FC Twente vs Ferencvárosi preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
De Grolsch Veste Thu, 23 Jul - 6:00 PM
Europa League
FC Twente TWE
1 2
Ferencvárosi FTC
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 6:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Aske Adelgaard - 38'
Goal
|
Goal
Lenny Joseph - 14', 80'

CONTEXT

In the opening leg of their two-legged knockout encounter FC Twente hosted Ferencvárosi and suffered a 1-2 home defeat. The hosts controlled 69 percent of possession yet managed only one goal while the visitors scored twice on 31 percent possession. Both teams found the net before the interval leaving the score 1-1 at halftime. Ferencvárosi added the decisive goal after the break to secure an away win. Although designated the stronger side FC Twente could not prevent the result from swinging toward the visitors. No red cards were shown and the match remained eleven versus eleven throughout. The outcome reflected a moderate structural deviation with the away side prevailing.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Ferencvárosi recorded a moderate structural deviation of 8.4 percent in securing the victory.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with the observed match patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals figures were unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The result proved aligned with pre-match projections for the away team.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remained undetermined due to missing underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: Ferencvárosi claimed a 2-1 win in the first leg of the tie.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so match dynamics experienced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Kos
D. Kos
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Heinig
B. Heinig
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Bohonos
D. Bohonos
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
W. Myć
W. Myć
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
FC Twente J. van den Brom
J. van den Brom
VS
Ferencvárosi B. Borbely
B. Borbely
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.71
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vojvodina Rank: W
Vojvodina Rank: W
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 L
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 W
Ludogorets Rank: 67 W
Ludogorets Rank: 67 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Twente
1.16%
Draw
7.26%
Away Ferencvárosi
91.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.34
75.08
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Twente
Ferencvárosi
Power Score
77.34
75.08
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
101
142

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Twente — Opponent-weighted form score
Ferencvárosi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Twente Ferencvárosi

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Twente

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Ferencvárosi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Twente ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Ferencvárosi
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.46
35.32
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.32
32.46
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Twente -0.31 Efficiency Index
vs
Ferencvárosi +0.31 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Twente
Ferencvárosi
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Twente ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Ferencvárosi
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Twente Ferencvárosi
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Twente Ferencvárosi
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Twente
Ferencvárosi
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Twente
vs
Ferencvárosi
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Twente Ferencvárosi
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Twente 0.20
Ferencvárosi 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Twente Ferencvárosi
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Twente 0.05
Ferencvárosi 0.01
FC Twente
Ferencvárosi
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • TWE had peak pressure around 96'.
  • TWE started the game with stronger pressure.
TWE Pressure FTC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: TWE reached the top pressure at 96' (52.55).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Twente TWE Home
0 matches
Ferencvárosi FTC Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:06:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-1-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
L. Unnerstall
Germany
1 L. Unnerstall
B. van Rooij
Netherlands
28 B. van Rooij
S. Lemkin
Israel
23 S. Lemkin
R. Nijstad
Netherlands
43 R. Nijstad
A. Adelgaard
Denmark
29 A. Adelgaard
R. Zerrouki
Substitution
Algeria
6 R. Zerrouki
T. van den Belt
Netherlands
20 T. van den Belt
K. Hlynsson
Substitution
Iceland
14 K. Hlynsson
D. Rots
Netherlands
11 D. Rots
W. Weghorst
Netherlands
9 W. Weghorst
S. Ørjasæter
Norway
27 S. Ørjasæter
D. Dibusz
Hungary
90 (C) D. Dibusz
C. Lopes Cruz
Brazil
20 C. Lopes Cruz
T. Raemaekers
Belgium
28 T. Raemaekers
M. Gómez
Argentina
4 M. Gómez
A. Osváth
Hungary
14 A. Osváth
G. Kanichowsky
Substitution
Israel
36 G. Kanichowsky
P. Rommens
Belgium
88 P. Rommens
M. Corbu
Romania
17 M. Corbu
B. Yusuf
Substitution
Nigeria
11 B. Yusuf
L. Joseph
Substitution
Haiti
75 L. Joseph
K. Zachariassen
Substitution
Norway
16 K. Zachariassen

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
De Grolsch Veste
Capacity
30205
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Damian Kos
Bartosz Heinig
Dariusz Bohonos
Wojciech Myć

Statistics

Possession
TWE
65%
FTC
35%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
11 Shots 7
88 Dangerous attacks 39
69 Possession 31
4 Corners 4
7 Free kicks 11

