Floriana vs Drita preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
MFA Centenary Stadium Tue, 21 Jul - 5:30 PM
Europa Conference League
FlorianaFLO
1 – 1
DritaDRI
Full Time Tue, 21 Jul 5:30 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Amar Drina - 90+9'
Goal
|
Goal
Liridon Balaj - 90+4'

CONTEXT

Floriana welcomed Drita for the opening leg of their two-match knockout tie and the contest finished level at 1-1. The sides remained scoreless at the interval after a cautious opening period. Floriana controlled 59 percent of possession while Drita operated with 41 percent. Despite entering as the stronger side Floriana were unable to claim the win on home soil. A notable performance deviation of 74 percent was recorded for the hosts relative to expectations. No dismissals occurred and the match stayed at eleven versus eleven throughout. The shared points leave the tie delicately balanced ahead of the second leg where either side can still advance on aggregate.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Floriana recorded a significant 74 percent structural deviation from anticipated levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match projections across both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment remained undetermined because no expected goals figures were supplied.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 draw proved inconsistent with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations produced no measurable outcomes given the absence of data.
  • Event impact: The 1-1 result in leg one shapes the aggregate outlook for the return fixture.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role as both teams finished with eleven players.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Grøtta
M. Grøtta
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Jaeger
A. Jaeger
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Hareland
E. Hareland
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Sinnes
S. Sinnes
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Floriana Daniel Portela
Daniel Portela
VS
Drita Z. Ramadani
Z. Ramadani
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celje Rank: 73 L
Celje Rank: 73 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Floriana
31.35%
Draw
25.95%
Away Drita
42.7%

Movement

Changes since opening
Floriana
+8.03%
Draw
-13.41%
Drita
+5.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30
12.96
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Floriana
Drita
Power Score
30
12.96
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Floriana — Opponent-weighted form score
Drita — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Floriana Drita

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Floriana

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Drita

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Floriana ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Drita
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.07
39.15
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.15
24.07
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Floriana -1.42 Efficiency Index
vs
Drita +1.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Floriana
Drita
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Floriana ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Drita
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Floriana Drita
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Floriana Drita
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Floriana
Drita
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Floriana
vs
Drita
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Floriana Drita
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Floriana 0.12
Drita 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Floriana Drita
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Floriana 0.02
Drita 0.01
Floriana
Drita
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DRI had peak pressure around 30'.
  • FLO started the game with stronger pressure.
FLO Pressure DRI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DRI reached the top pressure at 30' (61.90).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 21, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
MFA Centenary Stadium
Capacity
3000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marius Hansen Grøtta
Aleksander Jaeger
Erland Hareland
Svein Tore Sinnes

Statistics

Possession
FLO
57%
DRI
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
7 Shots 7
84 Dangerous attacks 61
59 Possession 41
3 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

97 Ball Safe 72
6 Goal Attempts 13
5 Substitutions 4
29 Throwins 7
3 Injuries 0

Attacking

128 Attacks 95

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

23
Guilherme Cioletti
Guilherme Cioletti Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Myles Beerman
Myles Beerman Defender
6.26
4
Kauan
Kauan Defender
6.26
17
Owen Spiteri
Owen Spiteri Defender
6.26
10
Federico Varela
Federico Varela Midfielder
6.48
11
Robert Muric
Robert Muric Midfielder
6.5
9
Kenan Dervisagic
Kenan Dervisagic
Attacker62'
6.46
12
Dunstan Vella
Dunstan Vella (C) Midfielder
6.5
16
Gastón Manuel Romano
Gastón Manuel Romano
Midfielder73'
6.37
14
Alen Kurtalic
Alen Kurtalic Midfielder
6.37
6
Amar Drina
Amar Drina
Defender90+6'
6.69
21
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli Midfielder
6.5
22
Tomislav Gudelj
Tomislav Gudelj
Attacker73'
6.46
28
Paul Mbong
Paul Mbong Midfielder
6.33
19
Mustapha Jah
Mustapha Jah Attacker
6.5
8
Zachary Scerri
Zachary Scerri
Midfielder73'
6.37
Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

1
Faton Maloku
Faton Maloku Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Besnik Krasniqi
Besnik Krasniqi (C) Defender
6.25
25
Altin Bytyci
Altin Bytyci Defender
6.26
26
Raddy Ovouka
Raddy Ovouka Defender
6.26
32
Jorgo Pellumbi
Jorgo Pellumbi Defender
6.26
7
Igball Jashari
Igball Jashari Midfielder
6.5
55
Hajdin Salihu
Hajdin Salihu
Defender90+7'
6.49
8
Vesel Limaj
Vesel Limaj Midfielder
6.37
14
Albert Dabiqaj
Albert Dabiqaj Midfielder
6.37
9
Arb Manaj
Arb Manaj Attacker
6.5
10
Liridon Balaj
Liridon Balaj
Midfielder73'
6.57
19
Blerim Krasniqi
Blerim Krasniqi Attacker
6.55
77
Kristal Abazaj
Kristal Abazaj Attacker
6.46
3
Blerton Sheji
Blerton Sheji
Defender86'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Amar Drina
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
90+9'
90+8'
Event
Hajdin Salihu
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+7'
Event
Oniks Grezda → Liridon Balaj
8th Substitution
90+7'
Event
Hajdin Salihu → Igball Jashari
9th Substitution
Event
Amar Drina → Alen Kurtalic
7th Substitution
90+6'
90+4'
Event
Liridon Balaj
Field Goal / 1st Goal
86'
Event
Blerton Sheji → Kristal Abazaj
6th Substitution
Event
Tomislav Gudelj → Carlo Zammit Lonardelli
3rd Substitution
73'
Event
Gastón Manuel Romano → Dunstan Vella 
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Zachary Scerri → Mustapha Jah
5th Substitution
73'
73'
Event
Liridon Balaj → Arb Manaj
2nd Substitution
Event
Kenan Dervisagic → Robert Muric
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Paul Mbong
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
52'
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Besnik Krasniqi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
20'
Event
Kristal Abazaj
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Amar Drina equalizes to make it 1-1, assisted by Federico Varela.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Hajdin Salihu.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Amar Drina equalizes to make it 1-1, assisted by Federico Varela.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
On for Amar Drina, off goes Alen Kurtalic.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Blerton Sheji comes on for Kristal Abazaj.
74
Update Update
Liridon Balaj comes on for Arb Manaj.
73
Update Update
Zachary Scerri is on, and Mustapha Jah is off.
73
Update Update
Gaston Manuel Romano is on, and Dunstan Vella is off.
73
Update Update
Gaston Manuel Romano is on, and Dunstan Vella is off.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Update Update
Kenan Dervisagic replaces Robert Muric.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Paul Mbong receives a yellow card.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Besnik Krasniqi receives a yellow card.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Marius Grotta.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Floriana 1-1 Drita. Structural assessment: Floriana exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.