Flamengo vs São Paulo preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A
FlamengoFLA
1 – 1
São PauloSAO
Full Time
Round 20 Regular Season
Léo Pereira - 57'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Flamengo 1–1 São Paulo. The match ended in a draw. Flamengo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Flamengo 2.3 – 0.4 São Paulo. Possession was 54%–46%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Flamengo 1-1 São Paulo. Flamengo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Daronco
A. Daronco
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. da Silva Alves
R. da Silva Alves
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Stanislau
M. Stanislau
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Guimarães Rechatiko Horn
L. Guimarães Rechatiko Horn
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Flamengo J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim
J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim
VS
São Paulo D. Silvestre Júnior
D. Silvestre Júnior
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.32
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chapecoense Rank: 52 W
Coritiba Rank: 60 W
Palmeiras Rank: 78 L
Athletico PR Rank: 66 D
Grêmio Rank: 63 W
Vasco da Gama Rank: 61 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Athletico PR Rank: 64 L
Remo Rank: 57 L
Botafogo Rank: 69 D
Fluminense Rank: 69 L
Corinthians Rank: 68 L
Bahia Rank: 63 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.5
63.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Flamengo
São Paulo
Power Score
76.5
63.36
League Position
2
11
Global Rank
131
453

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Flamengo — Opponent-weighted form score
São Paulo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Flamengo São Paulo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Flamengo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

São Paulo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Flamengo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy São Paulo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.50
12.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.61
37.50
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Flamengo +2.05 Efficiency Index
vs
São Paulo -2.05 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Flamengo
São Paulo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Flamengo
vs
São Paulo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Flamengo São Paulo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
45%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-1.04 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Flamengo São Paulo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
45%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -1.04
Flamengo
São Paulo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Flamengo
vs
São Paulo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Flamengo São Paulo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Flamengo 0.40
São Paulo 0.11
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Flamengo São Paulo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Flamengo 0.03
São Paulo 0.02
Flamengo
São Paulo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FLA had peak pressure around 95'.
  • FLA started the game with stronger pressure.
FLA Pressure SAO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FLA reached the top pressure at 95' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Flamengo FLA Home
5 matches
São Paulo SAO Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
7
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:05:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 20 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Capacity
78838
Attendance
70791
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Anderson Daronco
Rafael da Silva Alves
Michael Stanislau
Lucas Guimarães Rechatiko Horn

Statistics

Possession
FLA
54%
SAO
46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
12 Shots 2
45 Dangerous attacks 36
54 Possession 46
5 Corners 2
18 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

69 Ball Safe 68
5 Goal Kicks 9
14 Goal Attempts 3
4 Substitutions 4
30 Throwins 27
2 Hit Woodwork 0
21 Successful Headers 11
1 Assists 1
7 Dribble Attempts 8
1 Successful Dribbles 1
14 Successful Dribbles Percentage 13

Attacking

101 Attacks 106
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

35 Long Passes 46
504 Passes 438
427 Successful Passes 354
85 Successful Passes Percentage 81
17 Key Passes 3
14 Successful Long Passes 18
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39

Defensive

0 Saves 5
17 Tackles 19
7 Interceptions 12
55 Duels Won 46

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 11
9 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
15 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Anderson Daronco

Starting XI ▼

1
Agustín Rossi
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper
6.4
4
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira Defender
7.37
22
Emerson Royal
Emerson Royal Defender
7.44
26
Alex Sandro
Alex Sandro Defender
6.61
44
Vitão
Vitão Defender
7.22
5
Erick Pulgar
Erick Pulgar Midfielder
7.56
52
Evertton Araújo
Evertton Araújo
Midfielder87'
16
Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino Midfielder
8.11
21
Jorginho
Jorginho Midfielder
7.23
27
Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique (C) Midfielder
6.89
11
Everton
Everton
Attacker79'
6.75
99
Lorran
Lorran Midfielder
6.53
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Midfielder58'
6.73
9
Pedro
Pedro Attacker
6.69
64
Wallace Yan
Wallace Yan
Attacker87'
Referee : Anderson Daronco

