Fenerbahçe vs Górnik Zabrze preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium Tue, 21 Jul - 6:00 PM
Champions League
FenerbahçeFEN
1 0
Górnik ZabrzeGZA
Full Time Tue, 21 Jul 6:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Talisca  - 37'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Fenerbahce hosted Gornik Zabrze in the first leg of a two-legged knockout tie and secured a narrow 1-0 victory. The home side took the lead before halftime and maintained control throughout the second period despite limited further scoring opportunities. They dominated possession with 79 percent of the ball and created the majority of chances, registering 1.6 expected goals compared to just 0.09 for the visitors. The away team struggled to build any sustained pressure and finished with only 21 percent possession. No red cards were shown to either side. The single goal proved enough to give Fenerbahce the advantage heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fenerbahce recorded a minimal structural deviation of 3 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns.
  • xG alignment: Outcome stayed consistent with the recorded xG figures.
  • Market alignment: Result proved aligned with overall team strength indicators.
  • xG expectations: Home side posted 1.6 xG while away side managed 0.09.
  • Event impact: The first-half goal decided the 1-0 final scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Lukjančukas
M. Lukjančukas
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Mirauskas
M. Mirauskas
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Stepanovas
A. Stepanovas
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. Paulauskas
V. Paulauskas
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Fenerbahçe İ. Kartal
İ. Kartal
VS
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fenerbahçe
96.99%
Draw
2.37%
Away Górnik Zabrze
0.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fenerbahçe
+1.35%
Draw
-1.35%
Górnik Zabrze
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
86.03
68.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fenerbahçe
Górnik Zabrze
Power Score
86.03
68.41
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
35
278

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fenerbahçe — Opponent-weighted form score
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fenerbahçe Górnik Zabrze

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fenerbahçe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Górnik Zabrze

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fenerbahçe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Górnik Zabrze
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.33
14.76
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.76
26.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fenerbahçe +0.98 Efficiency Index
vs
Górnik Zabrze -0.98 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fenerbahçe
Górnik Zabrze
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fenerbahçe
vs
Górnik Zabrze
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fenerbahçe Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
46%
38%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.74 vs -0.03
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fenerbahçe Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
38%
46%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.03 vs -0.74
Fenerbahçe
Górnik Zabrze
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Fenerbahçe
vs
Górnik Zabrze
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fenerbahçe Górnik Zabrze
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Fenerbahçe 0.13
Górnik Zabrze 0.09
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fenerbahçe Górnik Zabrze
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Fenerbahçe 0.00
Górnik Zabrze 0.01
Fenerbahçe
Górnik Zabrze
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FEN had peak pressure around 59'.
  • FEN started the game with stronger pressure.
FEN Pressure GZA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FEN reached the top pressure at 59' (100.00).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 21, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
Capacity
50530
Attendance
51000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Manfredas Lukjančukas
Mangirdas Mirauskas
Aleksandras Stepanovas
Vilius Paulauskas

Statistics

Possession
FEN
74%
GZA
26%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 0
116 Dangerous attacks 22
79 Possession 21
9 Corners 2
11 Free kicks 15

Match Overview

1 Goal Kicks 7
5 Substitutions 4
21 Throwins 15
2 Hit Woodwork 0
14 Dribble Attempts 14
8 Successful Dribbles 7
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

166 Attacks 63
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

31 Long Passes 31
765 Passes 202
703 Successful Passes 147
92 Successful Passes Percentage 73
13 Key Passes 2
23 Successful Long Passes 10
74 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32

Defensive

1 Saves 5
19 Tackles 13
7 Interceptions 10
45 Duels Won 49

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 8
6 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

