Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
Sat, 11 Jul - 12:00 PM
Round 13 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 13
CONTEXT
Fredrikstad hosted Lillestrøm in a match that ended with a 0-2 scoreline after a goalless first half. Despite Fredrikstad holding 62 percent possession and being labeled the stronger side, Lillestrøm secured the victory with superior finishing. Expected goals stood at 1.25 for the home side and 1.51 for the visitors, reflecting a narrow underlying edge for the away team. No red cards were issued to either side, allowing both teams to maintain full squads throughout the contest. The outcome proved consistent with the xG figures as Lillestrøm converted their slight advantage into tangible results. Possession dominance by Fredrikstad failed to translate into goals, highlighting inefficiencies in the final third. Lillestrøm capitalized on key opportunities to claim the points on the road.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Final score: Fredrikstad 0-2 Lillestrøm. Lillestrøm showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall match dynamics.
-
xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the recorded xG values.
-
Market alignment: The outcome aligned with available market indicators.
-
xG expectations: Fredrikstad posted 1.25 xG against Lillestrøm's 1.51 xG.
-
Event impact: No disruptive events changed the match trajectory.
-
Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Kringstad
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
R. Langseth
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
O. Ekeli Valen
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
C. Røjkjaer
VS
H. Ødegaard
1.27
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.73
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start
Rank: 51
W
Sandefjord
Rank: 62
D
HamKam
Rank: 62
W
Sarpsborg 08
Rank: 63
L
Brann
Rank: 69
L
Viking
Rank: 79
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam
Rank: 62
L
Kristiansund
Rank: 55
L
Sandefjord
Rank: 62
W
Rosenborg
Rank: 63
L
Sarpsborg 08
Rank: 63
W
Bodø / Glimt
Rank: 83
L
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.3
49.58
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
Power Score
61.3
49.58
League Position
10
4
Global Rank
486
551
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Fredrikstad
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Lillestrøm
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Fredrikstad Lillestrøm
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Fredrikstad
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Lillestrøm
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Fredrikstad
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Lillestrøm
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.68
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Fredrikstad
-0.01
Efficiency Index
vs
Lillestrøm
+0.01
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Fredrikstad
vs
Lillestrøm
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
5%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.06
vs
-0.03
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
2%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.03
vs
-0.06
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Fredrikstad
vs
Lillestrøm
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Fredrikstad
0.19
Lillestrøm
0.56
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Fredrikstad
0.11
Lillestrøm
0.00
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- FFK had peak pressure around 63'.
- LILL started the game with stronger pressure.
FFK Pressure
LILL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
FFK reached the top pressure at 63' (80.22).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Fredrikstad
FFK
Home
2
matches
Lillestrøm
LILL
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
5
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:57:34+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-4-3
Match Formation
4-1-4-1
General Information
Date & Time
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
Capacity
12565
Attendance
8385
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Runar Langseth
Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen
Ole-Alexander Ekeli Valen
Next Match
Fredrikstad
vs
Bodø / Glimt
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Fri, 17 Jul - 5:15 PM
Venue: Aspmyra Stadion
Lillestrøm
vs
KFUM
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Jul - 2:00 PM
Venue: Åråsen Stadion
Statistics
Possession
FFK
58%
LILL
42%
Top Statistics
0
Goals
2
0
Big Chances Created
1
6
Shots
3
74
Dangerous attacks
18
62
Possession
38
8
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
93
Ball Safe
105
3
Goal Kicks
7
8
Goal Attempts
7
5
Substitutions
5
18
Throwins
18
1
Hit Woodwork
0
0
Assists
2
0
Injuries
2
3
Successful Dribbles
2
27
Successful Dribbles Percentage
18
Attacking
130
Attacks
81
4
Counter Attacks
10
Possession
622
Passes
401
87
Successful Passes Percentage
81
7
Key Passes
8
Defensive
2
Saves
1
14
Tackles
22
7
Interceptions
9
42
Duels Won
43
Build-up
20
Total Crosses
9
Discipline
4
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
10
Lineup
Referee :
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Manager ▼
C. Røjkjaer
Coach
Starting XI ▼
18
10
24
Substitutes ▼
Referee :
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Manager ▼
H. Ødegaard
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
Events
2ND-HALF
90+4'
9th Substitution
90+4'
10th Substitution
90'
8th Substitution
5th Substitution
84'
6th Substitution
84'
7th Substitution
84'
4th Substitution
74'
73'
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
3rd Substitution
68'
62'
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
4th Yellowcard
61'
3rd Yellowcard
60'
59'
1st Substitution
59'
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
2nd Yellowcard
43'
15'
1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
Final score detail: Fredrikstad 0-2 Lillestrøm. Structural assessment: Lillestrøm exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.
