Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A
KICKOFF :
Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fluminense welcomes Vasco da Gama to Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho for a Serie A regular season clash in 2026. The hosts command a power score of 68.48, granting them a 5.7 point edge over their opponents who register 62.77. League standings place Fluminense fourth domestically while Vasco da Gama occupies seventeenth. Form scores further separate the sides with the home team at 27.67 and the away side at 14.61. This encounter pits two clubs seeking to advance their positions in the domestic table. The stadium atmosphere typically favors the home side during such fixtures. Both teams enter with clear objectives tied to their current campaign trajectories. Power differentials suggest Fluminense holds the structural upper hand heading into the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fluminense sits fourth in the league while Vasco da Gama occupies seventeenth place.
  • Form: Fluminense posts a form score of 27.67 against Vasco da Gama's 14.61.
  • Squad: Squad composition details remain unavailable for either side ahead of this fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics show no available data for the upcoming match.
  • Transition: Transition statistics offer no specific insights due to absent records.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data carries low confidence with proxy usage and null xG values.
  • xVariable: Power advantage measures 5.7 points in favor of the home team.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Athletico PR Rank: 67 D
Remo Rank: 58 W
Palmeiras Rank: 76 W
Botafogo Rank: 69 D
Bahia Rank: 64 D
Grêmio Rank: 63 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cruzeiro Rank: 71 W
Palmeiras Rank: 75 L
Santos Rank: 63 L
Bahia Rank: 64 D
Chapecoense Rank: 53 D
Mirassol Rank: 64 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.48
62.77
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
Power Score
68.48
62.77
League Position
4
17
Global Rank
302
490

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Fluminense Opponent-weighted form score
Vasco da Gama Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fluminense Vasco da Gama

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fluminense FLU Home
5 matches
Vasco da Gama VAG Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
6
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-31T01:35:49+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Capacity
78838
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
Rafael da Silva Alves
Douglas Pagung
Lucas Coelho Santos

Squad

Referee : Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Squad

2
Samuel Xavier Brito
21
Igor Rabello da Costa
22
Juan Pablo Freytes
Jhonny Cardinoti Pedro
Jhonny Cardinoti Pedro Defender
Miguel David Terans Pérez
Miguel David Terans Pérez Midfielder
32
Luciano Federico Acosta
16
Gustavo Nonato Santana
8
Matheus Martinelli
Matheus Martinelli Midfielder
Yago de Paula Ferreira
Yago de Paula Ferreira Midfielder
14
Germán Ezequiel Cano
19
Rodrigo Castillo
Rodrigo Castillo Attacker
9
John Kennedy Batista de Souza
John Kennedy Batista de Souza Attacker
15
Matheus dos Reis Francisco
Matheus dos Reis Francisco Attacker
Referee : Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Squad

1
Leonardo Cesar Jardim
13
Daniel Cerantola Fuzato
37
Pablo de Paula Cardoso
Riquelme Carvalho Araujo Viana
Riquelme Carvalho Araujo Viana Defender
29
Paulo Ricardo Alves Ibelli
Paulo Ricardo Alves Ibelli Defender
60
João Vitor Cardoso Silva
João Vitor Cardoso Silva Defender
8
Jair Rodrigues Júnior
5
Santiago Sosa
Santiago Sosa Midfielder
10
Johan Rojas Echavarría
85
Matheus Carvalho Dos
Matheus Carvalho Dos Midfielder
Guilherme Estrella de Paiva
Guilherme Estrella de Paiva Midfielder
19
Bruno Duarte da Silva
77
Claudio Spinelli
Claudio Spinelli Attacker
9
Facundo Colidio
Facundo Colidio Attacker
Loide António Augusto
Loide António Augusto Attacker
28
Adson Ferreira Soares
11
Andres Gomez
Andres Gomez Attacker

CONCLUSION

Fluminense holds several measurable edges entering this domestic league fixture against Vasco da Gama. Stronger overall power metrics combined with superior league placement create a platform for the hosts to dictate proceedings at their home venue. Form differentials add another layer where the home side appears better prepared based on recent outputs. Limited data across efficiency and transition areas leaves room for on-field developments to shape outcomes. Set piece evaluations carry uncertainty given the low confidence indicators provided. The match represents an opportunity for Fluminense to capitalize on positional advantages while Vasco da Gama looks to improve standing through determined performances. Overall dynamics point toward a competitive yet tilted encounter in the 2026 season.