France vs Iraq preview
World Cup
Iraq
IRQ
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
France claimed a 3-0 win against Iraq after taking a 1-0 lead into halftime. The home side controlled 56 percent of possession while limiting the visitors to 44 percent. Expected goals finished at 0.32 for France and 0.17 for Iraq, producing a differential of 0.15. No red cards were issued to either team during the contest. France entered as the stronger side and delivered the expected result without notable interruptions. The moderate structural deviation of 12.7 percent was recorded for the home team. Clinical finishing allowed France to convert limited opportunities into three goals while maintaining a clean sheet throughout the match.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: France 3-0 Iraq. France showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match patterns for both sides.
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xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the 0.15 expected goals differential.
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Market alignment: The result aligned with available market indicators.
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xG expectations: France posted 0.32 expected goals against Iraq's 0.17.
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Event impact: No disruptive events altered the match beyond the three goals scored.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion affected team dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
France
Iraq
Movement
Changes since opening
France
Iraq
Team Power Ranking
i
81.48
26.67
France
Iraq
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
France
Iraq
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
France
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
France
France
Iraq
France
Iraq
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
France
France
Iraq
France
Iraq
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- FRA had peak pressure around 64'.
- FRA started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-23T00:00:29+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
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vs
Norway
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Fri, 26 Jun - 7:00 PM
Venue: Boston Stadium
Iraq
vs
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League: World Cup
Kickoff: Fri, 26 Jun - 7:00 PM
Venue: Toronto Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary