FC Iberia 1999 vs Larne preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni Tue, 11 Aug - 4:00 PM
Europa League
FC Iberia 1999IBE
2 1
LarneLARN
Full Time: After Extra Time Tue, 11 Aug 4:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 1
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

FC Iberia 1999 defeated Larne 2-1 in the second leg of their two-legged knockout encounter. The game was tied at 0-0 after the first half. Home side FC Iberia 1999 controlled the majority of the ball with 68 percent possession while restricting Larne to 32 percent. Larne entered as the stronger team but could not overcome the deficit created in the second half. The first leg had concluded with a 0-0 draw away from home for FC Iberia 1999. Goals in the second half proved decisive for the hosts. No players were sent off during the contest. This outcome represented a notable performance from the home team against expectations. The match highlighted the home team's ability to adapt and secure progression despite the challenges posed by their opponents. Overall it was a hard-fought victory that demonstrated resilience and tactical discipline from FC Iberia 1999 throughout the ninety minutes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Iberia 1999 showed a significant structural deviation of 94.5 percent in this match.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed as expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The final result was not aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remained undetermined without supporting data.
  • Event impact: The 2-1 win in the second leg secured advancement for FC Iberia 1999 on aggregate.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion occurred from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Saggi
R. Saggi
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Olav Dale
A. Olav Dale
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Grøtta
M. Grøtta
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
FC Iberia 1999 A. Demchenko
A. Demchenko
VS
Larne G. Haveron
G. Haveron
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Larne Rank: 59 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Iberia 1999 Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Iberia 1999
5.48%
Draw
91.31%
Away Larne
3.21%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26
28.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Iberia 1999
Larne
Power Score
26
28.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Iberia 1999 — Opponent-weighted form score
Larne — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Iberia 1999 Larne

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Iberia 1999

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Larne

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Iberia 1999 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Larne
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.09
18.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.59
28.09
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Iberia 1999 +0.49 Efficiency Index
vs
Larne -0.49 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Iberia 1999
Larne
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Iberia 1999 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Larne
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Iberia 1999 Larne
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Iberia 1999 Larne
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Iberia 1999
Larne
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Iberia 1999
vs
Larne
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Iberia 1999 Larne
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Iberia 1999 0.18
Larne 0.05
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Iberia 1999 Larne
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Iberia 1999 0.02
Larne 0.02
FC Iberia 1999
Larne
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • IBE had peak pressure around 58'.
  • IBE started the game with stronger pressure.
IBE Pressure LARN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: IBE reached the top pressure at 58' (58.48).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Iberia 1999 IBE Home
1 matches
Larne LARN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:00:47+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 1
Stadium
Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni
Capacity
27223
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rohit Saggi
Anders Olav Dale
Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen
Marius Hansen Grøtta

Statistics

Possession
IBE
62%
LARN
38%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
5 Shots 2
82 Dangerous attacks 59
68 Possession 32
11 Corners 2
28 Free kicks 20
4 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

163 Ball Safe 78
10 Goal Attempts 3
6 Substitutions 6
24 Throwins 30
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

200 Attacks 123

Defensive

0 Saves 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
19 Fouls 27

Lineup

Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI ▼

31
Giorgi Makaridze
Giorgi Makaridze Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Vahid Selimovic
Vahid Selimovic Defender
6.26
5
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava (C) Defender
6.25
25
Aleksandre Amisulashvili
Aleksandre Amisulashvili Defender
6.26
40
Giorgi Kobuladze
Giorgi Kobuladze Defender
6.26
30
Nikoloz Botchorishvili
Nikoloz Botchorishvili
Defender91'
6.5
6
Nikoloz Dadiani
Nikoloz Dadiani Midfielder
6.44
8
Bakar Kardava
Bakar Kardava Midfielder
6.37
14
Ibrahim Alhassan
Ibrahim Alhassan
Midfielder77'
6.5
10
Zviad Natchkebia
Zviad Natchkebia Midfielder
6.37
23
Eldar Kuliyev
Eldar Kuliyev
Midfielder115'
6.5
19
Nika Sikharulashvili
Nika Sikharulashvili Midfielder
6.89
17
Stephen Ende
Stephen Ende
Attacker115'
6.5
24
Vakho Bedoshvili
Vakho Bedoshvili Midfielder
6.57
9
Amiran Dzagania
Amiran Dzagania
Attacker77'
6.46
27
Giorgi Kutsia
Giorgi Kutsia Midfielder
6.5
11
Andria Bartishvili
Andria Bartishvili
Midfielder65'
6.37
Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI ▼

