Fenerbahçe vs Pogoń Szczecin preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium Sat, 11 Jul - 5:30 PM
Club Friendlies 1
Fenerbahçe FEN
4 0
Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin
Full Time Sat, 11 Jul 5:30 PM
Regular Season
Cengiz Ünder - 13'
Anthony Musaba - 23'
Sidiki Chérif - 48', 52'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Fenerbahce delivered a commanding performance against Pogon Szczecin, securing a 4-0 victory that reflected their dominance throughout the fixture. The home side established control early, leading 2-0 at halftime with superior possession at 68 percent compared to the visitors 32 percent. Fenerbahce maintained pressure in the second half to add two more goals without conceding. The stronger team lived up to expectations as the clear winner in this encounter. No red cards were shown to either side, allowing the match to unfold without disciplinary interruptions. The significant deviation from projections favored Fenerbahce heavily. This result underscored their efficiency and structural advantages on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fenerbahce exhibited a significant structural deviation as the deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger side's output.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed with null metrics available.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved market aligned with the pre-match view.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed undetermined due to absent data inputs.
  • Event impact: Event impact centered on Fenerbahce's four goals in the 4-0 win.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion stayed minimal with zero dismissals recorded.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Ebner
S. Ebner
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Höfler
M. Höfler
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Gutschi
A. Gutschi
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
VS
Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin
Pogoń Szczecin
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Admira Rank: 49 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fenerbahçe
0%
Draw
0%
Away Pogoń Szczecin
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.67
64.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fenerbahçe
Pogoń Szczecin
Power Score
85.67
64.11
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
35
397

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fenerbahçe — Opponent-weighted form score
Pogoń Szczecin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fenerbahçe Pogoń Szczecin

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fenerbahçe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Pogoń Szczecin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fenerbahçe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Pogoń Szczecin
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.28
27.03
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.03
27.28
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fenerbahçe +0.02 Efficiency Index
vs
Pogoń Szczecin -0.02 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fenerbahçe
Pogoń Szczecin
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fenerbahçe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Pogoń Szczecin
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fenerbahçe Pogoń Szczecin
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fenerbahçe Pogoń Szczecin
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Fenerbahçe
Pogoń Szczecin
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Fenerbahçe
vs
Pogoń Szczecin
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fenerbahçe Pogoń Szczecin
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Fenerbahçe 0.31
Pogoń Szczecin 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fenerbahçe Pogoń Szczecin
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Fenerbahçe 0.00
Pogoń Szczecin 0.08
Fenerbahçe
Pogoń Szczecin
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FEN had peak pressure around 27'.
  • FEN started the game with stronger pressure.
FEN Pressure Pogoń Szczecin Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FEN reached the top pressure at 27' (83.36).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fenerbahçe FEN Home
0 matches
Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:57:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
F. Günok
Türkiye
34 F. Günok
O. Mimović
Serbia
77 O. Mimović
M. Škriniar
Slovakia
37 M. Škriniar
J. Oosterwolde
Netherlands
24 J. Oosterwolde
M. Mercan
Germany
22 M. Mercan
M. Guendouzi Olié
France
6 M. Guendouzi Olié
C. Ünder
Türkiye
11 C. Ünder
F. Rodrigues Santos
Brazil
7 F. Rodrigues Santos
B. Elmaz
Türkiye
28 B. Elmaz
A. Musaba
Netherlands
20 A. Musaba
A. Souza Conceição
Brazil
94 A. Souza Conceição
V. Cojocaru
Romania
77 V. Cojocaru
B. Mendy
France
23 B. Mendy
L. Borges da Silva
Brazil
4 L. Borges da Silva
D. Keramitsis
Greece
13 D. Keramitsis
L. Wahlqvist
Sweden
28 L. Wahlqvist
P. Dziczek
Poland
16 P. Dziczek
K. Grosicki
Poland
11 K. Grosicki
Natan Lawa
47 Natan Lawa
F. Ulvestad
Norway
8 F. Ulvestad
M. Agger
Denmark
25 M. Agger
F. Čuić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
10 F. Čuić

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 11, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
Capacity
50530
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stefan Ebner
Martin Höfler
Amina Gutschi

Statistics

Possession
FEN
63%
Pogoń Szczecin
37%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 3
51 Dangerous attacks 33
68 Possession 32
5 Corners 0
10 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

51 Ball Safe 39
8 Goal Attempts 5
11 Substitutions 7
21 Throwins 10
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Injuries 0
4 Dribble Attempts 3
4 Successful Dribbles 3
31 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

69 Attacks 53

Possession

30 Long Passes 23
640 Passes 308
91 Successful Passes Percentage 82
12 Key Passes 2

Defensive

3 Saves 4
11 Tackles 6
14 Interceptions 7
30 Duels Won 29

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
6 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

34
Mert Günok
Mert Günok Goalkeeper
6.68
22
Levent Mercan
Levent Mercan Defender
6.86
24
Jayden Oosterwolde
Jayden Oosterwolde Defender
6.81
37
Milan Škriniar
Milan Škriniar Defender
6.96
77
Ognjen Mimovic
Ognjen Mimovic Defender
6.65
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
Mattéo Guendouzi Midfielder
7
7
Fred
Fred Midfielder
6.99
28
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz Midfielder
6.64
11
Cengiz Ünder
Cengiz Ünder Attacker
7.05
20
Anthony Musaba
Anthony Musaba Attacker
6.9
94
Talisca
Talisca Attacker
6.68
Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

77
Valentin Cojocaru
Valentin Cojocaru Goalkeeper
6.39
4
Léo Borges
Léo Borges Defender
6.12
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
Dimitrios Keramitsis Defender
6.17
23
Benjamin Mendy
Benjamin Mendy Defender
5.98
28
Linus Wahlqvist
Linus Wahlqvist Defender
5.88
8
Fredrik Ulvestad
Fredrik Ulvestad Midfielder
6.18
16
Patryk Dziczek
Patryk Dziczek Midfielder
6.04
47
Natan Ława
Natan Ława Midfielder
6.04
10
Filip Cuic
Filip Cuic Attacker
6.49
11
Kamil Grosicki
Kamil Grosicki Attacker
6.5
25
M. Agger
M. Agger Attacker
6.3

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jayden Oosterwolde
1st Yellowcard
57'
Event
Sidiki Chérif
4th Goal
52'
Event
Sidiki Chérif
3rd Goal
48'
1ST-HALF
Event
Anthony Musaba
2nd Goal
23'
Event
Cengiz Ünder
1st Goal
13'

CONCLUSION

Fenerbahce's 4-0 triumph over Pogon Szczecin showcased a well-rounded display from the hosts who controlled proceedings from start to finish. With a 2-0 halftime advantage already in place the team built on their lead through sustained pressure and clinical finishing. Possession stats highlighted their territorial edge while the absence of red cards ensured a fluid contest without major disruptions. The significant deviation observed aligned closely with the stronger team's capabilities and delivered a result consistent with overall expectations. This performance reinforced Fenerbahce's ability to convert dominance into tangible outcomes across both halves. Observers noted smooth transitions and effective adjustments that prevented any comeback attempts from the visitors.