Fluminense vs Bragantino preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A
FluminenseFLU
1 – 1
BragantinoBRA
Full Time
Round 19 Regular Season
Ignácio - 90+14'
Goal
|
Goal
John Kennedy 90+4' Red Card
|
Red Card Agustín Sant'Anna  64'
Red Card Fabinho 90+4'

CONTEXT

Fluminense hosted Bragantino in a match that concluded with a 1-1 draw after a first half that saw the visitors lead 0-1 at the break. The home side controlled 67 percent of possession and generated an expected goals total of 1.42 compared to 1.31 for the away team. Despite the stronger designation for Fluminense the game featured three red cards in total with one issued to the hosts and two to the visitors. The outcome proved consistent with the underlying metrics as both teams finished level on the scoreboard. Second half adjustments were shaped by the dismissals that reduced the playing numbers on the pitch. Fluminense pressed forward in search of an equalizer while Bragantino defended their narrow advantage until the late stages.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Fluminense 1-1 Bragantino. Fluminense showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the match dynamics throughout.
  • xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the expected goals figures.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with prevailing expectations for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals indicated a tightly balanced contest between both sides.
  • Event impact: Key events including dismissals shaped the second half progression.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion prompted notable second half adjustments on the field.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. de Oliveira Lacerda
D. de Oliveira Lacerda
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Pagung
D. Pagung
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Quadros Thomé
A. Quadros Thomé
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Goulart
R. Goulart
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Fluminense L. Zubeldía
L. Zubeldía
VS
Bragantino V. Carmo Mancini
V. Carmo Mancini
1.72
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.61
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cruzeiro Rank: 68 D
Mirassol Rank: 65 L
São Paulo Rank: 63 W
Vitória Rank: 61 D
Internacional Rank: 63 L
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Internacional Rank: 63 W
Vasco da Gama Rank: 61 W
Vitória Rank: 61 W
Santos Rank: 63 L
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Palmeiras Rank: 76 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.25
64.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fluminense
Bragantino
Power Score
68.25
64.01
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
288
400

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fluminense — Opponent-weighted form score
Bragantino — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fluminense Bragantino

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fluminense

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bragantino

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fluminense ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bragantino
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
15.08
10.26
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.26
15.08
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fluminense +0.40 Efficiency Index
vs
Bragantino -0.40 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fluminense
Bragantino
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fluminense
vs
Bragantino
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fluminense Bragantino
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
26%
4%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.36 vs -0.05
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fluminense Bragantino
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
4%
26%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.05 vs -0.36
Fluminense
Bragantino
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Fluminense
vs
Bragantino
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fluminense Bragantino
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Fluminense 0.30
Bragantino 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fluminense Bragantino
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Fluminense 0.06
Bragantino 0.00
Fluminense
Bragantino
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FLU had peak pressure around 53'.
  • BRA started the game with stronger pressure.
FLU Pressure BRA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FLU reached the top pressure at 53' (93.37).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fluminense FLU Home
4 matches
Bragantino BRA Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
7
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-18T00:01:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 19 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Capacity
78838
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
Douglas Pagung
A. Quadros Thomé
Roger Goulart

Statistics

Possession
FLU
63%
BRA
37%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
13 Shots 2
100 Dangerous attacks 32
67 Possession 33
11 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
1 Red Cards 2

Match Overview

62 Ball Safe 62
3 Goal Kicks 15
11 Goal Attempts 3
6 Substitutions 6
23 Throwins 14
1 Hit Woodwork 0
6 Successful Headers 7
0 Assists 1
1 Injuries 2
22 Dribble Attempts 12
14 Successful Dribbles 6
64 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

156 Attacks 79
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

54 Long Passes 72
578 Passes 294
512 Successful Passes 223
89 Successful Passes Percentage 76
17 Key Passes 5
31 Successful Long Passes 37
57 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51

Defensive

1 Saves 3
10 Tackles 17
12 Interceptions 9
44 Duels Won 42

Build-up

35 Total Crosses 12
5 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
6 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Starting XI ▼

1
Fábio
Fábio (C) Goalkeeper
6.19
6
Renê
Renê Defender
6.81
23
Guga
Guga Defender
6.47
29
Julián Millán
Julián Millán Defender
6.55
22
Juan Pablo Freytes
Juan Pablo Freytes
Defender33'
6.44
44
Jemmes
Jemmes Defender
6.49
4
Ignácio
Ignácio
Defender46'
8
Martinelli
Martinelli Midfielder
6.67
11
Jefferson Savarino
Jefferson Savarino Midfielder
6.28
9
John Kennedy
John Kennedy
Attacker56'
32
Luciano Acosta
Luciano Acosta Midfielder
6.97
35
Hércules
Hércules Midfielder
6.9
14
Germán Cano
Germán Cano
Attacker79'
90
Kevin Serna
Kevin Serna Midfielder
6.84
17
Agustín Canobbio
Agustín Canobbio
Attacker56'
7
Hulk
Hulk Attacker
6.62
Referee : Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Starting XI ▼

