Fortuna Sittard vs AZ preview
2026/2027 Eredivisie, Netherlands
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Fortuna Sittard hosted AZ in a league fixture that ended 0-2 to the visitors. The opening period finished level at 0-0 with neither side able to find the net. AZ dominated possession at 72 percent while the hosts managed only 28 percent. A red card issued to Fortuna Sittard in the second half shifted the balance further toward the away side. AZ posted 4.65 expected goals against the home team's 0.28 reflecting their clear superiority. The two goals arrived after the interval as the visitors made the numerical advantage count. The result followed the underlying performance indicators without deviation from the stronger team's expected output.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Fortuna Sittard 0-2 AZ. AZ showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the stronger team's performance throughout the match.
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xG alignment: The final result was consistent with the expected goals differential of 4.37.
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Market alignment: The outcome showed true alignment with the projected team strengths.
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xG expectations: AZ surpassed xG expectations with 4.65 compared to Fortuna Sittard's 0.28.
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Event impact: The match events led to a clear victory for the away side after a balanced first half.
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Red card distortion: A red card for the home team caused distortion in the second half dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
64.7
80.19
Fortuna Sittard
AZ
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Fortuna Sittard
AZ
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Fortuna Sittard
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
AZ
Fortuna Sittard
AZ
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
AZ
Fortuna Sittard
AZ
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- AZ had peak pressure around 13'.
- AZ started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-08-23T00:37:53+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
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Match Commentary