Starting XI ▼

23
Rafael
Rafael Goalkeeper
7.45
5
Robert Arboleda
Robert Arboleda Defender
6.98
18
Wendell
Wendell Defender
6.77
35
Sabino
Sabino
Defender90+5'
6.59
19
Lucas Ramon
Lucas Ramon Defender
6.81
54
Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira
Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira Defender
7.06
8
Marcos Antônio
Marcos Antônio Midfielder
6.64
29
Pablo Maia
Pablo Maia Midfielder
6.8
37
Artur
Artur Midfielder
6.69
11
Ferreirinha
Ferreirinha
Attacker66'
6.11
94
Danielzinho
Danielzinho Midfielder
6.64
27
Victor Sá
Victor Sá
Attacker66'
6.44
9
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri (C) Attacker
7.22
10
Luciano
Luciano Attacker
6.76
17
André Silva
André Silva
Attacker90'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90+11'
Event
Marcos Antônio
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Sabino → Wendell
8th Substitution
Event
Samuel Lino
Goal disallowed
90+3'
90'
Event
André Silva → Luciano
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Jonathan Calleri 
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Evertton Araújo → Erick Pulgar
5th Substitution
87'
Event
Wallace Yan → Pedro
6th Substitution
87'
Event
Everton → Bruno Henrique 
4th Substitution
79'
70'
Event
Jonathan Calleri 
Header / 2nd Goal
69'
Event
Wendell
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
66'
Event
Ferreirinha → Artur
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Victor Sá → Danielzinho
3rd Substitution
Event
Alex Sandro
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
63'
Event
Giorgian de Arrascaeta → Lorran
1st Substitution
58'
Event
Léo Pereira
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
57'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Marcos Antonio Silva San
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Samuel Dias Lino Head Shot Missed
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Samuel Dias Lino Left Footed Shot Missed
90
Update Update
On Jose Sabino Chagas Monteiro，Off Wendell
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR Decision - Goal Disallowed - Samuel Dias Lino
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR Decision - Goal Disallowed - Samuel Dias Lino
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Samuel Dias Lino Right Footed Shot Goal
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Samuel Dias Lino 2-1
90
Update Update
On Andre Oliveira Silva，Off Luciano da Rocha Neves
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti Right Footed Shot Missed
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Jonathan Calleri
88
Update Update
On Everton Sousa Soares·阿劳霍，Off Eric Pulgar
88
Update Update
On Wallace Yan，Off Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos Right Footed Shot Missed
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Vitor Eduardo da Silva Matos,Vitao Left Footed Shot Missed
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Emerson Aparecido Leite De Souza Junior Head Shot Saved
80
Corner Corner
Corner
79
Update Update
On Everton Sousa Soares，Off Bruno Henrique Pinto
74
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Samuel Dias Lino Left Footed Shot Missed
73
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira Left Footed Shot Blocked
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Jonathan Calleri 1-1，Assist：Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Eric Pulgar Head Shot Missed
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Wendell
68
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti Right Footed Shot Saved
66
Update Update
On Joao Victor Sa Santos，Off Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
66
Update Update
On Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira，Off Artur Victor Guimaraes
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos Right Footed Shot Missed
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Alex Sandro Lobo Silva
63
Corner Corner
Corner
61
Update Update
Offside
61
Update Update
Offside
58
Update Update
Offside
57
Update Update
On Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti，Off Lorran Lucas Pereira de Sousa
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Leo Pereira Left Footed Shot Goal
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
57
Corner Corner
Corner
56
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bruno Henrique Pinto Head Shot Saved
52
Corner Corner
Corner
49
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Vitor Eduardo da Silva Matos,Vitao Head Shot Missed
49
Corner Corner
Corner
41
Update Update
First Half Ends！0-0
34
Corner Corner
Corner
28
Update Update
Offside
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-1
24
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Artur Victor Guimaraes Right Footed Shot Missed
19
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Artur Victor Guimaraes Right Footed Shot Missed
19
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Eric Pulgar Right Footed Shot Post
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lorran Lucas Pereira de Sousa Right Footed Shot Saved
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Samuel Dias Lino Right Footed Shot Missed
5
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Wendell Left Footed Shot Missed
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Anderson Daronco

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Flamengo 1-1 São Paulo. Structural assessment: Flamengo exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.