Flamengo vs Botafogo preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A
FlamengoFLA
BotafogoBOT
KICKOFF :
Round 25 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Flamengo welcome Botafogo to the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho for a Serie A regular season encounter in 2026. The hosts occupy second position in the domestic standings and carry a clear power advantage over their eleventh-placed opponents. Flamengo also register a higher form score ahead of the fixture. Both sides operate without recent outing details, leaving analysts to rely on season-long metrics. The venue provides Flamengo with a familiar environment that has historically supported their structured approach. Botafogo will look to exploit any gaps in transition while managing set-piece situations carefully. Overall the match pits a higher-ranked side against a mid-table challenger seeking to close the gap in the table.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Flamengo sit second in the Serie A table while Botafogo occupy eleventh place.
  • Form: Flamengo hold a form score of 20 compared to Botafogo's 16.44.
  • Squad: Flamengo possess the stronger squad with a power score of 75.41 against 64.93.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency metrics are unavailable for either side in this fixture.
  • Transition: Information on transitional play remains limited ahead of the contest.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data carries low confidence with no specific metrics available.
  • xVariable: Flamengo hold a power advantage of 10.5 points over Botafogo.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Flamengo J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim
J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim
VS
Botafogo R. Aragonez Glória
R. Aragonez Glória
2.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 L
Mirassol Rank: 64 W
Vitória Rank: 62 W
Internacional Rank: 63 D
São Paulo Rank: 62 D
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Athletico PR Rank: 65 L
Vitória Rank: 61 L
Fluminense Rank: 67 D
Grêmio Rank: 62 D
Cruzeiro Rank: 70 W
Vitória Rank: 61 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.41
64.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Flamengo
Botafogo
Power Score
75.41
64.93
League Position
2
11
Global Rank
131
392

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Flamengo — Opponent-weighted form score
Botafogo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Flamengo Botafogo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Flamengo FLA Home
5 matches
Botafogo BOT Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
7
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-28T00:57:24+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Capacity
78838
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alex Gomes Stefano
Rodrigo Figueiredo Henrique Correa
Luiz Claudio Regazzone
Paulo Henrique Schleinch Vollkopf

Expected Lineup

Referee : Alex Gomes Stefano

Starting XI ▼

1
Agustín Rossi
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper
6.98
9
Pedro
Pedro Centre Forward
7.38
3
Léo Ortiz
Léo Ortiz Right Back
6.99
4
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira Left Back
7.19
5
Erick Pulgar
Erick Pulgar Defensive Midfield
6.89
6
Ayrton Lucas
Ayrton Lucas Left Back
6.81
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Giorgian de Arrascaeta Attacking Midfield
7.17
15
Jorge Carrascal
Jorge Carrascal Right Wing
7.05
16
Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino Left Wing
7.2
21
Jorginho
Jorginho Defensive Midfield
7.04
22
Emerson Royal
Emerson Royal Right Back
6.92
Referee : Alex Gomes Stefano

Starting XI ▼

12
Gabriel Batista
Gabriel Batista Goalkeeper
6.2
10
Álvaro Montoro
Álvaro Montoro Midfielder
6.85
23
Santiago Rodríguez
Santiago Rodríguez Midfielder
6.74
19
Arthur Cabral
Arthur Cabral Attacker
6.99
99
Danilo
Danilo Attacker
6.7
2
Vitinho
Vitinho Right Back
6.85
5
Nahuel Ferraresi
Nahuel Ferraresi Right Back
6.97
6
Cristian Medina
Cristian Medina Central Midfield
6.8
13
Alex Telles
Alex Telles Left Back
6.91
25
Allan
Allan Central Midfield
6.66
34
Gabriel Justino
Gabriel Justino Left Back
6.8

CONCLUSION

Flamengo are expected to control proceedings at home given their superior league standing and power metrics. Their structured game should limit Botafogo's opportunities while creating chances through organised build-up. The visitors must remain compact and look for openings on the counter to trouble the hosts. Set-piece execution could prove decisive if the match stays tight. Both teams will need to adapt quickly without recent form indicators to guide selection. Flamengo's higher power rating suggests they hold the platform to secure a positive result. Botafogo face a stern test but can gain ground with disciplined defending and sharp transitions.