Flamengo vs Mirassol preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A
Postponed
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2026 Serie A regular season, Flamengo welcome Mirassol to the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho for a domestic league encounter. Flamengo occupy second place in the standings and carry a power score of 75.99, creating an 11.9-point edge over Mirassol who sit 17th. This gap underscores the home side's stronger overall profile heading into the fixture. Form metrics also tilt toward Flamengo with a score of 19 against the visitors' 13.17, suggesting better recent consistency. The match pits a high-ranking side against a lower-placed opponent in a setting that favors the hosts' familiarity with the surroundings. Both teams operate without detailed efficiency or set-piece metrics available, leaving structural and form elements as primary differentiators. Flamengo's position as the stronger team shapes expectations for controlled possession and organized play.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Flamengo hold second place domestically while Mirassol sit 17th with an 11.9-point power deficit.
  • Form: Flamengo post a form score of 19 compared to Mirassol's 13.17 entering the match.
  • Squad: Flamengo are identified as the stronger squad with a power score of 75.99.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both sides in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition statistics are not provided in the current data set.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy usage and no xG values.
  • xVariable: Flamengo carry an 11.9-point power advantage as the key variable.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Botafogo Rank: 66 D
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 L
Mirassol Rank: 64 W
Vitória Rank: 62 W
Internacional Rank: 64 D
São Paulo Rank: 63 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palmeiras Rank: 76 D
Santos Rank: 64 D
Flamengo Rank: 75 L
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 L
Remo Rank: 58 W
Vasco da Gama Rank: 61 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.99
64.1
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Flamengo
Mirassol
Power Score
75.99
64.1
League Position
2
17
Global Rank
132
449

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Flamengo Opponent-weighted form score
Mirassol Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Flamengo Mirassol

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Flamengo FLA Home
3 matches
Mirassol MIR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
10
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
10
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
3.21
xG
1.36
1.36
xGA
3.21

Data last updated: 2026-08-29T01:03:09+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Capacity
78838
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Stanislau
Luciane Rodrigues dos Santos
Hieger Túlio Cardoso

Expected Lineup

Referee : Anderson Daronco

Starting XI

1
Agustín Rossi
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper
9
Pedro
Pedro Centre Forward
3
Léo Ortiz
Léo Ortiz Right Back
4
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira Left Back
5
Erick Pulgar
Erick Pulgar Defensive Midfield
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Giorgian de Arrascaeta Attacking Midfield
11
Everton
Everton Left Wing
52
Evertton Araújo
Evertton Araújo Defensive Midfield
20
Lucas Paquetá
Lucas Paquetá Right Wing
22
Emerson Royal
Emerson Royal Right Back
26
Alex Sandro
Alex Sandro Left Back
Referee : Anderson Daronco

Starting XI

22
Walter
Walter Goalkeeper
9
Nathan Fogaça
Nathan Fogaça Centre Forward
3
Willian Machado
Willian Machado Left Back
21
José Aldo
José Aldo Defensive Midfield
11
Negueba
Negueba Right Wing
25
Neto Moura
Neto Moura Defensive Midfield
34
João Victor
João Victor Right Back
77
Alesson
Alesson Left Wing
7
Shaylon
Shaylon Attacking Midfield
12
Victor Luís
Victor Luís Left Back
97
Rodrigues
Rodrigues Right Back

CONCLUSION

Flamengo approach this fixture with clear advantages in league position, power rating, and form that should allow them to dictate tempo at home. Mirassol will need to stay compact and exploit any lapses in concentration to create opportunities. The absence of detailed efficiency and set-piece insights shifts focus to broader structural strengths where Flamengo lead. Home support at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho adds another layer of control for the hosts. Overall the contest favors the higher-placed side yet requires disciplined execution to convert superiority into results. Mirassol's lower standing suggests they may prioritize defensive organization over open attacking play.