FC København vs Debrecen preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Parken
Europa Conference League
Full Time
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 8 - 1
Mohamed Elyounoussi - 3', 58' (P)
Alex Král - 76'
Andreas Cornelius - 78', 90+2'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. FC København 5–1 Debrecen. The result saw FC København take the points. FC København showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished FC København 4 – 0.9 Debrecen. Possession was 57%–43%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The structural deviation measured minimal at 3.5 percent favoring FC København.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match team profiles.
  • xG alignment: The xG alignment matched the final outcome with 4.03 to 0.86 totals.
  • Market alignment: The market alignment held as the stronger team secured the expected result.
  • xG expectations: The xG expectations were fulfilled through FC København's clear dominance.
  • Event impact: The event impact produced a 5-1 scoreline in the second leg.
  • Red card distortion: The red card distortion was nonexistent with zero dismissals recorded.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Pignard
J. Pignard
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Drouet
A. Drouet
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Luczynski
T. Luczynski
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Paradis
G. Paradis
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
2.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Debrecen Rank: 58 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 65 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 64 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC København Rank: 75 L
Pyunik Rank: D
Pyunik Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC København
96.46%
Draw
2.35%
Away Debrecen
1.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.6
57.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC København
Debrecen
Power Score
75.6
57.36
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
152
670

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
FC København Opponent-weighted form score
Debrecen Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC København Debrecen

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

FC København

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Debrecen

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC København ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Debrecen
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.37
26.28
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.28
42.37
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC København +1.25 Efficiency Index
vs
Debrecen -1.25 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC København
Debrecen
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC København
vs
Debrecen
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC København Debrecen
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
33%
27%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.33 vs -0.23
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC København Debrecen
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
27%
33%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.23 vs -0.33
FC København
Debrecen
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

FC København
vs
Debrecen
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC København Debrecen
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC København Debrecen
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
FC København
Debrecen
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COP had peak pressure around 92'.
  • COP started the game with stronger pressure.
COP Pressure DEB Pressure
Pressure Index: COP reached the top pressure at 92' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC København COP Home
1 matches
Debrecen DEB Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
3
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
1.38
xG
0.57
0.57
xGA
1.38

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:00:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 8 - 1
Stadium
Parken
Capacity
38065
Attendance
19235
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jérémie Pignard
Aurélien Drouet
Thomas Luczynski
Guillaume Paradis

Statistics

Possession
COP
57%
DEB
43%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 1
8 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 4
43 Dangerous attacks 26
57 Possession 43
6 Corners 3
11 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

70 Ball Safe 80
1 Penalties 0
6 Goal Kicks 11
16 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 12
4 Assists 0
20 Dribble Attempts 12
14 Successful Dribbles 6
70 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

86 Attacks 96
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

55 Long Passes 54
470 Passes 345
392 Successful Passes 269
83 Successful Passes Percentage 78
17 Key Passes 4
31 Successful Long Passes 16
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30

Defensive

1 Saves 6
11 Tackles 13
11 Interceptions 8

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 15
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

6 Offsides 2
16 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Jérémie Pignard

Starting XI

1
Dominik Kotarski
Dominik Kotarski Goalkeeper
6.54
5
Gabriel Pereira
Gabriel Pereira Defender
6.93
6
Ákos Markgráf
Ákos Markgráf Defender
7.22
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Defender
6.81
24
Birger Meling
Birger Meling Defender
7.02
2
Felix Beijmo
Felix Beijmo
Defender77'
6.8
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
2
8.32
14
Andreas Cornelius
2
9.19
16
Robert
Robert Midfielder
7.81
34
Marvin Nasnas
Marvin Nasnas
Midfielder60'
7.23
21
Mads Emil Madsen
Mads Emil Madsen Midfielder
6.73
27
Thomas Delaney
Thomas Delaney
Midfielder68'
6.63
33
Alex Král
Alex Král Midfielder
8.08
36
William Clem
William Clem Midfielder
7.23
44
Geovanni Vianney Ndjee
6.68
9
Youssoufa Moukoko
6.65
Referee : Jérémie Pignard

