Flamengo vs Mirassol preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A
Postponed
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Flamengo welcome Mirassol to the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho for a Serie A regular season fixture in 2026. The home side sit second in the domestic standings while the visitors occupy 17th place. Flamengo possess a clear power advantage rated at 75.38 against Mirassol's 63.24, creating a 12.1 point gap that underlines their status as the stronger team. Recent form also favours the hosts with a score of 19 compared to the away side's 13.17. Both clubs will look to exploit their respective strengths in open play and organisation. The match offers Flamengo an opportunity to consolidate their position near the top while Mirassol aim to secure valuable points on the road. Tactical discipline and individual quality are expected to shape the outcome in this league contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Flamengo hold a 12.1 point power advantage and sit second domestically against 17th placed Mirassol.
  • Form: Flamengo post a form score of 19 while Mirassol register 13.17 ahead of the fixture.
  • Squad: Flamengo are identified as the stronger squad with superior overall ratings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams in this encounter.
  • Transition: Transition data is not provided within the current pre-match assessment.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence with no xG figures available.
  • xVariable: xVariable elements are not detailed in the supplied match information.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Botafogo Rank: 65 D
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 L
Mirassol Rank: 64 W
Vitória Rank: 62 W
Internacional Rank: 63 D
São Paulo Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palmeiras Rank: 75 D
Santos Rank: 64 D
Flamengo Rank: 75 L
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 L
Remo Rank: 57 W
Vasco da Gama Rank: 61 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.38
63.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Flamengo
Mirassol
Power Score
75.38
63.24
League Position
2
17
Global Rank
130
451

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Flamengo Opponent-weighted form score
Mirassol Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Flamengo Mirassol

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Flamengo FLA Home
3 matches
Mirassol MIR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
10
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
10
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
3.21
xG
1.36
1.36
xGA
3.21

Data last updated: 2026-08-27T01:14:38+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Capacity
78838
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

1
Agustín Rossi
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper
9
Pedro
Pedro Centre Forward
3
Léo Ortiz
Léo Ortiz Right Back
4
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira Left Back
5
Erick Pulgar
Erick Pulgar Defensive Midfield
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Giorgian de Arrascaeta Attacking Midfield
11
Everton
Everton Left Wing
52
Evertton Araújo
Evertton Araújo Defensive Midfield
20
Lucas Paquetá
Lucas Paquetá Right Wing
22
Emerson Royal
Emerson Royal Right Back
26
Alex Sandro
Alex Sandro Left Back

Starting XI

22
Walter
Walter Goalkeeper
9
Nathan Fogaça
Nathan Fogaça Centre Forward
3
Willian Machado
Willian Machado Left Back
21
José Aldo
José Aldo Defensive Midfield
11
Negueba
Negueba Right Wing
25
Neto Moura
Neto Moura Defensive Midfield
34
João Victor
João Victor Right Back
77
Alesson
Alesson Left Wing
7
Shaylon
Shaylon Attacking Midfield
12
Victor Luís
Victor Luís Left Back
97
Rodrigues
Rodrigues Right Back

CONCLUSION

Flamengo are well positioned to dictate proceedings at home given their superior power rating and league standing. Mirassol will need to remain compact and seek opportunities on the counter to trouble the hosts. The absence of detailed efficiency and set piece metrics leaves room for in game adjustments by both coaches. Flamengo's higher form score suggests they carry momentum into the contest while Mirassol must improve their output to climb the table. Expect the home side to control possession and create chances through structured build up. Mirassol's defensive organisation will be tested throughout the ninety minutes. Overall the match promises a competitive league encounter shaped by Flamengo's quality edge.