FCSB vs Auda preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Arena Naţională Thu, 23 Jul - 5:45 PM
Europa Conference League
FCSBFSB
2 3
AudaAUD
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 5:45 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal
Kader Kone - 90+4'

CONTEXT

FCSB faced Auda in the first leg of a knockout competition tie at their home ground. The match ended in a 2-3 win for Auda after a closely contested ninety minutes. The away side went into the break with a 1-2 lead following an eventful first half. Possession statistics showed FCSB controlling 55 percent of the ball compared to Auda's 45 percent. Despite this territorial advantage, FCSB was unable to secure a positive result against their opponents. Auda, identified as the stronger team prior to the match, executed their game plan effectively to emerge victorious. The game proceeded without any red cards being shown to players from either team. This result gives Auda a solid platform moving forward into the second leg of the tie. The performance levels indicated a high level of competition between the two sides throughout the encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant deviation was observed in favor of Auda.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with established patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed as data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The final result was not aligned with pre-match projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not applicable due to missing metrics.
  • Event impact: Key events contributed to Auda's 2-3 victory over FCSB.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion affected the match outcome.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Fuxman
D. Fuxman
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Yacobov
M. Yacobov
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Zoler
I. Zoler
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Klein
A. Klein
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
FCSB M. Baciu
M. Baciu
VS
Auda D. Zanetti
D. Zanetti
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FCSB
79.03%
Draw
14.66%
Away Auda
6.3%

Movement

Changes since opening
FCSB
+78.4%
Draw
+9.04%
Auda
-87.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FCSB
Auda
Power Score
23.33
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FCSB — Opponent-weighted form score
Auda — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FCSB Auda

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FCSB

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Auda

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FCSB ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Auda
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.64
31.67
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.67
34.64
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FCSB +0.28 Efficiency Index
vs
Auda -0.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FCSB
Auda
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FCSB ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Auda
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FCSB Auda
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FCSB Auda
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FCSB
Auda
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FCSB
vs
Auda
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FCSB Auda
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FCSB 0.19
Auda 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FCSB Auda
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FCSB 0.05
Auda 0.02
FCSB
Auda
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FSB had peak pressure around 85'.
  • FSB started the game with stronger pressure.
FSB Pressure AUD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FSB reached the top pressure at 85' (57.54).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-2-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 05:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Arena Naţională
Capacity
55634
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
David Fuxman
Mati Yacobov
I. Zoler
Aviv Klein

Statistics

Possession
FSB
55%
AUD
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
7 Shots 5
81 Dangerous attacks 65
55 Possession 45
7 Corners 2
19 Free kicks 24
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 4
29 Throwins 17

Attacking

122 Attacks 107

Discipline

6 Offsides 4
19 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : David Fuxman

Starting XI ▼

32
Ștefan Târnovanu
Ștefan Târnovanu Goalkeeper
5.68
3
André Duarte
André Duarte Defender
5.88
5
Joyskim Dawa
Joyskim Dawa Defender
5.86
33
Risto Radunovic
Risto Radunovic Defender
5.88
97
Ronny Labonne Defender
8
Eddy Gnahoré
Eddy Gnahoré Midfielder
6.27
90
Alexandru Stoian
Alexandru Stoian
Attacker46'
6.55
10
Florin Tănase
Florin Tănase (C) Midfielder
6.32
31
Juri Cisotti
Juri Cisotti Midfielder
6.18
7
Octavian Popescu
Octavian Popescu Attacker
6.79
20
Dennis Politic
Dennis Politic
Attacker88'
9
Daniel Bîrligea
Daniel Bîrligea Attacker
6.38
28
Aymen Boutoutaou
Referee : David Fuxman

Starting XI ▼

98
Nils Purins
Nils Purins Goalkeeper
5.88
2
Tin Hrvoj
Tin Hrvoj Defender
6.05
4
Moussa Ouedraogo
Moussa Ouedraogo Defender
6.25
10
Wally Fofana
Wally Fofana
Midfielder63'
6.37
8
Edvin Bongemba
Edvin Bongemba Midfielder
6.27
14
Hussaini Ibrahim
Hussaini Ibrahim Midfielder
6.38
18
Ariel Arroyo
Ariel Arroyo Midfielder
6.33
6
Ralfs Kragliks
Ralfs Kragliks
Defender67'
6.26
20
Youba Traoré
Youba Traoré Midfielder
6.68
17
Eduards Daskevics
Eduards Daskevics (C) Attacker
6.82
7
Andrews Appiah
Andrews Appiah
Attacker67'
6.42
25
Barthélémy Diedhiou
Barthélémy Diedhiou Attacker
6.79
23
Mohamoud Fofana
Mohamoud Fofana
Attacker78'
6.46
47
Kader Kone
Kader Kone Attacker
6.79
71
Oskars Rubenis
Oskars Rubenis Attacker
6.43

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Kader Kone
Field Goal / 5th Goal
90+1'
Event
Andrews Appiah
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Dennis Politic → Octavian Popescu
8th Substitution
88'
79'
Event
Mohamoud Fofana
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Mihai Toma → Aymen Boutoutaou
7th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
Mohamoud Fofana → Barthélémy Diedhiou
6th Substitution
Event
Aymen Boutoutaou
Field Goal / 4th Goal
71'
67'
Event
Andrews Appiah → Eduards Daskevics 
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Ralfs Kragliks → Ariel Arroyo
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Didier Zanetti
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
63'
Event
Wally Fofana → Moussa Ouedraogo
3rd Substitution
Event
Valentin Crețu → Ronny Labonne
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Alexandru Stoian → Eddy Gnahoré
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Ariel Arroyo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
32'
Event
Barthélémy Diedhiou
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
Event
Joyskim Dawa
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
27'
Event
Octavian Popescu
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
23'
5'
Event
Eduards Daskevics 
Field Goal / 1st Goal
1'
Event
Moussa Ouedraogo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-3.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Andrews Appiah.
88
Update Update
On comes Dennis Politic, off goes Octavian George Popescu.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mahamoud Fofana receives a yellow card.
78
Update Update
Mihai Toma comes on for Aymen Boutoutaou.
78
Update Update
Mahamoud Fofana comes on for Barthelemy Diedhiou.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Aymen Boutoutaou scores to make it 2-2, assisted by Alexandru Constantin Stoian.
67
Update Update
On Ralfs Kragliks, off Ariel Arroyo.
67
Update Update
On comes Andrews Appiah, off goes Eduards Daskevics.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Update Update
Wally Fofana is on, and Moussa Ouedraogo is off.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Valentin Cretu comes on for Ronny Labonne.
46
Update Update
Alexandru Constantin Stoian is on, and Eddy Gnahore is off.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ariel Arroyo receives a yellow card.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Barthelemy Diedhiou scores, making it 1-2.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Joyskim Dawa Tchakonte.
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Moussa Ouedraogo receives a yellow card.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is David Fuxman.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: FCSB 2-3 Auda. Structural assessment: Auda exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.