FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden preview

Germany flag 2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion
2. Bundesliga
FC HeidenheimHDH
Dynamo DresdenDRE
KICKOFF :
Round 3 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2. Bundesliga regular season of 2026/2027, FC Heidenheim welcomes Dynamo Dresden to the Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion for a league encounter. Heidenheim currently holds ninth place in the domestic table while Dresden sits one spot below in eleventh. Power metrics reveal a clear edge for the visitors at 72.62 against the hosts' 43.73, establishing Dresden as the stronger side overall. Recent form scores stand at 16.67 for Heidenheim and 8.33 for Dresden, reflecting mixed results for both clubs ahead of kickoff. The fixture features teams with similar league positions yet differing underlying strengths that could shape the outcome. Limited historical data on efficiency and set pieces adds an element of uncertainty to preparations. Analysts note the potential for a competitive match driven by these contrasting profiles.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Heidenheim sits ninth while Dynamo Dresden occupies eleventh in the domestic league standings.
  • Form: FC Heidenheim records a form score of 16.67 compared to Dynamo Dresden's 8.33.
  • Squad: Dynamo Dresden holds the stronger squad profile with a power score of 72.62 versus FC Heidenheim's 43.73.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transitional dynamics favor the side with higher overall power in league play.
  • Set pieces: Set piece information shows low confidence and proxy data for both FC Heidenheim and Dynamo Dresden.
  • xVariable: xVariable elements point to uncertainty from missing efficiency and set piece details.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Heidenheim F. Schmidt
F. Schmidt
VS
Dynamo Dresden T. Stamm
T. Stamm
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.58
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hertha BSC Rank: 75 L
Osnabrück Rank: 74 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Darmstadt 98 Rank: 73 W
Nürnberg Rank: 74 L
Holstein Kiel Rank: 73 W
Eintracht Braunschweig Rank: 68 L
Kaiserslautern Rank: 73 W
Fortuna Düsseldorf Rank: 72 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
43.73
72.62
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Heidenheim
Dynamo Dresden
Power Score
43.73
72.62
League Position
9
11
Global Rank
184
198

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Heidenheim — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Dresden — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Heidenheim Dynamo Dresden

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-5-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Felix Bickel
Sascha Thielert
Christoph Kluge
Sebastian Hilsberg

Expected Lineup

Referee : Felix Bickel

Starting XI ▼

1
Frank Feller
Frank Feller Goalkeeper
6.29
17
Mathias Honsak
Mathias Honsak Midfielder
6.73
24
Marcel Costly
Marcel Costly Midfielder
7.88
11
Budu Zivzivadze
Budu Zivzivadze Centre Forward
7.01
6
Patrick Mainka
Patrick Mainka Right Back
6.64
19
Jonas Föhrenbach
Jonas Föhrenbach Left Back
6.74
3
Jan Schöppner
Jan Schöppner Central Midfield
7.2
4
Tim Siersleben
Tim Siersleben Left Back
6.68
22
Oualid Mhamdi
Oualid Mhamdi Right Back
6.16
16
Julian Niehues
Julian Niehues Central Midfield
6.72
41
Marko Zrilić
Marko Zrilić Central Midfield
6.57
Referee : Felix Bickel

Starting XI ▼

1
Tim Schreiber
Tim Schreiber Goalkeeper
7.03
20
Ben Bobzien
Ben Bobzien Attacker
6.74
9
Vincent Vermeij
Vincent Vermeij Centre Forward
6.93
11
Kaan İnanoğlu
Kaan İnanoğlu Attacker
6.62
6
Nicolai Rapp
Nicolai Rapp Central Midfield
6.83
18
Robert Wagner
Robert Wagner Central Midfield
6.59
19
Alexander Rossipal
Alexander Rossipal Left Back
6.86
32
Jonas Sterner
Jonas Sterner Right Back
6.82
27
Niklas Hauptmann
Niklas Hauptmann Central Midfield
6.7
39
Thomas Keller
Thomas Keller Right Back
6.56
42
Friedrich Müller
Friedrich Müller Left Back
6.68

CONCLUSION

Dynamo Dresden enters as the stronger side based on power ratings and should control much of the game through superior squad depth. FC Heidenheim will look to leverage its slightly better recent form score to create opportunities at home. The mid-table positioning of both clubs suggests a balanced tactical approach rather than all-out attack. Limited efficiency data means coaches may focus on adapting during the match itself. Set piece situations carry low predictive value given the available information. Overall the contest could hinge on which team manages transitions more effectively on the day. Fans can expect a measured encounter where individual quality from Dresden might prove decisive against a resilient Heidenheim side.