FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
MCH Arena
Europa Conference League
FC MidtjyllandFCM
3 2
BohemiansBOH
Full Time
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 5 - 2
Franculino - 26' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Zane Myers - 62'
Dayle Rooney - 88'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. FC Midtjylland 3–2 Bohemians. The result saw FC Midtjylland take the points. FC Midtjylland showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished FC Midtjylland 2.9 – 0.9 Bohemians. Possession was 63%–37%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The structural deviation registered at a minimal 3.9 percent level with FC Midtjylland as the noted deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the xG values recorded during the match.
  • Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with market projections for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: FC Midtjylland posted 2.87 xG while Bohemians finished with 0.94 xG.
  • Event impact: The second half adjustments produced the decisive 3-2 scoreline after a 1-0 halftime lead.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match proceeded without any related distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Marcenaro
M. Marcenaro
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
K. Bahri
K. Bahri
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Rossi
C. Rossi
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Collu
G. Collu
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
VS
Bohemians A. Reynolds
A. Reynolds
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bohemians Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 L
KF Ballkani Rank: 55 L
KF Ballkani Rank: 55 W
St Josephs FC Rank: D
St Josephs FC Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Midtjylland
96.05%
Draw
3.31%
Away Bohemians
0.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC Midtjylland
+0.41%
Draw
-0.41%
Bohemians
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.24
28.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Midtjylland
Bohemians
Power Score
24.24
28.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score
Bohemians — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Midtjylland Bohemians

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Midtjylland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bohemians

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Midtjylland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bohemians
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.81
34.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.59
28.81
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Midtjylland -0.45 Efficiency Index
vs
Bohemians +0.45 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Midtjylland
Bohemians
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Midtjylland
vs
Bohemians
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Midtjylland Bohemians
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
37%
7%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.07 vs -0.07
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Midtjylland Bohemians
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
7%
37%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.07 vs -0.07
FC Midtjylland
Bohemians
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Midtjylland
vs
Bohemians
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Midtjylland Bohemians
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Midtjylland 0.24
Bohemians 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Midtjylland Bohemians
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Midtjylland 0.06
Bohemians 0.05
FC Midtjylland
Bohemians
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCM had peak pressure around 50'.
  • BOH started the game with stronger pressure.
FCM Pressure BOH Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCM reached the top pressure at 50' (84.53).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Midtjylland FCM Home
1 matches
Bohemians BOH Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0.73
xG
0.67
0.67
xGA
0.73

Data last updated: 2026-08-14T00:02:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 5 - 2
Stadium
MCH Arena
Capacity
12152
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Matteo Marcenaro
Khaled Bahri
Christian Rossi
Giuseppe Collu

Statistics

Possession
FCM
58%
BOH
42%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 1
1 Shots 4
63 Dangerous attacks 36
63 Possession 37
6 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 22
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

105 Ball Safe 86
1 Penalties 0
9 Goal Kicks 6
9 Goal Attempts 8
5 Substitutions 5
11 Throwins 24
0 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Assists 1
0 Injuries 1
23 Dribble Attempts 13
10 Successful Dribbles 4
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31

Attacking

101 Attacks 82
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

36 Long Passes 71
456 Passes 282
377 Successful Passes 203
83 Successful Passes Percentage 72
12 Key Passes 7
16 Successful Long Passes 27
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38

Defensive

2 Saves 4
16 Tackles 19
11 Interceptions 12

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 9
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
22 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Matteo Marcenaro

Starting XI ▼

1
Elías Ólafsson
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper
6.74
5
Rasmus Nissen Kristensen
Rasmus Nissen Kristensen (C) Defender
6.59
6
Martin Erlić
Martin Erlić Defender
7.22
13
Adam Gabriel
Adam Gabriel
Defender79'
6.28
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen Defender
6.38
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Midfielder
6.86
20
Valdemar Byskov
Valdemar Byskov Midfielder
7.35
21
Denil Castillo
Denil Castillo Midfielder
6.6
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing
Midfielder46'
6.53
27
Sofus Johannesen
Sofus Johannesen Midfielder
7.34
34
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye Midfielder
6.48
11
Darío Osorio
Darío Osorio
Midfielder41'
7.76
7
Franculino
Franculino Attacker
7.8
90
Friday Etim
Friday Etim
Attacker59'
6.18
10
Gue-sung Cho
Gue-sung Cho Attacker
7.25
18
Stanley Iheanacho
Stanley Iheanacho
Attacker58'
6.97
Referee : Matteo Marcenaro

