment delivered the win as expected. No expected goals figures were recorded during the encounter. The final scoreline reflected the home side's ability to overcome the early deficit and capitalize on the numerical advantage. Adjustments in the second half proved decisive in turning the result in Fredrikstad's favor.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Fredrikstad 2-1 Start. Fredrikstad showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Performance efficiency remained in line with pre-match indicators.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The result proved consistent with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were available to evaluate scoring expectations.
  • Event impact: A red card to Start changed the dynamics after halftime.
  • Red card distortion: The away red card prompted second half adjustments for both sides.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Grøtta
M. Grøtta
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Helgerud
E. Helgerud
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Wisted
E. Wisted
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Lokkeberg
M. Lokkeberg
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Fredrikstad C. Røjkjaer
C. Røjkjaer
VS
Start A. Karadas
A. Karadas
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.64
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sandefjord Rank: 62 D
HamKam Rank: 60 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 59 L
Brann Rank: 67 L
Viking Rank: 79 L
Kristiansund Rank: 55 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vålerenga Rank: 60 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
Viking Rank: 79 L
Tromsø Rank: 68 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
HamKam Rank: 60 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fredrikstad
95.61%
Draw
4.2%
Away Start
0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.15
48.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fredrikstad
Start
Power Score
61.15
48.19
League Position
10
16
Global Rank
447
768

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Fredrikstad Opponent-weighted form score
Start Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fredrikstad Start

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Fredrikstad

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Start

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fredrikstad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Start
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.76
33.03
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.03
29.76
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fredrikstad -0.32 Efficiency Index
vs
Start +0.32 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fredrikstad
Start
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fredrikstad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Start
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fredrikstad Start
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fredrikstad Start
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Fredrikstad
Start
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Fredrikstad
vs
Start
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fredrikstad Start
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fredrikstad Start
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Fredrikstad
Start
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FFK had peak pressure around 24'.
  • FFK started the game with stronger pressure.
FFK Pressure IKS Pressure
Pressure Index: FFK reached the top pressure at 24' (78.16).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fredrikstad FFK Home
10 matches
Start IKS Away
Match Record
4
Wins
4
2
Draws
2
4
Losses
4
Goals
16
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
16
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-30T00:01:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 5-3-2

General Information

Date & Time
May 29, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
Capacity
12565
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marius Hansen Grøtta
Edvard Helgerud
Eirik Wisted
Monica Lokkeberg

Statistics

Possession
FFK
59%
IKS
41%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
2 Shots 6
69 Dangerous attacks 31
62 Possession 38
2 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 4
0 Injuries 1
17 Dribble Attempts 9
1 Assists 1
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
6 Successful Dribbles 3
21 Throwins 23
9 Goal Kicks 13
5 Goal Attempts 10
85 Ball Safe 73

Attacking

0 Counter Attacks 1
1 Big Chances Missed 1
118 Attacks 90

Possession

63 Long Passes 72
32 Successful Long Passes 23
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32
485 Successful Passes 260
592 Passes 363
82 Successful Passes Percentage 72
12 Key Passes 9

Defensive

11 Tackles 18
52 Duels Won 56
3 Saves 3
9 Interceptions 14

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 1
17 Total Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI

77
Martin Børsheim
Martin Børsheim Goalkeeper
6.67
4
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrik Holmé Defender
7.21
5
Simen Rafn
Simen Rafn Defender
6.85
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
Ulrik Fredriksen Defender
6.93
6
Samuel Leach Holm
Samuel Leach Holm Midfielder
6.86
14
Max Nilsson
Max Nilsson
Midfielder56'
6.82
13
Sondre Sørløkk
Sondre Sørløkk (C) Midfielder
6.91
19
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
6.47
16
Daniel Eid
Daniel Eid Midfielder
8.48
21
Rocco Shein
Rocco Shein Midfielder
7.1
9
S. Laghzaoui
S. Laghzaoui Attacker
6.75
7
Benjamin Faraas
Benjamin Faraas
Midfielder56'
6.56
20
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger
7.26
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
6.59
18
Jonathan Norbye
Jonathan Norbye
Defender89'
Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI

1
J. Pryts
J. Pryts Goalkeeper
6.55
3
A. Ujkani
A. Ujkani Defender
5.96
5
O. Jebali
O. Jebali Defender
6.72
27
Ousmane Diallo Toure
6.1
6
John Norheim
John Norheim (C) Defender
6.99
16
T. Strannegård
T. Strannegård Defender
6.84
29
Erlend Dahl Reitan
6.46
10
S. Mvoué
S. Mvoué Midfielder
6.46
30
L. Gausdal
L. Gausdal
Midfielder59'
6.58
18
M. Ugland
M. Ugland Midfielder
7.6
23
Erlend Segberg
Erlend Segberg Midfielder
6.7
17
J. Cornelius
J. Cornelius Attacker
7.15
22
J. Ampofo
J. Ampofo
Attacker72'
6.6
20
H. Lorentzen
H. Lorentzen Attacker
7.6
7
Alexander Figueiredo Gurendal
Alexander Figueiredo Gurendal
Attacker70'
6.35

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+5'
90+3'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Jonathan Norbye Henrik Langaas Skogvold
8th Substitution
89'
Event
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem Sondre Sørløkk
7th Substitution
85'
83'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Header / 3rd Goal
75'
72'
Event
J. Ampofo J. Cornelius
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Ousmane Diallo Toure O. Jebali
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Alexander Figueiredo Gurendal H. Lorentzen
4th Substitution
Event
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
65'
59'
Event
L. Gausdal S. Mvoué
3rd Substitution
Event
Max Nilsson Samuel Leach Holm
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Benjamin Faraas S. Laghzaoui
1st Substitution
56'
50'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
8'
Event
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Fredrikstad overcame an early deficit to claim the 2-1 win after Start received a red card. The home side's superior possession and second half response allowed them to reverse the halftime scoreline of 0-1. Without xG data the assessment relied on observed patterns and the clear impact of the dismissal. Fredrikstad maintained control after the break and converted their opportunities effectively. The outcome reinforced their status as the stronger side in this fixture. Start struggled to maintain structure following the red card and could not protect their lead. Overall the match highlighted how a single event shifted momentum decisively toward the home team.