Ferencvárosi vs FC Twente preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Groupama Aréna Thu, 30 Jul - 6:30 PM
Europa League
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 6:30 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 3

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Ferencvárosi 2–2 FC Twente. The match ended in a draw. FC Twente showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 32%–68%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Ferencvárosi 2-2 FC Twente. FC Twente showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections for the sides.
  • xG alignment: Outcome consistency with xG could not be assessed due to absent metrics.
  • Market alignment: The final result did not align with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed unevaluated because of unavailable data.
  • Event impact: Second half adjustments occurred primarily through red card distortion.
  • Red card distortion: The home team red card produced clear distortion in match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Kopievskiy
V. Kopievskiy
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Shlonchak
S. Shlonchak
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. Nyzhnyk
V. Nyzhnyk
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Kalyonov
O. Kalyonov
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Ferencvárosi B. Borbely
B. Borbely
VS
FC Twente J. van den Brom
J. van den Brom
2.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Twente Rank: 78 W
Vojvodina Rank: W
Vojvodina Rank: W
Sporting Braga Rank: 84 L
Sporting Braga Rank: 84 W
Ludogorets Rank: 69 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ferencvárosi Rank: 74 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ferencvárosi
31.23%
Draw
25.58%
Away FC Twente
43.18%

Movement

Changes since opening
Ferencvárosi
+25.18%
Draw
-59.29%
FC Twente
+34.1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.11
79.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ferencvárosi
FC Twente
Power Score
76.11
79.39
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
160
100

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Ferencvárosi Opponent-weighted form score
FC Twente Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ferencvárosi FC Twente

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Ferencvárosi

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

FC Twente

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ferencvárosi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Twente
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.41
36.47
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.47
21.41
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ferencvárosi -0.78 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Twente +0.78 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ferencvárosi
FC Twente
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ferencvárosi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Twente
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ferencvárosi FC Twente
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ferencvárosi FC Twente
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ferencvárosi
FC Twente
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Ferencvárosi
vs
FC Twente
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ferencvárosi FC Twente
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ferencvárosi FC Twente
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Ferencvárosi
FC Twente
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • TWE had peak pressure around 40'.
  • FTC started the game with stronger pressure.
FTC Pressure TWE Pressure
Pressure Index: TWE reached the top pressure at 40' (62.49).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ferencvárosi FTC Home
1 matches
FC Twente TWE Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:06:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 3
Stadium
Groupama Aréna
Capacity
22000
Attendance
17201
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Viktor Kopievskiy
Semen Shlonchak
Viktor Nyzhnyk
Oleksandr Kalyonov

Statistics

Possession
FTC
37%
TWE
63%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Shots 16
37 Dangerous attacks 76
32 Possession 68
2 Corners 8
13 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
3 Substitutions 5
14 Throwins 19
10 Dribble Attempts 8

Attacking

78 Attacks 116

Possession

34 Long Passes 20
250 Passes 487
71 Successful Passes Percentage 87
4 Key Passes 18

Defensive

2 Saves 1
14 Tackles 11
11 Interceptions 3

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 33

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Viktor Kopievskiy

Starting XI

90
Dénes Dibusz
Dénes Dibusz (C) Goalkeeper
6.62
4
Mariano Gómez
Mariano Gómez Defender
6.67
28
Toon Raemaekers
Toon Raemaekers Defender
7.5
14
Attila Osváth
Attila Osváth Midfielder
6.49
16
Kristoffer Zachariassen
6.53
17
Marius Corbu
Marius Corbu Midfielder
6.81
20
Cadu
Cadu Midfielder
6.68
10
Jonathan Levi
Jonathan Levi
Midfielder89'
36
Gabi Kanichowsky
Gabi Kanichowsky Midfielder
6.63
47
Callum O'Dowda
Callum O'Dowda Midfielder
6.59
11
Bamidele Yusuf
Bamidele Yusuf
Attacker73'
6.55
88
Philippe Rommens
Philippe Rommens Midfielder
5.5
75
Lenny Joseph
Lenny Joseph Attacker
7.18
5
Nathan Zohoré
Nathan Zohoré
Defender78'
6.29
Referee : Viktor Kopievskiy

Starting XI

1
Lars Unnerstall
Lars Unnerstall Goalkeeper
6.17
23
Stav Lemkin
Stav Lemkin Defender
6.39
28
Bart van Rooij
7.52
29
Aske Adelgaard
Aske Adelgaard Defender
6.47
42
Daouda Weidmann
Daouda Weidmann
Midfielder46'
6.89
43
Ruud Nijstad
Ruud Nijstad Defender
6.86
6
Ramiz Zerrouki
Ramiz Zerrouki Midfielder
7.19
11
Daan Rots
Daan Rots Midfielder
6.42
7
Marko Pjaca
Marko Pjaca
Attacker73'
7.14
14
Kristian Hlynsson
Kristian Hlynsson Midfielder
6.38
10
Sam Lammers
Sam Lammers
Attacker46'
6.8
20
Thomas van den Belt
Thomas van den Belt Midfielder
6.83
19
Younes Taha
Younes Taha
Midfielder64'
7.05
27
Sondre Ørjasæter
Sondre Ørjasæter Midfielder
6.56
9
Wout Weghorst
Wout Weghorst Attacker
7.45

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jonathan Levi Cadu
8th Substitution
89'
88'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
82'
Event
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Nathan Zohoré Lenny Joseph
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Bamidele Yusuf Callum O'Dowda
4th Substitution
73'
73'
Event
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink Sondre Ørjasæter
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Marko Pjaca Daan Rots
6th Substitution
64'
Event
Younes Taha Thomas van den Belt
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 2nd Yellowcard
58'
58'
Event
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Field Goal / 1st Goal
50'
46'
Event
Sam Lammers Kristian Hlynsson
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Daouda Weidmann Aske Adelgaard
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Serious foul / 1st Redcard
36'
Event
Penalty / 1st Penalty
22'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Update Update
On comes Jonathan Levi, off goes Carlos Eduardo Lopes Cruz.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Younes Taha receives a yellow card.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-2.
83
Update Update
Offside.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Nathan Zohore comes on for Lenny Joseph.
73
Update Update
Bamidele Isa Yusuf is on, and Callum ODowda is off.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Marko Pjaca comes on for Daan Rots.
72
Substitution Substitution
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink is substituted off for Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Update Update
On comes Younes Taha, off goes Thomas Van Den Belt.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Stav Lemkin receives a yellow card.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Thomas Van Den Belt.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Carlos Eduardo Lopes Cruz receives a yellow card.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lenny Joseph scores, making it 2-0.
46
Update Update
Daouda Weidmann is on, and Adelgaard Aske is off.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Sam Lammers comes on for Kristian Hlynsson.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Philippe Rommens.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Philippe Rommens receives a yellow card.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Toon Raemaekers scores a penalty to make it 1-0.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Viktor Kopievskiy.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw capped a tense second leg where Ferencvárosi defended their aggregate advantage despite playing with ten men after the interval. FC Twente dominated possession yet could not convert territorial control into a decisive edge. The early home goal set a platform that held firm even after the numerical disadvantage. Both teams showed resilience in a match defined by the red card event and the need to manage the knockout stakes. The result preserved Ferencvárosi progress while highlighting the challenges of maintaining structure under pressure. Overall the contest reflected the competitive balance between the sides across the two legs.