Flora vs FC Iberia 1999 preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Sportland Arena Wed, 8 Jul - 4:00 PM
Champions League
Flora Flora
2 3
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999
Full Time Wed, 8 Jul 4:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Vladislav Kreida - 28'
Sander Alamaa - 73'
Goal
|
Goal
Zviad Natchkebia - 18'
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava  - 21' (P)
Bakar Kardava - 75'
Airon Kollo 63' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Flora hosted FC Iberia 1999 in the first leg of a two-legged tie and fell to a 2-3 defeat. The home side trailed 1-2 at halftime before a red card reduced them to ten men. FC Iberia 1999 controlled 63 percent of possession while Flora managed 37 percent. The stronger-rated team Flora could not overcome the numerical disadvantage. The final scoreline of 2-3 reflected the away side's ability to capitalize on the altered circumstances. Minimal structural deviation of 3.5 percent was recorded with the outcome consistent for the visitors. Second-half adjustments centered on the red-card distortion that reshaped the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal deviation of 3.5 percent occurred with FC Iberia 1999 as the noted team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be verified.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations were recorded for either side in the data.
  • Event impact: Key second-half events shaped the 2-3 result after the interval.
  • Red card distortion: The home red card introduced distortion that altered second-half play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Putros
S. Putros
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Yurdakul
D. Yurdakul
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Cortzen
D. Cortzen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Uslu
A. Uslu
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Flora K. Vassiljev
K. Vassiljev
VS
FC Iberia 1999 A. Demchenko
A. Demchenko
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Flora
0.64%
Draw
2.84%
Away FC Iberia 1999
96.52%

Movement

Changes since opening
Flora
0%
Draw
-1.34%
FC Iberia 1999
+1.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Flora
FC Iberia 1999
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Flora — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Iberia 1999 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Flora FC Iberia 1999

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Flora

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Iberia 1999

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Flora ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Iberia 1999
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.46
38.10
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.10
29.46
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Flora — Efficiency Index
vs
FC Iberia 1999 — Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Flora
FC Iberia 1999
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Flora ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Iberia 1999
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Flora FC Iberia 1999
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Flora FC Iberia 1999
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Flora
FC Iberia 1999
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Flora
vs
FC Iberia 1999
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Flora FC Iberia 1999
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Flora 0.14
FC Iberia 1999 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Flora FC Iberia 1999
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Flora 0.04
FC Iberia 1999 0.03
Flora
FC Iberia 1999
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Flora had peak pressure around 62'.
  • FC Iberia 1999 started the game with stronger pressure.
Flora Pressure FC Iberia 1999 Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Flora reached the top pressure at 62' (74.21).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Flora Flora Home
0 matches
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:52:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
E. Grünvald
Estonia
33 E. Grünvald
D. Kuraksin
Substitution
Estonia
7 D. Kuraksin
M. Kolobov
Estonia
23 M. Kolobov
A. Kollo
Estonia
3 A. Kollo
S. Tovstik
Estonia
26 S. Tovstik
R. Valdmets
Substitution
18 R. Valdmets
V. Kreida
Estonia
32 V. Kreida
T. Varjund
Estonia
14 T. Varjund
S. Zenjov
Substitution
Estonia
20 S. Zenjov
R. Sappinen
Estonia
11 (C) R. Sappinen
S. Alamaa
Substitution
29 S. Alamaa
G. Makaridze
Georgia
31 G. Makaridze
J. Jinjolava
Georgia
5 (C) J. Jinjolava
A. Amisulashvili
Georgia
25 A. Amisulashvili
V. Selimovic
Luxembourg
4 V. Selimovic
A. Zohouri
Substitution
Ivory Coast
20 A. Zohouri
B. Kardava
Georgia
8 B. Kardava
N. Dadiani
Georgia
6 N. Dadiani
N. Sikharulashvili
Substitution
Georgia
19 N. Sikharulashvili
Z. Natchkebia
Georgia
10 Z. Natchkebia
V. Bedoshvili
Substitution
Georgia
24 V. Bedoshvili
A. Bartishvili
Substitution
11 A. Bartishvili

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 08, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Sportland Arena
Capacity
14336
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sandi Putros
Deniz Yurdakul
Daniel Cortzen
Aydin Uslu

Statistics

Possession
Flora
41%
FC Iberia 1999
59%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
4 Shots 12
58 Dangerous attacks 80
37 Possession 63
4 Corners 3
11 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
4 Substitutions 4
13 Throwins 26