1
Rohan Ferguson
Rohan Ferguson Goalkeeper
5.88
3
Matt Ridley
Matt Ridley Defender
6.05
4
Aaron Donnelly
Aaron Donnelly Defender
6.05
11
Sean Graham
Sean Graham Defender
6.04
7
Conor McKendry
Conor McKendry
Midfielder106'
6.5
23
Tomas Cosgrove
Tomas Cosgrove (C) Defender
6.26
2
Logan Wallace
Logan Wallace
Defender101'
6.26
6
Chris Gallagher
Chris Gallagher Midfielder
6.27
15
Ronan Doherty
Ronan Doherty Midfielder
6.5
47
James Simpson
James Simpson
Midfielder65'
6.47
25
Dylan Sloan
Dylan Sloan Midfielder
6.37
22
Jordan McEneff
Jordan McEneff
Midfielder78'
6.33
26
Dan Bent
Dan Bent Midfielder
6.23
30
Matthew Lusty
Matthew Lusty Attacker
6.46
17
Josh Ukek
Josh Ukek
Midfielder78'
6.37
45
Montel Gibson
Montel Gibson Attacker
6.5
9
Paul O'Neill
Paul O'Neill
Attacker65'
6.43

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Stephen Ende → Nika Sikharulashvili
11th Substitution
115'
Event
Eldar Kuliyev → Zviad Natchkebia
12th Substitution
115'
Event
Nikoloz Dadiani
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 7th Yellowcard
112'
107'
Event
Dan Bent
Roughing / 6th Yellowcard
106'
Event
Conor McKendry → Sean Graham
10th Substitution
Event
Nika Sikharulashvili
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
102'
101'
Event
Logan Wallace → Tomas Cosgrove 
9th Substitution
97'
Event
Jordan McEneff
Holding / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Nikoloz Botchorishvili → Giorgi Kobuladze
8th Substitution
91'
Event
Amiran Dzagania
Tripping / 4th Yellowcard
84'
78'
Event
Jordan McEneff → Dylan Sloan
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Josh Ukek → Matthew Lusty
7th Substitution
Event
Ibrahim Alhassan → Bakar Kardava
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Amiran Dzagania → Vakho Bedoshvili
5th Substitution
77'
76'
Event
James Simpson
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Vakho Bedoshvili
Field Goal / 1st Goal
74'
Event
Nika Sikharulashvili
Roughing / 3rd Yellowcard
67'
Event
Andria Bartishvili → Giorgi Kutsia
1st Substitution
65'
65'
Event
Paul O'Neill → Montel Gibson
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
James Simpson → Ronan Doherty
3rd Substitution
Event
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava 
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 2nd Yellowcard
63'
59'
Event
Sean Graham
Holding / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

115
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Stephen Ende comes on for Nika Sikharulashvili.
115
Update Update
Eldar Kuliev replaces Zviad Natchkebia.
112
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nikoloz Dadiani receives a yellow card.
107
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dan Bent receives a yellow card.
106
Update Update
Conor McKendry replaces Sean Graham.
102
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nika Sikharulashvili scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Andria Bartishvili.
101
Update Update
Logan Wallace is on, and Tomas Cosgrove is off.
96
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Jordan McEneff.
91
Update Update
Nikoloz Bochorishvili comes on for Giorgi Kobuladze.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Amiran Dzagania.
78
Update Update
On Joshua Ukek, off Matthew Lusty.
78
Substitution Substitution
Jordan McEneff is substituted for Dylan Sloan.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan comes on for Bakar Kardava.
78
Substitution Substitution
Amiran Dzagania is substituted for Vakho Bedoshvili.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vakho Bedoshvili scores to make it 1-0.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Nika Sikharulashvili.
65
Update Update
Andria Bartishvili is on, and Giorgi Kutsia is off.
65
Update Update
On comes Paul O'Neill, off goes Montel Gibson.
64
Update Update
On James Simpson, off Ronan Doherty.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sean Graham receives a yellow card.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Rohit Saggi.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: FC Iberia 1999 2-1 Larne. Structural assessment: FC Iberia 1999 exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.