Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion Sat, 11 Jul - 12:00 PM
Eliteserien
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
0 2
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm
Full Time Sat, 11 Jul 12:00 PM
Round 13 Regular Season
|
Goal
Gustav Nyheim - 62'
Thomas Lehne Olsen - 73'

CONTEXT

Fredrikstad hosted Lillestrøm in a match that ended with a 0-2 scoreline after a goalless first half. Despite Fredrikstad holding 62 percent possession and being labeled the stronger side, Lillestrøm secured the victory with superior finishing. Expected goals stood at 1.25 for the home side and 1.51 for the visitors, reflecting a narrow underlying edge for the away team. No red cards were issued to either side, allowing both teams to maintain full squads throughout the contest. The outcome proved consistent with the xG figures as Lillestrøm converted their slight advantage into tangible results. Possession dominance by Fredrikstad failed to translate into goals, highlighting inefficiencies in the final third. Lillestrøm capitalized on key opportunities to claim the points on the road.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Fredrikstad 0-2 Lillestrøm. Lillestrøm showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the recorded xG values.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Fredrikstad posted 1.25 xG against Lillestrøm's 1.51 xG.
  • Event impact: No disruptive events changed the match trajectory.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Kringstad
S. Kringstad
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Langseth
R. Langseth
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Ekeli Valen
O. Ekeli Valen
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Fredrikstad C. Røjkjaer
C. Røjkjaer
VS
Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.73
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start Rank: 51 W
Sandefjord Rank: 62 D
HamKam Rank: 62 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 63 L
Brann Rank: 69 L
Viking Rank: 79 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam Rank: 62 L
Kristiansund Rank: 55 L
Sandefjord Rank: 62 W
Rosenborg Rank: 63 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 63 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fredrikstad
0%
Draw
0%
Away Lillestrøm
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.3
49.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
Power Score
61.3
49.58
League Position
10
4
Global Rank
486
551

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fredrikstad — Opponent-weighted form score
Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fredrikstad Lillestrøm

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fredrikstad

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lillestrøm

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fredrikstad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lillestrøm
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.55
28.68
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.68
28.55
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fredrikstad -0.01 Efficiency Index
vs
Lillestrøm +0.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fredrikstad
vs
Lillestrøm
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fredrikstad Lillestrøm
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
5%
2%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.06 vs -0.03
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fredrikstad Lillestrøm
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
2%
5%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.03 vs -0.06
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Fredrikstad
vs
Lillestrøm
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fredrikstad Lillestrøm
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Fredrikstad 0.19
Lillestrøm 0.56
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fredrikstad Lillestrøm
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Fredrikstad 0.11
Lillestrøm 0.00
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Fredrikstad had peak pressure around 63'.
  • Lillestrøm started the game with stronger pressure.
Fredrikstad Pressure Lillestrøm Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Fredrikstad reached the top pressure at 63' (80.22).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad Home
2 matches
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
5
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:57:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
M. Børsheim
Norway
77 M. Børsheim
S. Rafn
Norway
5 S. Rafn
F. Holmé
Norway
4 F. Holmé
U. Fredriksen
Norway
12 U. Fredriksen
D. Eid
Norway
16 D. Eid
M. Nilsson
Substitution
Switzerland
14 M. Nilsson
O. Øhlenschlæger
Substitution
Denmark
20 O. Øhlenschlæger
F. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Substitution
Norway
19 F. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
B. Thoresen Faraas
Substitution
Norway
7 B. Thoresen Faraas
S. Laghzaoui
Substitution
Norway
9 S. Laghzaoui
H. Skogvold
Norway
23 H. Skogvold
P. Dahlberg
Sweden
12 P. Dahlberg
F. Elkær
Denmark
11 F. Elkær
U. Yttergård Jenssen
Norway
23 U. Yttergård Jenssen
L. Gabrielsen
Norway
28 L. Gabrielsen
S. Ottesen
Norway
3 S. Ottesen
G. Kjølstad Nyheim
Substitution
Norway
14 G. Kjølstad Nyheim
Y. Ibrahimaj
Kosovo
29 Y. Ibrahimaj
S. Drammeh
Substitution
Gambia
15 S. Drammeh
M. Karlsbakk
Substitution
Norway
8 M. Karlsbakk
K. Alperud
Substitution
7 K. Alperud
T. Lehne Olsen
Substitution
Norway
10 T. Lehne Olsen