Attacking

109 Attacks 150

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Sandi Putros

Starting XI ▼

33
Evert Grünvald
Evert Grünvald Goalkeeper
5.68
3
Airon Kollo
Airon Kollo Defender
6.05
23
Mihhail Kolobov
Mihhail Kolobov Defender
5.86
26
Sander Tovstik
Sander Tovstik Defender
5.86
7
Danil Kuraksin
Danil Kuraksin Midfielder
6.18
9
Rauno Alliku
Rauno Alliku
Midfielder82'
6.5
14
Tony Varjund
Tony Varjund Midfielder
6.32
18
Remo Valdmets
Remo Valdmets Midfielder
6.27
6
Robert Veering
Robert Veering
Defender65'
6.26
20
Sergei Zenjov
Sergei Zenjov Midfielder
6.32
17
Taaniel Usta
Taaniel Usta
Attacker82'
29
Sander Alamaa
Sander Alamaa Midfielder
6.37
67
Ilja Antonov
Ilja Antonov
Midfielder82'
6.5
32
Vladislav Kreida
Vladislav Kreida Midfielder
6.37
11
Rauno Sappinen
Rauno Sappinen (C) Attacker
6.38
Referee : Sandi Putros

Starting XI ▼

31
Giorgi Makaridze
Giorgi Makaridze Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Vahid Selimovic
Vahid Selimovic Defender
6.05
5
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava (C) Defender
6.03
20
Armel Zohouri
Armel Zohouri Defender
6.05
40
Giorgi Kobuladze
Giorgi Kobuladze
Defender86'
25
Aleksandre Amisulashvili
Aleksandre Amisulashvili Defender
6.05
6
Nikoloz Dadiani
Nikoloz Dadiani Midfielder
6.27
8
Bakar Kardava
Bakar Kardava Midfielder
6.47
10
Zviad Natchkebia
Zviad Natchkebia Midfielder
6.47
11
Andria Bartishvili
Andria Bartishvili Midfielder
6.27
23
Eldar Kuliyev
Eldar Kuliyev
Midfielder80'
6.5
19
Nika Sikharulashvili
Nika Sikharulashvili Midfielder
6.27
29
Lado Chikhradze
Lado Chikhradze
Attacker80'
24
Vakho Bedoshvili
Vakho Bedoshvili Midfielder
6.37
27
Giorgi Kutsia
Giorgi Kutsia
Midfielder71'
6.48

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Giorgi Kobuladze → Armel Zohouri
8th Substitution
Event
Rauno Alliku  → Danil Kuraksin
5th Substitution
82'
Event
Ilja Antonov → Sander Alamaa
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Taaniel Usta → Sergei Zenjov
7th Substitution
82'
80'
Event
Lado Chikhradze → Nika Sikharulashvili
3rd Substitution
80'
Event
Eldar Kuliyev → Andria Bartishvili
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Bakar Kardava
Field Goal / 4th Goal
Event
Sander Alamaa
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
73'
71'
Event
Giorgi Kutsia → Vakho Bedoshvili
2nd Substitution
Event
Robert Veering → Remo Valdmets
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Airon Kollo
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
63'
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Nika Sikharulashvili
Handball / Goal Disallowed
Event
Sander Tovstik
Other reason / 3rd Yellowcard
36'
36'
Event
Andrei Demchenko
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
35'
Event
Vakho Bedoshvili
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Vladislav Kreida
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
28'
21'
Event
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava 
Penalty / 1st Penalty
Event
Mihhail Kolobov
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
20'
18'
Event
Zviad Natchkebia
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

89
Update Update
Ilja Antonov comes on for Sander Alamaa.
86
Update Update
Chikhradze L. is on, and Nika Sikharulashvili is off.
82
Update Update
Eldar Kuliev replaces Andria Bartishvili.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Giorgi Kutsia scores, making it 2-3.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sander Alamaa scores, making it 2-2.
80
Update Update
Giorgi Kutsia replaces Vakho Bedoshvili.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Robert Veering comes on for Remo Valdmets.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Red card shown to Airon Kollo.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yellow card issued to Airon Kollo.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Update Update
First half ends with a score of 1-2.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nika Sikharulashvili scores, making it 1-3.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Sander Tovstik.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vladislav Kreida scores, making it 1-2.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Mihhail Kolobov.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Sandi Putros.

CONCLUSION

The 2-3 result leaves FC Iberia 1999 with a narrow advantage heading into the second leg. Flora's early concession and subsequent red card limited their capacity to utilize home support. Possession dominance by the visitors translated into sustained pressure that yielded the decisive goals. Without xG metrics the assessment relies on observed patterns and the recorded red-card effect. The minimal deviation confirms the outcome stayed within expected bounds despite the sending-off. Both teams must now adjust tactics for the return fixture where aggregate scoring will determine progression. Flora will seek to overturn the deficit while FC Iberia 1999 aims to protect and extend their lead under potentially different conditions.