Starting XI

12
Benedek Erdélyi
Benedek Erdélyi Goalkeeper
6.3
4
Josua Mejías
Josua Mejías Defender
6.25
26
Ádám Lang
Ádám Lang
Defender46'
5.3
5
Bence Batik
Bence Batik (C) Defender
6.95
8
Leon Myrtaj
Leon Myrtaj Defender
5.11
72
Rotem Keller
Rotem Keller Defender
6.5
3
Adrián Guerrero
Adrián Guerrero
Defender46'
5.87
75
Dávid Patai
Dávid Patai Midfielder
6.01
78
Sain Balázs Csaba
Sain Balázs Csaba Midfielder
6.36
99
Flórián Cibla
Flórián Cibla Midfielder
6.43
10
Balázs Dzsudzsák
Balázs Dzsudzsák
Midfielder46'
6.99
18
Shedrach Kaye
Shedrach Kaye Attacker
6.65
25
Sohan Baldoni
Sohan Baldoni Attacker
6.78
11
Ákos Szendrei
Ákos Szendrei
Attacker86'
97
Csanád Vilmos Dénes
6.4
22
Botond Vajda
Botond Vajda
Midfielder66'
6.13

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
90+2'
86'
Event
Ákos Szendrei Sohan Baldoni
10th Substitution
Event
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
78'
Event
Felix Beijmo Birger Meling
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko Geovanni Vianney Ndjee
9th Substitution
77'
Event
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
76'
Event
Andreas Cornelius Mohamed Elyounoussi
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Thomas Delaney Mads Emil Madsen
7th Substitution
68'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
67'
66'
Event
Botond Vajda Csanád Vilmos Dénes
5th Substitution
61'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Marvin Nasnas Robert
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
58'
57'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
47'
Event
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
Event
Balázs Dzsudzsák  Flórián Cibla
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Adrián Guerrero Rotem Keller
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Ádám Lang Josua Mejías
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
3'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Shedrach Kaye Head Shot Missed
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Andreas Cornelius Left Footed Shot Goal
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 5-1
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Youssoufa Moukoko Left Footed Shot Missed
88
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Youssoufa Moukoko Left Footed Shot Missed
88
Attempt Attempt
Shot - William Clem Right Footed Shot Saved
86
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Thomas Delaney Left Footed Shot Missed
86
Update Update
On Akos Szendrei,Off Sohan Baldoni
86
Corner Corner
Corner
85
Corner Corner
Corner
84
Corner Corner
Corner
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marvin Nasnas Right Footed Shot Missed
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Youssoufa Moukoko Right Footed Shot Blocked
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marvin Nasnas Right Footed Shot Blocked
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Andreas Cornelius Left Footed Shot Goal
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Andreas Cornelius 4-1
77
Update Update
On Youssoufa Moukoko,Off Geovanni Vianney
77
Update Update
On Felix Beijmo,Off Birger Meling
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 4-1
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Alex Kral 3-1
76
Corner Corner
Corner
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Shedrach Kaye Right Footed Shot Missed
68
Update Update
On Andreas Cornelius,Off Mohamed Elyounoussi
68
Update Update
On Thomas Delaney,Off Mads Emil Madsen
68
Corner Corner
Corner
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
66
Update Update
On Botond Vajda,Off Csanad-Vilmos Denes
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gabriel Pereira Right Footed Shot Missed
64
Corner Corner
Corner
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Shedrach Kaye
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Mohamed Elyounoussi Right Footed Shot Goal
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Mohamed Elyounoussi 2-1
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
52
Corner Corner
Corner
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Csaba Sain Balasz Right Footed Shot Missed
47
Corner Corner
Corner
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Bence Batik 1-1
46
Update Update
On Adam Lang,Off Josua Mejias
46
Update Update
On Balazs Dzsudzsak,Off Florian Cibla
46
Update Update
On Adrián Guerrero,Off Rotem Keller
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-0
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-0
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Rotem Keller Left Footed Shot Saved
37
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Geovanni Vianney Left Footed Shot Missed
28
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mads Emil Madsen Left Footed Shot Missed
26
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mads Emil Madsen Left Footed Shot Missed
23
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Geovanni Vianney Left Footed Shot Saved
16
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mads Emil Madsen Left Footed Shot Saved
13
Corner Corner
Corner
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sohan Baldoni Left Footed Shot Missed
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mohamed Elyounoussi Head Shot Saved
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva Left Footed Shot Missed
8
Corner Corner
Corner
8
Attempt Attempt
Shot - David Patai Left Footed Shot Blocked
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Mohamed Elyounoussi Right Footed Shot Goal
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Mohamed Elyounoussi 1-0
2
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sohan Baldoni Right Footed Shot Blocked
2
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee:Jeremie Pignard

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: FC København 5-1 Debrecen. Structural assessment: FC København exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.