FC Bayern München vs FC Köln preview
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Allianz Arena
Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
FC Bayern München
FCB
FC Köln
KOE
KICKOFF :
Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Round 34 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 12
CONTEXT
FC Bayern München host FC Köln in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at Allianz Arena. Domestically, FC Bayern München sit 1th in the table while FC Köln are 14th. Power ranking favours FC Bayern München by 37.7 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
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Structural: FC Bayern München enjoy a 37.7-point power advantage over FC Köln, topping the Bundesliga at 1st while Köln sit 14th.
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Form: Both teams enter with neutral form scores of 0 and no recent outing details available.
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Squad: Bayern's league-leading position contrasts Köln's 14th-place standing, highlighting squad quality disparity.
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Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
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Transition: Bayern's superior power score indicates stronger transition play potential at home.
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Set pieces: Set-piece data unavailable due to lack of xG information and low confidence proxies.
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xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on data not enabled.
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Market: FC Bayern München 82.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 10.8% (Δ+0%) | FC Köln 7.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
V. Kompany
VS
R. Wagner
2.52
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.78
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
VfL Wolfsburg
Rank: 75
W
Heidenheim
Rank: 72
D
FSV Mainz 05
Rank: 80
W
VfB Stuttgart
Rank: 86
W
St. Pauli
Rank: 72
W
SC Freiburg
Rank: 82
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Heidenheim
Rank: 73
L
FC Union Berlin
Rank: 73
D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Rank: 88
L
St. Pauli
Rank: 72
D
Werder Bremen
Rank: 76
W
Eintracht Frankfurt
Rank: 80
D
21
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 6 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
FC Bayern München
82.05%
Draw
10.83%
FC Köln
7.12%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
100
62.27
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Bayern München
FC Köln
Power Score
100
62.27
League Position
1
14
Global Rank
1
121
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
FC Bayern München
—
Opponent-weighted form score
FC Köln
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
FC Bayern München FC Köln
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
FC Bayern München
FCB
Home
0
matches
FC Köln
KOE
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:39:53+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
4-3-3
40 J. Urbig
44 J. Stanisic
2 D. Upamecano
21 H. Ito
20 T. Bischof
6 J. Kimmich
45 A. Pavlović
17 M. Olise
10 J. Musiala
14 L. Díaz Marulanda
9 H. Kane
1 M. Schwäbe
32 K. Hansen
39 C. Özkacar
2 J. Schmied
28 S. Sebulonsen
5 T. Krauß
16 J. Kamiński
18 Í. Jóhannesson
13 S. El Mala
30 M. Bülter
37 L. Maina
General Information
Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Allianz Arena
Capacity
75024
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
V. Kompany
Coach
Starting XI ▼
40
Jonas Urbig
Goalkeeper
6.92 9
Harry Kane
Centre Forward
7.8 20
Tom Bischof
Left Back
7.1 21
Hiroki Ito
Left Back
6.83 10
Jamal Musiala
Attacking Midfield
6.95 2
Dayot Upamecano
Right Back
6.93 6
Joshua Kimmich
Defensive Midfield
7.66 14
Luis Díaz
Left Wing
7.45 17
Michael Olise
Right Wing
7.86 45
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Defensive Midfield
7.11 44
Josip Stanisic
Right Back
7.02 Substitutes ▼
8
Leon Goretzka
7.15 39
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
6.66 1
Manuel Neuer
6.64 3
Min-jae Kim
7.16 27
Konrad Laimer
7 4
Jonathan Tah
7.03 11
Nicolas Jackson
6.84 22
Raphaël Guerreiro
6.93 42
Lennart Karl
6.89 Manager ▼
R. Wagner
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Marvin Schwäbe
Goalkeeper
6.85 37
Linton Maina
Attacker
6.7 13
Said El Mala
Attacker
6.77 30
Marius Bülter
Centre Forward
6.89 16
Jakub Kamiński
Central Midfield
7.03 39
Cenk Özkacar
Left Back
6.66 2
Joël Schmied
Right Back
6.47 5
Tom Krauß
Central Midfield
6.84 18
Ísak Jóhannesson
Central Midfield
6.78 28
Sebastian Sebulonsen
Right Back
6.57 32
Kristoffer Lund
Left Back
6.71 Substitutes ▼
17
Alessio Castro-Montes
6.92 3
Dominique Heintz
6.62 6
Eric Martel
6.86 7
Luca Waldschmidt
6.88 8
Denis Huseinbasic
6.63 11
Florian Kainz
6.58 20
Ron-Robert Zieler
6.64 29
Jan Thielmann
6.7 33
Rav van den Berg
6.69 CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward FC Bayern München holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give FC Bayern München a 37.7-point edge. External projection is FC Bayern München 81.8%, draw 10.7%, and FC Köln 7.5%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.
