Ferencvárosi vs Real Madrid preview
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Groupama Aréna
Sat, 8 Aug - 5:00 PM
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 12
CONTEXT
Ferencvárosi faced Real Madrid and the match ended 1-2. The halftime score was 0-1. Real Madrid held 62 percent possession while Ferencvárosi had 38 percent. No red cards occurred for either team. The stronger team secured the victory. Data showed a significant deviation level tied to Real Madrid. Efficiency shift stayed in line with overall patterns. xG values were unavailable so alignment metrics could not be calculated. The result proved consistent with available projections. Event sequences directly influenced the final scoreline. Absence of dismissals left match dynamics unaltered by card related factors. Possession disparity highlighted the away side's control in the second half. The home team scored once but could not overcome the deficit. Analytical review confirms the winner aligned with pre match assessments of team strength.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Real Madrid showed a significant structural deviation from pre match expectations.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's output.
-
xG alignment: xG alignment assessment was not possible due to missing expected goals data.
-
Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre match projections.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without supporting metrics.
-
Event impact: Key events shaped Real Madrid's 2-1 victory.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion affected match structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. Berke
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
V. Toth II
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
B. Szert
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
B. Borbely
VS
Real Madrid
0
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1
0 i
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina
Rank: 82
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.35
94.22
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ferencvárosi
Real Madrid
Power Score
74.35
94.22
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
165
6
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Ferencvárosi
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Real Madrid
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Ferencvárosi Real Madrid
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Ferencvárosi
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Real Madrid
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Ferencvárosi
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Real Madrid
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.39
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.61
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Ferencvárosi
+0.04
Efficiency Index
vs
Real Madrid
-0.04
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ferencvárosi
Real Madrid
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Ferencvárosi
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Real Madrid
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Ferencvárosi
Real Madrid
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Ferencvárosi
Real Madrid
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ferencvárosi
Real Madrid
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Ferencvárosi
vs
Real Madrid
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Ferencvárosi
Real Madrid
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Ferencvárosi
0.41
Real Madrid
0.33
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ferencvárosi
Real Madrid
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Ferencvárosi
0.04
Real Madrid
0.03
Ferencvárosi
Real Madrid
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- FTC had peak pressure around 74'.
- RMA started the game with stronger pressure.
FTC Pressure
RMA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
FTC reached the top pressure at 74' (71.47).
STARTING XI
General Information
Date & Time
Aug 08, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Groupama Aréna
Capacity
22000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Balazs Berke
Vencel Toth II
Balázs Szert
Next Match
Ferencvárosi
vs
Górnik Zabrze
League: Europa League
Kickoff: Thu, 13 Aug - 5:00 PM
Venue: Arena Zabrze
Real Madrid
vs
Deportivo La Coruña
League: Club Friendlies 1
Kickoff: Wed, 12 Aug - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Statistics
Possession
FTC
41%
RMA
59%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
2
1
Big Chances Created
4
9
Shots
9
29
Dangerous attacks
52
38
Possession
62
3
Corners
2
11
Free kicks
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
64
Ball Safe
75
8
Goal Attempts
12
12
Substitutions
9
15
Throwins
11
6
Dribble Attempts
8
6
Successful Dribbles
8
43
Successful Dribbles Percentage
38
Attacking
67
Attacks
125
Possession
19
Long Passes
32
401
Passes
663
85
Successful Passes Percentage
92
9
Key Passes
15
Defensive
1
Saves
1
15
Tackles
17
10
Interceptions
9
42
Duels Won
46
Build-up
10
Total Crosses
6
Discipline
2
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
11
Lineup
Referee :
Balazs Berke
Manager ▼
B. Borbely
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
29
33
Referee :
Balazs Berke
Manager ▼
Real Madrid
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
Events
2ND-HALF
90+1'
2nd Yellowcard
1st Yellowcard
90'
86'
25th Substitution
83'
Lamini Fati → Álvaro Carreras
24th Substitution
20th Substitution
79'
21st Substitution
79'
22nd Substitution
79'
23rd Substitution
79'
18th Substitution
70'
19th Substitution
70'
64'
17th Substitution
3rd Goal
57'
49'
2nd Goal
2nd Substitution
46'
6th Substitution
46'
7th Substitution
46'
8th Substitution
46'
9th Substitution
46'
10th Substitution
46'
11th Substitution
46'
14th Substitution
46'
15th Substitution
46'
16th Substitution
46'
46'
1st Substitution
46'
3rd Substitution
46'
4th Substitution
46'
5th Substitution
46'
12th Substitution
46'
13th Substitution
1ST-HALF
41'
1st Goal
CONCLUSION
The 1-2 result reflected Real Madrid's ability to maintain an advantage after taking the lead at halftime. Ferencvárosi managed one goal but could not equalize despite periods of pressure. Possession figures indicated sustained control by the visitors throughout the second half. Absence of red cards allowed both sides to retain full squads for tactical adjustments. Significant deviation metrics pointed to Real Madrid exceeding certain structural benchmarks. Efficiency patterns stayed consistent with the overall team assessment. Without xG figures further statistical comparisons remain limited. The final scoreline matched the direction of pre match evaluations. Event sequences including the away team's opening goal proved decisive in determining the winner. No card related incidents altered the flow or personnel on the pitch.
Match Commentary