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
Capacity
12565
Attendance
8385
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Runar Langseth
Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen
Ole-Alexander Ekeli Valen

Statistics

Possession
Fredrikstad
58%
Lillestrøm
42%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 3
74 Dangerous attacks 18
62 Possession 38
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

93 Ball Safe 105
3 Goal Kicks 7
8 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 18
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Assists 2
0 Injuries 2
3 Successful Dribbles 2
27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 18

Attacking

130 Attacks 81
4 Counter Attacks 10

Possession

622 Passes 401
87 Successful Passes Percentage 81
7 Key Passes 8

Defensive

2 Saves 1
14 Tackles 22
7 Interceptions 9
42 Duels Won 43

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 9

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Starting XI ▼

77
Martin Børsheim
Martin Børsheim Goalkeeper
6.67
4
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrik Holmé Defender
6.58
5
Simen Rafn
Simen Rafn Defender
6.67
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
Ulrik Fredriksen Defender
6.58
14
Max Nilsson
Max Nilsson Midfielder
6.88
26
Joachim Emmanuel Valcin Nysveen
Joachim Emmanuel Valcin Nysveen
84'
16
Daniel Eid
Daniel Eid Midfielder
7.2
19
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem Midfielder
6.51
3
Aleksander Andresen
Aleksander Andresen
84'
20
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger Midfielder
7.28
18
Jonathan Norbye
Jonathan Norbye
84'
7
Benjamin Faraas
Benjamin Faraas Attacker
6.89
10
Johannes Núñez
Johannes Núñez
74'
9
S. Laghzaoui
S. Laghzaoui Attacker
6.58
24
Leonard Owusu
Leonard Owusu
68'
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Henrik Langaas Skogvold Attacker
6.53
Referee : Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Starting XI ▼

12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
6.83
3
Sturla Ottesen
Sturla Ottesen Defender
6.99
11
Frederik Elkær
Frederik Elkær Defender
7.11
23
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen Defender
7.29
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen Defender
7.37
8
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk Midfielder
6.89
18
Kevin Krygård
Kevin Krygård
59'
14
Gustav Nyheim
Gustav Nyheim Midfielder
7.69
6
Harald Woxen
Harald Woxen
90+4'
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj Midfielder
6.97
7
Linus Alperud
Linus Alperud Attacker
6.69
20
Felix Vá
Felix Vá
59'
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Thomas Lehne Olsen Attacker
7.4
9
Kparobo Arierhi
Kparobo Arierhi
90'
15
Salieu Drammeh
Salieu Drammeh Attacker
7.18
5
Sander Moen Foss
Sander Moen Foss
90+4'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Sander Moen Foss → Salieu Drammeh
9th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Harald Woxen → Gustav Nyheim
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Kparobo Arierhi → Thomas Lehne Olsen
8th Substitution
Event
Aleksander Andresen → Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
5th Substitution
84'
Event
Jonathan Norbye → Oskar Öhlenschlaeger
6th Substitution
84'
Event
Joachim Emmanuel Valcin Nysveen → Max Nilsson
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Johannes Núñez → Benjamin Faraas
4th Substitution
74'
73'
Event
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Leonard Owusu → S. Laghzaoui
3rd Substitution
68'
62'
Event
Gustav Nyheim
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Daniel Eid
4th Yellowcard
61'
Event
Simen Rafn
3rd Yellowcard
60'
59'
Event
Kevin Krygård → Markus Karlsbakk
1st Substitution
59'
Event
Felix Vá → Linus Alperud
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Max Nilsson
2nd Yellowcard
43'
15'
Event
Markus Karlsbakk
1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Fredrikstad 0-2 Lillestrøm. Structural assessment: Lillestrøm exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.