15 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Manfredas Lukjančukas

Starting XI ▼

34
Mert Günok
Mert Günok Goalkeeper
6.8
15
Nathan Aké
Nathan Aké Defender
6.96
22
Levent Mercan
Levent Mercan
Defender46'
6.84
24
Jayden Oosterwolde
Jayden Oosterwolde Defender
7.33
27
Nélson Semedo
Nélson Semedo Defender
7.16
37
Milan Škriniar
Milan Škriniar (C) Defender
6.97
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
Mattéo Guendouzi Midfielder
7.44
7
Fred
Fred Midfielder
7.66
9
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Kerem Aktürkoğlu Midfielder
7.14
70
Oğuz Aydın
Oğuz Aydın
Attacker69'
6.78
17
İrfan Can Kahveci
İrfan Can Kahveci Midfielder
7.06
11
Mason Greenwood
Mason Greenwood
Attacker83'
6.2
28
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz Midfielder
7.7
10
Marco Asensio
Marco Asensio
Midfielder69'
6.62
94
Talisca
Talisca Attacker
7.69
26
Sidiki Chérif
Sidiki Chérif
Attacker87'
Referee : Manfredas Lukjančukas

Starting XI ▼

1
Philipp Schulze
Philipp Schulze Goalkeeper
7.16
20
Josema
Josema Defender
6.62
26
Rafał Janicki
Rafał Janicki Defender
7.05
61
Michal Sacek
Michal Sacek Defender
6.96
64
Erik Janza
Erik Janza (C) Defender
6.73
18
Lukas Sadilek
Lukas Sadilek Midfielder
6.22
66
Maximilian Dietz
Maximilian Dietz Midfielder
6.31
28
Bastien Donio
Bastien Donio
Midfielder76'
6.67
82
Kacper Urbański
Kacper Urbański Midfielder
6.56
23
Sondre Liseth
Sondre Liseth
Attacker72'
6.59
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi Attacker
6.41
21
Ondrej Zmrzly
Ondrej Zmrzly
Defender72'
6.51
11
Erik Prekop
Erik Prekop Attacker
7.01
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan Attacker
6.32
2
Patryk Warczak
Patryk Warczak
Defender90+2'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Patryk Warczak → Maksym Khlan
9th Substitution
Event
Sidiki Chérif → Talisca 
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Mason Greenwood → İrfan Can Kahveci
7th Substitution
83'
76'
Event
Bastien Donio → Maximilian Dietz
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Sondre Liseth → Kacper Urbański
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Ondrej Zmrzly → Yvan Ikia Dimi
5th Substitution
Event
Marco Asensio → Bartuğ Elmaz
2nd Substitution
69'
Event
Oğuz Aydın → Kerem Aktürkoğlu
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Levent Mercan → Nathan Aké
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Talisca 
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
37'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Patryk Warczak comes on for Maksym Khlan.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Update Update
On Sidiki Cherif, off Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca.
86
Update Update
On Sidiki Cherif, off Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Update Update
Mason Greenwood is on, and Irfan Can Kahveci is off.
79
Attempt Attempt
Erik Prekop takes a shot with his head but misses.
75
Update Update
Bastien Donio comes on for Maximilian Dietz.
72
Substitution Substitution
Ondrej Zmrzly is substituted off for Yvan Junior Ikia Dimi.
72
Substitution Substitution
Ondrej Zmrzly is substituted off for Yvan Junior Ikia Dimi.
69
Substitution Substitution
Ondrej Zmrzly is substituted off for Yvan Junior Ikia Dimi.
69
Update Update
Marco Asensio Willemsen is on, and Bartug Elmaz is off.
67
Update Update
Marco Asensio Willemsen comes on for Bartug Elmaz.
63
Update Update
On comes Oguz Aydin, off goes Nathan Ake.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Attempt Attempt
Irfan Can Kahveci takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a header, but it's saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a header, but it's saved.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Attempt Attempt
Frederico Rodrigues Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Levent Munir Mercan comes on for Nathan Ake.
45
Attempt Attempt
Bartug Elmaz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Attempt Attempt
Bartug Elmaz takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Jayden Oosterwolde takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Attempt Attempt
Frederico Rodrigues Santos takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Attempt Attempt
Erik Janza takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan's right-footed shot is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a left-footed shot but misses.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Attempt Attempt
Bartug Elmaz takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Manfredas Lukjancukas.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Fenerbahçe 1-0 Górnik Zabrze. Structural assessment: Fenerbahçe exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.