Starting XI ▼

25
Paul Walters
Paul Walters Goalkeeper
6.06
6
Jordan Flores
Jordan Flores Defender
6.31
12
Patrick Hickey
Patrick Hickey Defender
7.08
24
Cian Byrne
Cian Byrne Defender
6.7
10
Dawson Devoy
Dawson Devoy (C) Midfielder
7.04
15
Senan Mullen
Senan Mullen Midfielder
6.48
4
Niall Morahan
Niall Morahan
Midfielder58'
6.94
16
Darragh Power
Darragh Power Midfielder
6.56
11
Dayle Rooney
Dayle Rooney
Attacker58'
6.92
17
Adam McDonnell
Adam McDonnell Midfielder
6.33
5
Sadou Diallo
Sadou Diallo
Midfielder58'
6.96
7
Connor Parsons
Connor Parsons Attacker
6.35
23
Zane Myers
Zane Myers
Defender57'
7.42
18
Douglas James-Taylor
Douglas James-Taylor Attacker
6.66
26
Ross Tierney
Ross Tierney Attacker
6.5
8
Harry Vaughan
Harry Vaughan
Midfielder74'
6.34

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Dayle Rooney
Header / 4th Goal
Event
Adam Gabriel → Martin Erlić
10th Substitution
79'
Event
Stanley Iheanacho
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
78'
74'
Event
Harry Vaughan → Ross Tierney
9th Substitution
65'
Event
Dayle Rooney
5th Yellowcard
Event
Martin Erlić
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
64'
62'
Event
Zane Myers
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Friday Etim → Franculino
8th Substitution
59'
Event
Stanley Iheanacho → Gue-sung Cho
5th Substitution
58'
58'
Event
Sadou Diallo → Adam McDonnell
4th Substitution
58'
Event
Niall Morahan → Senan Mullen
6th Substitution
58'
Event
Dayle Rooney → Darragh Power
7th Substitution
57'
Event
Zane Myers → Connor Parsons
3rd Substitution
Event
Darío Osorio
Off the ball foul / 3rd Yellowcard
56'
Event
Sofus Johannesen
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
47'
Event
Philip Billing → Denil Castillo
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Darío Osorio → Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
1st Substitution
41'
39'
Event
Adam McDonnell
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Franculino
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
26'
Event
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
20'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Dario Esteban Osorio takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Harry Vaughan takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dayle Rooney scores, making it 3-2.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Dayle Rooney Head Shot Goal
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Dayle Rooney Head Shot Goal
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Sofus Johannesen takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
85
Attempt Attempt
Douglas James-Taylor takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Adam Gabriel replaces Martin Erlic.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Stanley Iheanacho takes a left-footed shot.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Stanley Iheanacho scores to make it 3-1, assisted by Dario Esteban Osorio.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Stanley Iheanacho scores, making it 3-1.
74
Update Update
Harry Vaughan comes on for Ross Tierney.
73
Attempt Attempt
Dario Esteban Osorio takes a left-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Douglas James-Taylor takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dayle Rooney receives a yellow card.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Martin Erlic receives a yellow card.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Zane Myers scores with a left-footed shot.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
59
Update Update
On Friday, Ubi Etim, off for Franculino Gluda Dju.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Stanley Iheanacho comes on for Cho Gue-Sung.
58
Update Update
Niall Morahan comes on for Senan Mullen.
58
Substitution Substitution
Dayle Rooney is substituted for Darragh Power.
58
Update Update
Sadou Diallo is on, and Adam McDonnell is off.
57
Substitution Substitution
Zane Myers is substituted off for Connor Parsons.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Dario Esteban Osorio.
52
Attempt Attempt
Phillip Billing takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Bravo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Valdemar Andreasen takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sofus Johannesen takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sofus Johannesen scores, making it 2-0.
46
Update Update
On comes Phillip Billing, off goes Denil Castillo.
45
Attempt Attempt
Valdemar Andreasen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Attempt Attempt
Sofus Johannesen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Update Update
Dario Esteban Osorio is on, and Abdou Ndiaye is off.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Adam McDonnell receives a yellow card.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Attempt Attempt
Martin Erlic's header is saved.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Franculino Gluda Dju scores with a left-footed shot.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Franculino Gluda scores from the penalty spot to make it 1-0.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
21
Attempt Attempt
Senan Mullen takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abdou Ndiaye receives a yellow card.
19
Attempt Attempt
Denil Castillo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Ross Tierney takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cho Gue-Sung Head Shot Blocked
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Attempt Attempt
Darragh Power's right-footed shot is blocked.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Matteo Marcenaro.

CONCLUSION

FC Midtjylland completed a comfortable aggregate victory by overcoming Bohemians 3-2 on the night. Their superior possession and chance creation proved decisive in the second leg. The home side maintained control after the interval and converted enough opportunities to seal progression. Bohemians showed resilience with two goals but could not close the overall gap. The performance reflected the expected quality difference despite the stronger team rating assigned to the visitors beforehand. This result sends Midtjylland forward while highlighting their ability to manage ties effectively across both legs.