Match Overview

2 Substitutions 4
22 Throwins 14
11 Dribble Attempts 6

Attacking

133 Attacks 84

Possession

25 Long Passes 19
651 Passes 294
89 Successful Passes Percentage 76
15 Key Passes 6

Defensive

0 Saves 6
4 Tackles 5
10 Interceptions 9

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Damian Kos

Starting XI ▼

1
Lars Unnerstall
Lars Unnerstall Goalkeeper
6.17
23
Stav Lemkin
Stav Lemkin Defender
6.72
28
Bart van Rooij
Bart van Rooij Defender
6.78
29
Aske Adelgaard
Aske Adelgaard Defender
7.56
43
Ruud Nijstad
Ruud Nijstad Defender
6.41
6
Ramiz Zerrouki
Ramiz Zerrouki Midfielder
7.1
4
Mathias Kjølø
Mathias Kjølø
Midfielder78'
6.54
11
Daan Rots
Daan Rots Midfielder
7.28
14
Kristian Hlynsson
Kristian Hlynsson Midfielder
6.69
19
Younes Taha
Younes Taha
Midfielder78'
6.48
20
Thomas van den Belt
Thomas van den Belt Midfielder
7.39
27
Sondre Ørjasæter
Sondre Ørjasæter Midfielder
7.17
9
Wout Weghorst
Wout Weghorst Attacker
6.79
Referee : Damian Kos

Starting XI ▼

90
Dénes Dibusz
Dénes Dibusz (C) Goalkeeper
7.43
4
Mariano Gómez
Mariano Gómez Defender
6.87
28
Toon Raemaekers
Toon Raemaekers Defender
6.88
14
Attila Osváth
Attila Osváth Midfielder
6.55
16
Kristoffer Zachariassen
Kristoffer Zachariassen Midfielder
6.63
54
Olivér Nagy
Olivér Nagy
Defender90+1'
17
Marius Corbu
Marius Corbu Midfielder
6.42
20
Cadu
Cadu Midfielder
6.8
36
Gabi Kanichowsky
Gabi Kanichowsky Midfielder
6.65
10
Jonathan Levi
Jonathan Levi
Midfielder69'
6.5
88
Philippe Rommens
Philippe Rommens Midfielder
6.92
11
Bamidele Yusuf
Bamidele Yusuf Attacker
6.53
47
Callum O'Dowda
Callum O'Dowda
Midfielder69'
7.13
75
Lenny Joseph
Lenny Joseph Attacker
2
7.78
76
Krisztián Lisztes
Krisztián Lisztes
Attacker87'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Olivér Nagy → Kristoffer Zachariassen
6th Substitution
87'
Event
Krisztián Lisztes → Lenny Joseph
5th Substitution
80'
Event
Lenny Joseph
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
Event
Mathias Kjølø → Ramiz Zerrouki
3rd Substitution
78'
Event
Younes Taha → Kristian Hlynsson
4th Substitution
78'
69'
Event
Jonathan Levi → Gabi Kanichowsky
1st Substitution
69'
Event
Callum O'Dowda → Bamidele Yusuf
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Aske Adelgaard
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
38'
14'
Event
Lenny Joseph
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-2.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Oliver Zoltan Nagy comes on for Kristoffer Zachariassen.
78
Update Update
Krisztian Lisztes comes on for Lenny Joseph.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lenny Joseph scores to make it 1-2, assisted by Callum O'Dowda.
78
Update Update
Mathias Ullereng Kjolo is on, and Ramiz Zerrouki is off.
69
Update Update
On Younes Taha, off Kristian Hlynsson.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Update Update
Jonathan Levi comes on for Gavriel Kanichowsky.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
The first half ends with a score of 1-1.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Adelgaard Aske scores, making it 1-1.
34
Update Update
Offside.
34
Update Update
Offside.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lenny Joseph scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Kristoffer Zachariassen.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Damian Kos.

CONCLUSION

Ferencvárosi left with a narrow advantage after converting limited opportunities more effectively than FC Twente despite the hosts dominating possession. The 1-1 halftime score indicated an even opening period yet the second half produced the decisive away goal. With no dismissals the contest maintained its numerical balance allowing both sides to pursue their tactical plans without adjustment. The moderate deviation observed underscores how possession share alone did not dictate the outcome. Ferencvárosi now carries momentum into the return fixture while FC Twente must address their inability to translate territorial control into goals. The analytical picture highlights efficiency differences rather than external disruptions as the primary factor behind the result.