Flamengo vs Vitória preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho Sun, 9 Aug - 10:30 PM
Serie A
Full Time Sun, 9 Aug 10:30 PM
Round 22 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Flamengo 2–0 Vitória. The result saw Flamengo take the points. Flamengo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Flamengo 1.2 – 0.2 Vitória. Possession was 63%–37%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Flamengo 2-0 Vitória. Flamengo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
W. Pereira Sampaio
W. Pereira Sampaio
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Boschilia
B. Boschilia
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Carvalho
L. Carvalho
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Ferreira de Moraes
J. Ferreira de Moraes
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Flamengo J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim
J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim
VS
Vitória J. Ribeiro Ventura
J. Ribeiro Ventura
2.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.21
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Internacional Rank: 63 D
São Paulo Rank: 63 D
Chapecoense Rank: 52 W
Coritiba Rank: 60 W
Palmeiras Rank: 76 L
Athletico PR Rank: 66 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palmeiras Rank: 77 L
Remo Rank: 57 L
Botafogo Rank: 68 D
Vasco da Gama Rank: 63 W
Santos Rank: 64 L
Internacional Rank: 64 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.76
62.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Flamengo
Vitória
Power Score
75.76
62.33
League Position
2
13
Global Rank
144
508

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Flamengo Opponent-weighted form score
Vitória Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Flamengo Vitória

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Flamengo

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Vitória

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Flamengo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vitória
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.83
21.35
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.35
36.83
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Flamengo Efficiency Index
vs
Vitória Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Flamengo
Vitória
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Flamengo
vs
Vitória
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Flamengo Vitória
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
16%
15%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.19 vs -0.03
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Flamengo Vitória
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
15%
16%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.03 vs -0.19
Flamengo
Vitória
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Flamengo
vs
Vitória
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Flamengo Vitória
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Flamengo Vitória
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Flamengo
Vitória
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FLA had peak pressure around 6'.
  • FLA started the game with stronger pressure.
FLA Pressure VTO Pressure
Pressure Index: FLA reached the top pressure at 6' (98.20).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Flamengo FLA Home
5 matches
Vitória VTO Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
3
Goals
15
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
15
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T07:51:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 09, 2026, 10:30 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 22 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Capacity
78838
Attendance
58226
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Wilton Pereira Sampaio
Bruno Boschilia
Leone Carvalho
Jefferson Ferreira de Moraes

Statistics

Possession
FLA
60%
VTO
40%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 4
64 Dangerous attacks 18
63 Possession 37
8 Corners 1
8 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

52 Ball Safe 70
4 Goal Kicks 10
11 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
12 Throwins 21
1 Hit Woodwork 0
8 Successful Headers 11
1 Assists 0
1 Injuries 1
17 Dribble Attempts 11
13 Successful Dribbles 4
76 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

Attacking

152 Attacks 81
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

34 Long Passes 61
671 Passes 403
599 Successful Passes 332
89 Successful Passes Percentage 82
16 Key Passes 4
18 Successful Long Passes 34
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56

Defensive

1 Saves 4
13 Tackles 17
8 Interceptions 9
46 Duels Won 46

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 7
4 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

13 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Wilton Pereira Sampaio

Starting XI

1
Agustín Rossi
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper
6.87
2
Guillermo Varela
Guillermo Varela Defender
6.68
3
Léo Ortiz
Léo Ortiz Defender
6.89
4
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira Defender
7.7
6
Ayrton Lucas
Ayrton Lucas Defender
7.36
5
Erick Pulgar
Erick Pulgar Midfielder
7.67
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
7.41
20
Lucas Paquetá
Lucas Paquetá
Midfielder65'
6.84
15
Jorge Carrascal
Jorge Carrascal Midfielder
8.66
99
Lorran
Lorran
Midfielder86'
16
Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino Midfielder
6.75
19
Gonzalo Plata
Gonzalo Plata
Attacker74'
6.51
21
Jorginho
Jorginho Midfielder
7.02
52
Evertton Araújo
Evertton Araújo
Midfielder74'
6.78
9
Pedro
Pedro Attacker
6.43
27
Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
Attacker74'
7.33
Referee : Wilton Pereira Sampaio

