Fiorentina VS Genoa

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy

Stadio Artemio Franchi Sun, 10 May - 1:00 PM

Serie A

Fiorentina FIO

Genoa GEN

KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 1:00 PM

Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fiorentina hosts Genoa at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in a Serie A regular season fixture for the 2025/2026 campaign, pitting two mid-table sides against each other early in the schedule. The Viola sit 16th, trailing Genoa in 14th, but boast a power score of 77.26 to Genoa's 74.8, translating to a 2.5-point advantage that identifies Fiorentina as the stronger team overall. Home advantage at Franchi could prove decisive in this evenly matched contest, especially with both teams registering form scores of zero amid a lack of recent outings. League positions underscore Genoa's slight edge domestically, yet Fiorentina's superior rating suggests potential to capitalize. Data gaps persist in efficiency, set pieces, and transitions, with low-confidence proxies limiting deeper insights into specialized phases. This matchup hinges on structural discipline and basic execution, as both squads seek early momentum without standout xG metrics available. Fans anticipate a tactical affair where small margins define the outcome.

TL;DR

Structural: Fiorentina enjoys a 2.5-point power advantage over Genoa, positioning them as the stronger team at home.
Form: Both teams have form scores of zero with no recent outings recorded.
Squad: No specific squad updates or injuries reported for either side.
Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition play metrics are not available due to data limitations.
Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxies used and no xG available.
xVariable: xG data is unavailable, preventing variable analysis.
Market: Fiorentina 47.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.9% (Δ+0%) | Genoa 24.4% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

P. Vanoli

D. De Rossi

1.33

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.38

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

15 - 17 - 4

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Fiorentina

47.71%

Draw

27.91%

Genoa

24.38%

Team Power Ranking

77.26

74.8

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Fiorentina

Genoa

Power Score

77.26

74.8

League Position

Global Rank

119

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Fiorentina — Opponent-weighted form score

Genoa — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fiorentina Genoa

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

43 D. de Gea Quintana

2 D. Cordeiro dos Santos

5 M. Pongracic

6 L. Ranieri

21 R. Gosens

4 M. Brescianini

44 N. Fagioli

27 C. Ndour

17 J. Harrison

10 A. Gudmundsson

19 M. Solomon

16 J. Bijlow

22 J. Vásquez Ibarra

5 L. Skiri Oestigaard

27 A. Marcandalli

20 S. Sabelli

32 M. Frendrup

4 A. Amorim de Freitas Filho

77 M. Ellertsson

21 J. Ekhator

29 L. Colombo

9 V. Carvalho Oliveira

General Information

Date & Time

May 10, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Capacity

43147

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Luca Massimi

Gamal Mokhtar

Alex Cavallina

Andrea Calzavara

Lineup

Referee : Luca Massimi

Manager ▼

P. Vanoli Coach

Starting XI ▼

David de Gea Goalkeeper

6.8

Dodô Defender

6.9

Marin Pongracic Defender

6.73

Luca Ranieri Defender

6.73

Robin Gosens Defender

6.83

Marco Brescianini Midfielder

6.59

Cher Ndour Midfielder

6.67

Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder

7.22

Albert Gudmundsson Attacker

6.87

Jack Harrison Attacker

6.69

Manor Solomon Attacker

6.99

Referee : Luca Massimi

Manager ▼

D. De Rossi Coach

Starting XI ▼

Justin Bijlow Goalkeeper

6.94

Leo Østigård Defender

7.12

Johan Vásquez Defender

6.86

Alessandro Marcandalli Defender

6.58

Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho Midfielder

6.72

Stefano Sabelli Midfielder

6.63

Morten Frendrup Midfielder

6.88

Mikael Egill Ellertsson Midfielder

6.58

Vitinha Attacker

6.77

Jeff Ekhator Attacker

6.62

Lorenzo Colombo Attacker

6.7

CONCLUSION

Fiorentina's home strength and power edge make them favorites in this Serie A opener against Genoa, despite the visitors' marginally better league standing. With form data absent, the focus shifts to underlying ratings where the Viola lead, potentially exploiting Genoa's away challenges. Limited insights into set pieces and efficiency mean execution in open play will dominate, favoring Fiorentina's structure. A narrow home win seems likely, boosting their climb from 16th, while Genoa aims to defy projections. This encounter promises intensity, with the Stadio Artemio Franchi crowd tipping scales in a balanced battle.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT