FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF preview

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
MCH Arena Sun, 17 May - 4:00 PM
Superliga
FC MidtjyllandFCM
2 3
Brøndby IFBIF
Full Time Sun, 17 May 4:00 PM
Round 10 Championship Round
Mikel Gogorza - 23'
Goal
|
Goal
Mayckel Lahdo - 66'
Sho Fukuda - 81'
Luis Binks - 90+3'

CONTEXT

FC Midtjylland faced Brøndby IF and the match ended 2-3. The home team led 2-0 at halftime with 56 percent possession overall compared to 44 percent for the visitors. Brøndby IF completed a second half recovery to claim the win despite entering as the designated weaker side. No red cards occurred to alter the balance of play. Pre-match indicators pointed to a substantial deviation level of 69.3 percent favoring an away success that ultimately materialized. The stronger team designation for Midtjylland did not translate into the final result. Efficiency metrics stayed consistent with observed patterns and the absence of xG figures limited further quantitative review. The game illustrated how halftime leads can be reversed through adjustments in the latter stages.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Brøndby IF produced a significant structural deviation from pre-match positioning to win on the road.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with possession shares and second half adjustments.
  • xG alignment: xG figures were unavailable so alignment with the 2-3 score could not be verified.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was not aligned with market projections given the away victory.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing expected goals data.
  • Event impact: The second half response by Brøndby IF overturned the 2-0 halftime score.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were recorded so match dynamics experienced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Tykgaard
M. Tykgaard
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. Skytte
V. Skytte
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Bæk
J. Bæk
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Rasmussen
J. Rasmussen
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
VS
Brøndby IF S. Cooper
S. Cooper
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.69
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nordsjælland Rank: 67 D
Viborg FF Rank: 64 D
AGF Rank: 70 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 60 W
AGF Rank: 72 W
Brøndby IF Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
AGF Rank: 71 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 59 L
Viborg FF Rank: 64 W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 L
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 17 - 28
28

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Midtjylland
42.54%
Draw
26.76%
Away Brøndby IF
30.7%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC Midtjylland
+42.35%
Draw
+21.11%
Brøndby IF
-63.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.97
64.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Midtjylland
Brøndby IF
Power Score
78.97
64.41
League Position
2
6
Global Rank
67
342

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score
Brøndby IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Midtjylland Brøndby IF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Midtjylland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brøndby IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Midtjylland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brøndby IF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Midtjylland Brøndby IF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Midtjylland Brøndby IF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Midtjylland
Brøndby IF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Midtjylland
vs
Brøndby IF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Midtjylland Brøndby IF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Midtjylland 0.00
Brøndby IF 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Midtjylland Brøndby IF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Midtjylland 0.00
Brøndby IF 0.00
FC Midtjylland
Brøndby IF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCM had peak pressure around 28'.
  • FCM started the game with stronger pressure.
FCM Pressure BIF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCM reached the top pressure at 28' (96.63).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 70 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Midtjylland FCM Home
70 matches
Brøndby IF BIF Away
Match Record
25
Wins
28
17
Draws
17
28
Losses
25
Goals
99
Goals Scored
109
109
Goals Conceded
99
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T15:45:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Lössl
Denmark
1 J. Lössl
O. Diao
Substitution
Senegal
4 O. Diao
H. Lee
South Korea
3 H. Lee
M. Bech Sørensen
Denmark
22 M. Bech Sørensen
A. Ndiaye
Substitution
34 A. Ndiaye
P. Billing
Denmark
8 P. Billing
P. Bravo Landazuri
Substitution
Colombia
19 P. Bravo Landazuri
V. Byskov Andreasen
Denmark
20 V. Byskov Andreasen
D. Castillo
Ecuador
21 D. Castillo
M. Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen
Substitution
Denmark
41 M. Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen
K. Cho
Substitution
South Korea
10 K. Cho
P. Pentz
Austria
1 P. Pentz
M. Divković
Croatia
24 M. Divković
L. Binks
England
4 L. Binks
R. Canut Pedersen
Substitution
37 R. Canut Pedersen
O. Villadsen
Denmark
2 O. Villadsen
B. Tahirovic
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
8 B. Tahirovic
B. Slisz
Poland
99 B. Slisz
N. Vallys
Denmark
7 N. Vallys
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
Substitution
Denmark
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen
O. Sow
Substitution
France
22 O. Sow
J. Brøchner Ambæk
Substitution
38 J. Brøchner Ambæk

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 10 · Championship Round
Stadium
MCH Arena
Capacity
12152
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Tykgaard
Victor Skytte
Jonas Bæk
Jacob Rasmussen

Statistics

Possession
FCM
55%
BIF
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 3
3 Shots 2
42 Dangerous attacks 39
55 Possession 45
5 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 21
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

21 Throwins 21
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
8 Goal Kicks 7
27 Dribble Attempts 14
12 Successful Dribbles 7
1 Assists 3
5 Substitutions 5
13 Goal Attempts 11
97 Ball Safe 95

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 0
99 Attacks 71
1 Counter Attacks 0

Possession

84 Successful Passes Percentage 80
14 Key Passes 10
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34
390 Successful Passes 295
36 Successful Long Passes 22
463 Passes 369
68 Long Passes 65

Defensive

50 Duels Won 64
10 Tackles 20
8 Interceptions 10
2 Saves 6

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 3
12 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

21 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Michael Tykgaard

Starting XI ▼

1
Jonas Lössl
Jonas Lössl Goalkeeper
6.8
3
Han-beom Lee
Han-beom Lee Defender
6.85
4
Ousmane Diao
Ousmane Diao Defender
6.98
43
Kevin Mbabu
Kevin Mbabu
Defender86'
6.59
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen Defender
6.97
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing Midfielder
7.19
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Midfielder
6.74
29
Paulinho
Paulinho
Defender54'
6.74
20
Valdemar Byskov
Valdemar Byskov Midfielder
6.91
34
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye Midfielder
11
Darío Osorio
Darío Osorio
Midfielder53'
7.34
10
Gue-sung Cho
Gue-sung Cho Attacker
6.66
38
Julius Emefile
Julius Emefile
Attacker79'
6.83
21
Denil Castillo
Denil Castillo Attacker
6.94
41
Mikel Gogorza
Mikel Gogorza Attacker
6.72
58
Aral Şimşir
Aral Şimşir
Midfielder54'
7.34
Referee : Michael Tykgaard

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Pentz
Patrick Pentz Goalkeeper
7.1
2
Oliver Villadsen
Oliver Villadsen Defender
6.82
4
Luis Binks
Luis Binks Defender
7
24
Marko Divkovic
Marko Divkovic Defender
6.97
37
Raphael Canut Pedersen
Raphael Canut Pedersen Defender
6.49
5
Rasmus Lauritsen
Rasmus Lauritsen
Defender90+2'
7.04
7
Nicolai Vallys
Nicolai Vallys Midfielder
7.11
8
Benjamin Tahirović
Benjamin Tahirović Midfielder
6.82
23
Mayckel Lahdo
Mayckel Lahdo
Attacker60'
6.62
22
Ousmane Sow
Ousmane Sow Midfielder
6.48
19
Sho Fukuda
Sho Fukuda
Attacker60'
6.87
29
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen Midfielder
6.74
36
Viggo Poulsen
Viggo Poulsen
Midfielder73'
6.53
99
Bartosz Slisz
Bartosz Slisz Midfielder
7.09
38
Jacob Ambaek
Jacob Ambaek Attacker
6.84
11
Filip Bundgaard
Filip Bundgaard
Attacker46'
6.85

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Luis Binks
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
90+2'
Event
Rasmus Lauritsen → Raphael Canut Pedersen
10th Substitution
Event
Denil Castillo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
89'
89'
Event
Nicolai Vallys
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Kevin Mbabu → Ousmane Diao
9th Substitution
86'
81'
Event
Sho Fukuda
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Julius Emefile
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
80'
Event
Julius Emefile → Gue-sung Cho
8th Substitution
79'
73'
Event
Viggo Poulsen → Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
7th Substitution
Event
Mads Bech Sørensen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
71'
66'
Event
Mayckel Lahdo
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
60'
Event
Sho Fukuda → Ousmane Sow
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Mayckel Lahdo → Benjamin Tahirović
6th Substitution
58'
Event
Benjamin Tahirović
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Aral Şimşir → Mikel Gogorza
4th Substitution
54'
Event
Paulinho → Pedro Bravo
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Darío Osorio → Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
2nd Substitution
53'
46'
Event
Filip Bundgaard → Jacob Ambaek
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Mikel Gogorza
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
23'
Event
Valdemar Byskov
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
12'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Luis Binks scores with a left-footed shot.
90
Update Update
Rasmus Lauritsen comes on for Raphael Canut.
88
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Slisz takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Aral Simsir's header is saved.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Luis Binks scores with a left-footed shot.
79
Update Update
Julius Emefile comes on for Cho Gue-sung.
90
Attempt Attempt
Aral Simsir's header is saved.
73
Update Update
Viggo Poulsen is on, and Mads Frokjaer is off.
73
Attempt Attempt
Paulo Victor da Silva takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Sho Fukuda's right-footed shot is saved.
64
Attempt Attempt
Valdemar Andreasen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Filip Bundgaard Kristensen replaces Jacob Ambaek.
85
Attempt Attempt
Sho Fukuda takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
86
Update Update
Kevin Mbabu comes on for Ousmane Diao.
60
Update Update
Mayckel Lahdo replaces Benjamin Tahirovic.
53
Update Update
Paulo Victor da Silva replaces Paulinho, and Pedro Bravo comes off.
60
Update Update
Sho Fukuda replaces Ousmane Sow.
53
Substitution Substitution
Aral Simsir is substituted for Gogorza.
53
Update Update
Dario Esteban Osorio replaces Abdou Ndiaye.
53
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Slisz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Update Update
Cho Gue-sung attempts a header but misses the target.
63
Attempt Attempt
Aral Simsir takes a right-footed shot but misses.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Sho Fukuda with his right foot results in a goal.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mayckel Lahdo scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Bartosz Slisz.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Mayckel Lahdo scores with a right-footed shot.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Mayckel Lahdo scores with a right-footed shot.
48
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Slisz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Cho Gue-sung's header is saved.
20
Update Update
Mads Bech Sorensen's header is blocked.
21
Update Update
Han-beom Lee's header is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Phillip Billing takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
35
Attempt Attempt
Ousmane Sow's header shot missed.
40
Attempt Attempt
Nicolai Vallys takes a right-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Gogorza takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
40
Attempt Attempt
Nicolai Vallys takes a right-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
Cho Gue-sung takes a left-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Valdemar Andreasen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Valdemar Andreasen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
13
Attempt Attempt
Jacob Ambaek takes a left-footed shot but misses.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Valdemar Andreasen scores with a left-footed shot.

CONCLUSION

Brøndby IF secured a 2-3 away victory after trailing 2-0 at halftime against FC Midtjylland. The visitors managed the turnaround without the aid of red card advantages or notable xG differentials. Possession favored the home side at 56 percent yet failed to prevent the result. Pre-match deviation metrics correctly anticipated the outcome direction despite the stronger team label attached to Midtjylland. Efficiency patterns held steady across both halves and supported the final scoreline. Absence of xG values restricted deeper performance mapping but the factual sequence of events remains clear. The match demonstrated how second half adaptations can override early leads in a controlled manner without external disruptions.