Starting XI

1
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo (C) Goalkeeper
7.02
2
Emanuel Brítez
Emanuel Brítez Defender
7
83
Jamerson
Jamerson Defender
6.85
95
Caíque Gonçalves
7.2
6
Emmanuel Martínez
Emmanuel Martínez Midfielder
7.06
10
Matheuzinho
Matheuzinho Midfielder
6.64
7
Marinho
Marinho
Attacker46'
7.03
15
Walace
Walace Midfielder
6.24
8
Tomás Pochettino
Tomás Pochettino
Midfielder69'
6.73
33
Erick
Erick Midfielder
6.53
12
Diego Tarzia
Diego Tarzia
Defender46'
6.19
88
Zé Vitor
Zé Vitor Midfielder
6.31
26
Edenilson
Edenilson
Midfielder90+2'
91
Renê
Renê Attacker
6.35
23
Fabri
Fabri
Attacker80'
6.51

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Edenilson Zé Vitor
10th Substitution
Event
Lorran Jorge Carrascal
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
80'
80'
Event
Fabri Renê
8th Substitution
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
79'
Event
Evertton Araújo Jorginho
5th Substitution
74'
Event
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Gonzalo Plata Samuel Lino
7th Substitution
74'
69'
Event
4th Substitution
Event
Lucas Paquetá Giorgian de Arrascaeta
3rd Substitution
65'
46'
Event
Marinho  Matheuzinho
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Diego Tarzia Erick
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
14'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Update Update
Edenilson Santos Nascimento Filho is on, and Ze Vitor is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jamerson Santos de Jesus takes a left-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Mario Sergio Santos Costa takes a shot, but Marinho blocks it with a left-footed effort.
86
Substitution Substitution
Lorran Lucas Pereira de Sousa is substituted for Jorge Carrascal.
85
Update Update
Lorran Lucas Pereira de Sousa is on, and Jorge Carrascal is off.
85
Attempt Attempt
Evertton Araujo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Bruno Henrique Pinto scores with a left-footed shot.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Fabricio Santos is on, and Rene Sousa is off.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bruno Henrique Pinto scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Jorge Carrascal.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Update Update
Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez comes on for Samuel Dias Lino.
74
Update Update
Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez comes on for Samuel Dias Lino.
74
Update Update
Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez is on, and Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos is off.
73
Update Update
Evertton Araujo is on, and Jorge Luiz Frello Filho, also known as Jorginho, is off.
71
Attempt Attempt
Fabiano Josué De Souza Silva takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Lima with his left foot is blocked.
69
Update Update
Tomas Pochettino comes on, replacing Walace Souza Silva.
68
Attempt Attempt
Rene Sousa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Update Update
On Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Lima, off Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Attempt Attempt
Diego Tarzia takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
59
Attempt Attempt
Gullermo Varela's right-footed shot is blocked.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Attempt Attempt
Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
46
Update Update
Diego Tarzia comes on for Erick de Arruda Serafim.
46
Update Update
Mario Sergio Santos Costa replaces Marinho, who comes off for Matheusinho.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ze Vitor.
40
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Dias Lino takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Carrascal takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Leonardo Rech Ortiz with a header, but it misses the target.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Attempt Attempt
Leandro Emmanuel Martinez takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Dias Lino takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Erick de Arruda Serafim takes a left-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Ayrton Dantas de Medeiros has a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Dias Lino takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Leo Pereira takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Eric Pulgar with his right foot results in a goal.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Eric Pulgar takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Dias Lino takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Carrascal's header is saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Wilton Pereira Sampaio.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Flamengo 2-0 Vitória. Structural assessment: Flamengo exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.