18
Tiago Volpi
Tiago Volpi Goalkeeper
6.97
4
Alix
Alix (C) Defender
6.93
16
Gustavo Marques
Gustavo Marques Defender
6.9
23
Agustín Sant'Anna
Agustín Sant'Anna Defender
6.57
51
Cauê Nascimento
Cauê Nascimento Defender
6.75
7
Eric Ramires
Eric Ramires Midfielder
6.61
35
Matheus Fernandes
Matheus Fernandes
Midfielder85'
11
Fernando
Fernando Midfielder
7.1
14
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Defender85'
20
Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho Midfielder
6.74
5
Fabinho
Fabinho
Midfielder90+2'
21
Lucas Barbosa
Lucas Barbosa Midfielder
6.75
32
José Herrera
José Herrera Midfielder
6.89
30
Henry Mosquera
Henry Mosquera
Attacker68'
8
Eduardo Sasha
Eduardo Sasha Attacker
7.12
34
José Andrés Hurtado
José Andrés Hurtado
Defender67'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ignácio
Header / 2nd Goal
90+14'
Event
Juan Pablo Freytes
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Ignácio
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
90+5'
90+5'
Event
Henry Mosquera
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
John Kennedy
Violent conduct / 3rd Redcard
90+4'
90+4'
Event
Fabinho
Violent conduct / 2nd Redcard
90+2'
Event
Fabinho → Rodriguinho
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Tiago Volpi
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
85'
Event
Matheus Fernandes → Eric Ramires
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Pedro Henrique → Fernando 
9th Substitution
Event
Germán Cano  → Hércules
7th Substitution
79'
68'
Event
Henry Mosquera → José Herrera
6th Substitution
67'
Event
José Andrés Hurtado → Eduardo Sasha
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Alix
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
64'
Event
Agustín Sant'Anna 
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
58'
Event
Eduardo Sasha
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Agustín Canobbio → Kevin Serna
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
John Kennedy → Jefferson Savarino
4th Substitution
56'
Event
Ignácio → Jemmes
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Juan Pablo Freytes → Julián Millán
1st Substitution
33'
27'
Event
Eduardo Sasha
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ignacio Da Silva Oliveira scores with a header.
90
Attempt Attempt
Luciano Federico Acosta takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ignacio Da Silva Oliveira scores to make it 1-1, assisted by German Ezequiel Cano.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ezequiel Cano of Germany with his left foot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Luciano Federico Acosta takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ezequiel Cano's right-footed shot misses the target.
90
Update Update
Offside.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Henry Mosquera.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Fabio Silva de Freitas.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Juan Pablo Freytes receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ignacio Da Silva Oliveira.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
John Kennedy receives a red card.
90
Update Update
Fabio Silva de Freitas is on, and Rodrigo Huendra Almeida is off.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Tiago Luis Volpi.
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Givanildo Vieira De Souza, Hulk, with his left foot, but it missed.
89
Attempt Attempt
Claudio Rodrigues Gomes takes a shot with his right foot, but Guga saves it.
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Givanildo Vieira De Souza, Hulk, but it's blocked.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Matheus Fernandes Siqueira comes on for Eric Dos Santos Rodrigues.
85
Update Update
Pedro Henrique Ribeiro Goncalves is on, and Fernando Dos Santos Pedro is off.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Givanildo Vieira De Souza, Hulk, is blocked.
79
Substitution Substitution
Ezequiel Cano is substituted for Hercules Pereira do Nascimento.
79
Attempt Attempt
Hercules Pereira do Nascimento takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Attempt Attempt
Jose Hurtado takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
78
Attempt Attempt
Fernando Dos Santos Pedro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Update Update
Offside.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Alix Vinicius de Souza Sampaio.
67
Update Update
Henry Mosquera is on, and Jose Herrera is off.
64
Substitution Substitution
Jose Hurtado is substituted for Eduardo Sasha.
64
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Agustin SantAnna.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Agustin SantAnna.
62
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Henrique Barbosa takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Henrique Barbosa takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Givanildo Vieira De Souza, Hulk, with his left foot, but it misses the target.
58
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Givanildo Vieira De Souza, Hulk, with his left foot, misses the target.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Attempt Attempt
Juan Pablo Freytes takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
58
Update Update
Agustin Canobbio Graviz is on, and Kevin Serna is off.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Update Update
On comes John Kennedy, off goes Jefferson Savarino.
55
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Givanildo Vieira De Souza, Hulk, with his left foot, misses the target.
55
Attempt Attempt
Juan Pablo Freytes takes a left-footed shot but misses.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Jefferson Savarino takes a header shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Ignacio Da Silva Oliveira is on, and Jemmes is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Givanildo Vieira De Souza, known as Hulk, is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Serna takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Serna takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jefferson Savarino takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
42
Update Update
Offside.
37
Attempt Attempt
Hercules Pereira do Nascimento takes a right-footed shot but misses.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Update Update
Juan Pablo Freytes is on, and Julian Millan is off.
29
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Givanildo Vieira De Souza, Hulk, with his left foot, but it missed.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Eduardo Sasha scores with a header.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Eduardo Sasha scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Jose Herrera.
25
Attempt Attempt
Hercules Pereira do Nascimento takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
20
Update Update
Offside.
17
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Huendra Almeida takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Update Update
Offside.
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Givanildo Vieira De Souza, Hulk, with his left foot, but it missed.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Attempt Attempt
Fernando Dos Santos Pedro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Davi de Oliveira Lacerda.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw reflected the narrow expected goals margin and the disruptive influence of multiple red cards that reduced both teams to ten or fewer players. Fluminense maintained territorial dominance yet could not convert their possession advantage into a decisive lead after falling behind early. Bragantino absorbed pressure effectively despite the numerical disadvantage and secured a valuable point on the road. The result leaves both sides with lessons on managing games under reduced personnel while highlighting the fine margins that separate draws from victories in such encounters. Overall the metrics supported the final scoreline and underscored the competitive nature of the fixture from start to finish.